Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-75dct Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-12T17:12:14.634Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

10 - Opportunities and challenges in dynamical and predictability studies of tropical cyclone events

from Part III - Tropical cyclones

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 March 2016

Jianping Li
Affiliation:
Beijing Normal University
Richard Swinbank
Affiliation:
Met Office, Exeter
Richard Grotjahn
Affiliation:
University of California, Davis
Hans Volkert
Affiliation:
Deutsche Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt eV (DLR)
Get access
Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2016

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Belanger, J. I., Curry, J. A., and Webster, P. J. (2010). Predictability of North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity on intraseasonal timescales. Monthly Weather Review, 138, 43624374.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Camargo, S. J., Barnston, A. G., Klotzbach, P. J., and Landsea, C. W. (2007). Seasonal tropical cyclone forecasts. WMO Bull., 56, 297309.Google Scholar
Elsberry, R. L. (2007). Advances in tropical cyclone motion prediction and recommendations for the future. World Meteorological Organization Bulletin, 56, 131135.Google Scholar
Elsberry, R. L., and Harr, P. A., 2008: Tropical Cyclone Structure (TCS08) field experiment: Science basis, observational platforms, and strategy. Asian Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Science, 44, 209231.Google Scholar
Elsberry, R. L., Jordan, M. S., and Vitart, F. (2010). Predictability of tropical cyclone events on intraseasonal timescales with the ECMWF monthly forecast model. Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 46, 135153.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elsberry, R. L., Jordan, M. S., and Vitart, F. (2011). Evaluation of the ECMWF 32-day ensemble predictions during 2009 season of western North Pacific tropical cyclone events on intraseasonal timescales. Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 47, 305318.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elsberry, R. L., Tsai, H.-C., and Jordan, M. S. (2014). Extended-range forecasts of Atlantic tropical cyclone events during 2012 using the ECMWF 32-day ensemble predictions. Weather and Forecasting, 29, 271288.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tsai, H.-C. and Elsberry, R. L. (2013). Opportunities and challenges for extended-range predictions of tropical cyclone impacts on hydrological predictions. Journal Hydrology, 506, 4254, doi.10.1016/j.hydrol.2012.12.025.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tsai, H.-C., Elsberry, R. L., and Jordan, M. S. (2013). Objective verifications and false alarm analyses of western North Pacific tropical cyclone event forecasts by the ECMWF 32-day ensemble. Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 49, doi:10.1007/s13143-013-0038-6.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vitart, F., (2009). Impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on tropical storms and risk of landfall in the ECMWF 32-day ensemble. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L15802, doi: 10:1029/2009GL035089.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vitart, F., Prates, F., Bonet, A., and Sahin, C. (2012). New tropical cyclone products on the web. European Centre Medium-range Weather Forecasts Newsletter, No. 130, 17–23.Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×