The Hkakabo Razi Landscape, in northern Kachin, Myanmar, is one of the largest remaining tracts of intact forest in South-east Asia. In 2016, we undertook a survey in its southern margins to assess bat diversity, distribution and ecology and evaluate the importance of the area for global bat conservation. Two collecting trips had taken place in the area in 1931 and 1933, with four bat species reported. We recorded 35 species, 18 of which are new for Kachin. One species, Murina hkakaboraziensis, was new to science and three, Megaerops niphanae, Phoniscus jagorii, Murina pluvialis, were new records for Myanmar. Our findings indicate high bat diversity in Hkakabo Razi; although it comprises only 1.7% of Myanmar's land area, it is home to 33.6% of its known bat species. This emphasizes Hkakabo Razi's importance for conserving increasingly threatened, forest-interior bats, especially in the families Kerivoulinae and Murininae. There is also a high diversity of other mammals and birds within the Hkakabo Razi Landscape, which supports its nomination as a World Heritage Site.

This paper introduces a new julia package, LRMoE, a statistical software tailor-made for actuarial applications, which allows actuarial researchers and practitioners to model and analyse insurance loss frequencies and severities using the Logit-weighted Reduced Mixture-of-Experts (LRMoE) model. LRMoE offers several new distinctive features which are motivated by various actuarial applications and mostly cannot be achieved using existing packages for mixture models. Key features include a wider coverage on frequency and severity distributions and their zero inflation, the flexibility to vary classes of distributions across components, parameter estimation under data censoring and truncation and a collection of insurance ratemaking and reserving functions. The package also provides several model evaluation and visualisation functions to help users easily analyse the performance of the fitted model and interpret the model in insurance contexts.

The SPARC tokamak is a critical next step towards commercial fusion energy. SPARC is designed as a high-field ($B_0 = 12.2$ T), compact ($R_0 = 1.85$ m, $a = 0.57$ m), superconducting, D-T tokamak with the goal of producing fusion gain $Q>2$ from a magnetically confined fusion plasma for the first time. Currently under design, SPARC will continue the high-field path of the Alcator series of tokamaks, utilizing new magnets based on rare earth barium copper oxide high-temperature superconductors to achieve high performance in a compact device. The goal of $Q>2$ is achievable with conservative physics assumptions ($H_{98,y2} = 0.7$) and, with the nominal assumption of $H_{98,y2} = 1$, SPARC is projected to attain $Q \approx 11$ and $P_{\textrm {fusion}} \approx 140$ MW. SPARC will therefore constitute a unique platform for burning plasma physics research with high density ($\langle n_{e} \rangle \approx 3 \times 10^{20}\ \textrm {m}^{-3}$), high temperature ($\langle T_e \rangle \approx 7$ keV) and high power density ($P_{\textrm {fusion}}/V_{\textrm {plasma}} \approx 7\ \textrm {MW}\,\textrm {m}^{-3}$) relevant to fusion power plants. SPARC's place in the path to commercial fusion energy, its parameters and the current status of SPARC design work are presented. This work also describes the basis for global performance projections and summarizes some of the physics analysis that is presented in greater detail in the companion articles of this collection.

SPARC is designed to be a high-field, medium-size tokamak aimed at achieving net energy gain with ion cyclotron range-of-frequencies (ICRF) as its primary auxiliary heating mechanism. Empirical predictions with conservative physics indicate that SPARC baseline plasmas would reach $Q\approx 11$, which is well above its mission objective of $Q>2$. To build confidence that SPARC will be successful, physics-based integrated modelling has also been performed. The TRANSP code coupled with the theory-based trapped gyro-Landau fluid (TGLF) turbulence model and EPED predictions for pedestal stability find that $Q\approx 9$ is attainable in standard H-mode operation and confirms $Q > 2$ operation is feasible even with adverse assumptions. In this analysis, ion cyclotron waves are simulated with the full wave TORIC code and alpha heating is modelled with the Monte–Carlo fast ion NUBEAM module. Detailed analysis of expected turbulence regimes with linear and nonlinear CGYRO simulations is also presented, demonstrating that profile predictions with the TGLF reduced model are in reasonable agreement.

