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8 - Dynamic Models

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 September 2012

Edward W. Frees
Affiliation:
University of Wisconsin, Madison
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Summary

Abstract. This chapter considers models of longitudinal data sets with longer time dimensions than were considered in earlier chapters. With many observations per subject, analysts have several options for introducing more complex dynamic model features that address questions of interest or that represent important tendencies of the data (or both). One option is based on the serial correlation structure; this chapter extends the basic structures that were introduced in Chapter 2. Another dynamic option is to allow parameters to vary over time. Moreover, for a data set with a long time dimension relative to the number of subjects, we have an opportunity to model the cross-sectional correlation, an important issue in many studies. The chapter also considers the Kalman filter approach, which allows the analyst to incorporate many of these features simultaneously. Throughout, the assumption of exogeneity of the explanatory variables is maintained. Chapter 6 considered lagged dependent variables as explanatory variables, another way of introducing dynamic features into the model.

Introduction

Because longitudinal data vary over time as well as in the cross section, we have opportunities to model the dynamic, or temporal, patterns in the data. For the data analyst, when is it important to consider dynamic aspects of a problem?

Part of the answer to this question rests on the purpose of the analysis. If the main inferential task is forecasting of future observations as introduced in Chapter 4, then the dynamic aspect is critical. In this instance, every opportunity for understanding dynamic aspects should be explored.

Type
Chapter
Information
Longitudinal and Panel Data
Analysis and Applications in the Social Sciences
, pp. 277 - 317
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2004

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  • Dynamic Models
  • Edward W. Frees, University of Wisconsin, Madison
  • Book: Longitudinal and Panel Data
  • Online publication: 05 September 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511790928.009
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  • Dynamic Models
  • Edward W. Frees, University of Wisconsin, Madison
  • Book: Longitudinal and Panel Data
  • Online publication: 05 September 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511790928.009
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Dynamic Models
  • Edward W. Frees, University of Wisconsin, Madison
  • Book: Longitudinal and Panel Data
  • Online publication: 05 September 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511790928.009
Available formats
×