This paper investigates the warrant pricing abilities of dilution-adjusted versions of the Black-Scholes and Jump-Diffusion option pricing models. Because of the typically long lives of warrants, their pricing is hypothesized to benefit from use of the Jump-Diffusion model, which relaxes the Black-Scholes restriction against stock price jumps. Empirical results indicate that while the Black-Scholes model almost uniformly provides more efficient estimates, the Jump-Diffusion model generally provides less biased estimates of market value. Particularly for the valuation of out-of-the-money warrants and warrants on stocks with a history of large and/or frequent jumps, the Jump-Diffusion model may be preferred.

This paper examines the signalling implications of sinking funds and shows that under information asymmetry the sinking fund amortization rate provides a credible signal for the quality of the firm. In a separating equilibrium, better quality firms choose higher sinking fund amortization rates in their bond issues. A latent index model is proposed for testing the hypothesis of sinking fund signalling. Empirical evidence indicates that the sinking fund amortization rate signals the credit quality of the firm.

This paper presents empirical evidence demonstrating that the risk and expected returns of common stocks typically change in the aftermath of large price movements. When temporary changes in uncertainty follow major financial events, subsequent stock returns should be positively correlated with the shift in return volatility. This prediction is strongly supported by the data on more than 9,100 daily price change events during 1962–1985. Moreover, the data also suggest that ex ante returns on common stocks may incorporate a premium for increases in parameter uncertainty associated with the events.

Most research on hedging has disregarded both the long-run cointegrating relationship between financial assets and the dynamic nature of the distributions of the assets. This study argues that neglecting these affects the hedging performance of the existing models and proposes an alternative model that accounts for both of them. Using a bivariate error correction model with a GARCH error structure, the risk-minimizing futures hedge ratios for several currencies are estimated. Both within-sample comparisons and out-of-sample comparisons reveal that the proposed model provides greater risk reduction than the conventional models. Furthermore, a dynamic hedging strategy is proposed in which the potential risk reduction is more than enough to offset the transactions costs for most investors.

This paper analyzes the strategy that minimizes the initial cost of replicating a contingent claim in a market with transactions costs and trading constraints. The linear programming and two-stage backward recursive models developed are applicable to the replication of convex as well as nonconvex payoffs and to a portfolio of options with different maturities. The paper's formulation conveniently accounts for fixed and variable transactions costs, lot size constraints, and position limits on trading. The article shows that in the presence of trading frictions, it is no longer optimal to revise one's portfolio in each period. At the optimum, cash flows in excess of the desired ones may be generated. The optimal policy trades off the curvature of the payoff that is generated against the terminal slack.

Rogalski-Tinic have reported a monthly pattern in ex post stock return variances that differs between small and large market capitalization firms. Maloney-Rogalski find that option prices reflect these monthly patterns ex ante. This study extends Maloney-Rogalski's work by devising an expiration-specific weighted implied standard deviation (WISD). It is found that: i) the monthly patterns in one-month WISDs are basically similar to the monthly patterns in ex post variances detected by Rogalski-Tinic for both large and small size firms, and ii) use of expiration-specific WISDs, as opposed to standard composite WISDs, results in improved performance of option pricing models.

This study analyzes the effect of second-hand information on the behavior of security prices and volume using analysts' recommendations published in the monthly “Dartboard” column of the Wall Street Journal. For the two days following the publication of the recommendations, average positive abnormal returns of 4 percent—nearly twice the level of abnormal returns documented in previous research on analyst recommendations—and average volume double normal volume levels on the two days following publication of the recommendations are documented. The positive abnormal return on announcement is partially reversed within 25 trading days. The authors conclude that the positive abnormal return on announcement of the recommendations is a result of naive buying pressure as well as the information content of the analysts' recommendations.

This paper analyzes the consequence for shareholders of a change in organizational form, the conversion of a corporation, or the spin-off of a unit into a limited partnership. Theory suggests that, prior to the Tax Reform Act of 1986, the tax benefits of conversion to a limited partnership and the creation of a new entity separate from the parent corporation should have a positive effect on shareholder wealth. On the other hand, the increase in agency costs of such an organizational change should decrease the wealth of shareholders. Empirical results lend support to hypotheses that predict an increase in stock price at the announcement of the conversion, but cannot identify the source of the gain.

This study examines whether earnings changes convey information in bond markets and finds a significant positive (negative) reaction to unexpected earnings increases (decreases). The results are consistent whether earnings announcements precede or follow dividend announcements. Thus, earnings surprises convey information to bond markets and changes in firm value are split among bondholders and stockholders. This is in contrast to evidence from studies examining unexpected dividend announcements where bond price reaction is asymmetric. Cross-sectional analysis reveals that bond excess returns are positively related to earnings surprises.

A vector autoregressive (VAR) model is used to examine the relation between aggregate insider transactions and stock market returns. Consistent with the extant literature, there is some predictive content associated with aggregate insider transactions, but its magnitude is slight. In contrast, market returns have substantial influence on the aggregate purchases and sales of corporate insiders. The findings suggest that: 1) the degree of mispricing observed by insiders is small; 2) very little of the mispricing is associated with unanticipated macroeconomic factors; and 3) investors cannot use aggregate insider transactions to profitably predict future market returns over the following eight weeks.

The purpose of this paper is to explain cross-sectional variations in trade credit terms across firms and industries. This study shows that there is a separating equilibrium in which the size of the cash discount conveys information about product quality. The driving forces of this equilibrium outcome are the risk-sharing motives of the producer and buyer as well as asymmetric information about product quality. The empirical implications of the model are derived and discussed in relation to industry practices.

Recent empirical studies have indicated that spin-offs are value enhancing, yet the theoretical aspects of spin-off gains have not been as well explored. This paper presents a theoretical analysis of spin-offs. In the model of the firm presented, outstanding risky debt gives rise to agency costs of underinvestment, which are offset by the benefit of debt-related tax shields. The trade-off specifies the optimal leverage for a firm. Within this framework, the paper considers whether and under what circumstances firm value could be enhanced by a spin-off. It is shown that a spin-off in which parent company debt is optimally allocated between the post-spin-off firms increases value by reducing agency costs and increasing the value of tax shields when the component firm cash flows are positively correlated. The optimal allocation is characterized in terms of the parameters of the technologies of the component firms. When the component cash flows are negatively correlated, under the sufficient conditions developed, a combined firm operation dominates spin-offs. Here, the coinsurance effect on investment incentives dominates the effect of a flexible allocation of debt across technologies in a spin-off.

A simple moment-ordering condition is shown to be necessary for stochastic dominance. Closely related results on generalizations of the geometric and harmonic means are also provided. An ordering of the moment-generating functions is shown to be necessary and sufficient for stochastic dominance. The results have a straightforward and useful interpretation in terms of constant relative and absolute risk aversion utility functions. These results are used to provide necessary and sufficient conditions for optimality of distributions on an important class of utility functions.

New measures of stock return volatility are developed to increase the precision of stock option price estimates. With Bayesian statistical methods, volatility estimates for a given stock are developed using prior information on the cross-sectional patterns in return volatilities for groups of stocks sorted on size, financial leverage, and trading volume. Call option values computed with the Bayesian procedure generally improve prediction accuracy for market prices of call options relative to those computed using implied volatility, standard historical volatility, or even the actual ex post volatility that occurred during each option's life. Although the Bayesian methods produce biased call price estimators, they do reduce the systematic tendency of standard pricing approaches to overprice (underprice) options on high (low) volatility stocks. Little bias improvement is observed with respect to the time to maturity and moneyness of the call options.