Ion cyclotron range of frequencies (ICRF) heating will be the sole auxiliary heating method on SPARC for both full-field (Bt0 ~ 12 T) D–T operation and reduced field (Bt0 ~ 8 T) D–D operation. Using the fast wave at ~120 MHz, good wave penetration and strong single-pass absorption is expected for D–T(3He), D(3He), D(H) and 4He(H) heating scenarios. The dependences of wave absorption on ${k_\parallel }$, 3He concentration, resonance location, antenna poloidal location and losses on alpha particles and ash have been studied. The antenna loading has been assessed by comparison with the Alcator C-Mod antennae. An antenna spectrum of ${k_\parallel }\sim 15\text{--}18\,{\textrm{m}^{ - 1}}$ is shown to be good for both core absorption and edge coupling. For the control of impurity sources, the antenna straps are rotated ~10° to be perpendicular to the B field and the straps can run with different power levels in order to optimize the antenna spectrum and to minimize the image current on the antenna frame. Combining the physics constraints with the SPARC port design, maintenance requirement and contingency against antenna failure during D–T operation, we plan to mount on the inner wall of the vacuum vessel a total of 12 4-strap antennae in 6 ports while keeping 3-strap antennae that are insertable and removable on port plugs as the backup option.

Coalition governance divides policy-making influence across multiple parties, making it challenging for voters to accurately attribute responsibility for outcomes. We argue that many voters overcome this challenge by inferring parties’ policy-making influence using a simple heuristic model that integrates a number of readily available and cheaply obtained informational cues about parties (e.g., their roles in government and legislative seat shares)—while ignoring other cues that, while predictive of real-world influence, are not suitable for heuristic inference (e.g., median party status and bargaining power). Using original data from seven surveys in five countries, we show that voters’ attributions of parties’ policy-making influence are consistent with our proposed inferential strategy. Our findings suggest that while voters certainly have blind spots that cause them to misattribute policy responsibility in some situations, their attributions are generally sensible and consistent with the academic research on multiparty policy making.

This work examines the μ(I) relation that describes the effective friction coefficient μ of a dense granular flow as a function of flow inertial number I, at the center of a rotating drum from its flow onset to steady state using DEM. We want to see how the internal friction coefficient of an accelerating flow may be predicted so that the associated tangential stress can be estimated with the proper knowledge of the normal stress. Under the three investigated drum speeds (3, 4.5 and 6 rpm), the bulk normal stress, σn(y), is found to be a consistent linear depth profile throughout the flow development with a slope degraded from the hydrostatic value, Ph(y), due to lateral wall friction. With the discovery of a non-constant depth-decaying effective wall friction coefficient, we derive analytically a wall-degradation factor K(h) to give σn(y)= K(h)Ph(y). The depth profile of tangential stress, however, varies in time from a concave shape upon acceleration, τa(y), to a more linear trend at the steady state, τss(y). Hence, the μa-Ia profile (with μa=τ/σn) upon flow acceleration offsets from the steady μss(Iss) relation. A pseudo-steady acceleration modification number, ΔI, is proposed to shift the inertial number in the acceleration phase to I* = Ia+ΔI so that the μa-I* data converge to μss(Iss). This finding shall allow us to predict a transient tangential stress by τa(y) = μss(I*)K(y)Ph(y) using the well-accepted knowledge of steady flow rheology, hydrostatic pressure, and the currently developed wall-degradation factor.

OBJECTIVES/GOALS: 1. Understand the association between patient perceptions of care measured by the Interpersonal Processes of Care (IPC) Survey and glycemic control, appointment no-shows/cancellations and medication adherence in patients with type II diabetes. 2. Determine how these relationships differ by race for non-Hispanic White and Black patients. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: This is a cross-sectional study of a random sample of 100 White and 100 Black Type II diabetic patients followed in Duke primary care clinics and prescribed antihyperglycemic medication. We will recruit through email and phone calls. Enrolled patients will complete the Interpersonal Processes of Care Short Form and Extent of Medication Adherence survey to measure patient perceptions of care (predictor) and medication adherence (secondary outcome). No show appointments and cancellations (secondary outcomes) and most recent hemoglobin A1c (primary outcome) will be collected from the Electronic Medical Record. We will also collect basic demographic information, insurance status, financial security, significant co-morbidities, and number and type (subcutaneous vs oral) of antihyperglycemic medications. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: -The study is powered to detect a 0.6% difference in HbA1c, our primary outcome, between high and low scorers on the Interpersonal Processes of Care subdomains. -We expect that higher patient scores in the positive domains of the IPC survey and lower DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE OF IMPACT: This study will provide information to develop and implement targeted interventions to reduce racial and ethnic disparities in patients with Type II diabetes. We hope to gain information on potentially modifiable factors in patient-provider interactions that can be intervened upon to improve prevention and long-term outcomes in these populations.

