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33 - Design and Analysis of Experiments in Multilevel Populations

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Betsy Sinclair
Affiliation:
University of Chicago
James N. Druckman
Affiliation:
Northwestern University, Illinois
Donald P. Greene
Affiliation:
Yale University, Connecticut
James H. Kuklinski
Affiliation:
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Arthur Lupia
Affiliation:
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
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Summary

Randomized experiments, the most rigorous methodology for testing causal explanations for phenomena in the social sciences, are experiencing a resurgence in political science. The classic experimental design randomly assigns the population of interest into two groups, treatment and control. Ex ante these two groups should have identical distributions in terms of their observed and unobserved characteristics. Treatment is administered based on assignment, and by the assumptions of the Rubin causal model, the average effect of the treatment is calculated as the difference between the average outcome in the group assigned to treatment and the average outcome in the group assigned to control.

Randomized experiments are often conducted within a multilevel setting. These settings can be defined at the level at which the randomization occurs, as well as at the level at which the treatment is both directly and indirectly administered. These indirect effects most often occur as a result of social transmission of the treatment, which is particularly likely when the treatment consists of information. This chapter explores the implications of these multilevel settings to highlight the importance of careful experimental design with respect to random assignment of the population and the implementation of the treatment. There are potential problems with analysis in this context, and this chapter suggests strategies to accommodate multilevel settings. These problems are most likely to occur in field settings where control is lacking, although they can sometimes occur in other settings as well.

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Chapter
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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2011

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