Introduction: Many cardiac arrest survivors die later due to hemorrhage or thromboembolism, thought to be caused by acquired coagulopathy in post-cardiac arrest syndrome (PCAS) from shock and reperfusion injury. Understanding PCAS is a priority identified by the AHA for the prevention of complications in cardiac arrest survivors. Shock dysregulates both coagulation and fibrinolysis. The key effector enzyme thrombin (Th), is responsible for both up- and down-regulating coagulation and fibrinolysis. Measuring early Th activity may allow for predicting PCAS coagulopathy, and early medical intervention in the ED. Therefore, we aimed to characterize the time-course profile of early coagulation using an established pig model of cardiac arrest. Methods: Yorkshire pigs were anaesthetised and intubated, had VF-arrest induced by pacing, and were resuscitated per ACLS. Rotational thromboelastometry (ROTEM) was performed on whole blood at four times: baseline, intra-arrest, post-arrest, and death, using the fibrin-based test with tissue factor to initiate clotting in the presence of a platelet inhibitor cytochalasin D (FIBTEM). Clot time (CT), clot formation time (CFT), alpha-angle during clot formation (Alpha), clot amplitude at 10 min (A10), maximum clot firmness (MCF), and maximum lysis as total percentage (ML%) were quantified. The primary outcome is the overall coagulation initiation measured by CFT, while secondary outcomes include ROTEM parameters reflecting Th activity. Parameters are compared over time in SPSS using repeated measures ANOVA and Bonferroni correction. Results: Pilot data from one experiment show that cardiac arrest causes immediate early changes to coagulation that subsequently normalized with ROSC (Figure 1). CFT was impaired immediately upon cardiac arrest (2.3-fold increase), normalized with ROSC, and impaired again at death when compared with baseline. Consistent with clotting impairment, A10, Alpha, and MCF were all reduced with cardiac arrest, normalized with ROSC, and impaired again at death. Conclusion: Higher initial indices of coagulopathy in patients with cardiac arrest appear to correlate with death and thromboembolism. In this pilot, CFT is acutely modified by cardiac arrest. Since CFT is affected by overall Th activity, early Th dysregulation may be a critical driver of coagulopathy. Th may therefore be a lead target that is modifiable in the emergency post-arrest setting to decrease morbidity and mortality from PCAS in cardiac arrest survivors.

The presence of comorbid anxiety disorders (AD) and bipolar II disorders (BP-II) compounds disability complicates treatment, worsens prognosis, and has been understudied. The genes involved in metabolizing dopamine and encoding dopamine receptors, such as aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2) and dopamine D2 receptor (DRD2) genes, may be important to the pathogenesis of BP-II comorbid with AD. We aimed to clarify ALDH2 and DRD2 genes for predisposition to BP-II comorbid with and without AD. The sample consisted of 335 subjects BP-II without AD, 127 subjects BP-II with AD and 348 healthy subjects as normal control. The genotypes of the ALDH2 and DRD2 Taq-IA polymorphisms were determined using polymerase chain reactions plus restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis. Logistic regression analysis showed a statistically significant association between DRD2 Taq-I A1/A2 genotype and BP-II with AD (OR = 2.231, P = 0.021). Moreover, a significant interaction of the DRD2 Taq-I A1/A1 and the ALDH2*1*1 genotypes in BP-II without AD was revealed (OR = 5.623, P = 0.001) compared with normal control. Our findings support the hypothesis that a unique genetic distinction between BP-II with and without AD, and suggest a novel association between DRD2 Taq-I A1/A2 genotype and BP-II with AD. Our study also provides further evidence that the ALDH2 and DRD2 genes interact in BP-II, particularly BP-II without AD.