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15 - Machines versus Humans

Will Human Forex Dealers Become Extinct?

from Part III - Foreign Exchanges and International Architecture

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 March 2018

Philipp Hartmann
Affiliation:
European Central Bank, Frankfurt
Haizhou Huang
Affiliation:
China International Capital Corporation
Dirk Schoenmaker
Affiliation:
Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam
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Summary

The market microstructure of the foreign exchange markets has gone through many changes in the last thirty years. By the early 2000s, the interbank human brokers were almost all replaced by electronic broking systems, which centralised interbank trading. From the mid-1990s, bank computers, and later other financial institutions’ ones, with algorithmic trading programs were allowed to be connected to the electronic broking computers directly. On the one hand, bank computers made the market more efficient and more liquid, eliminating market anomalies. On the other hand, high frequency trading strategies turned away human dealers. Many microstructure changes in the 2010s, such as minimum quote life and retreating from decimalisation to half pip price unit, were designed to protect human dealers. The most recent innovations in the market is the emergence of dark pools, where banks operate in-house order matching systems, that takes trading away from electronic broking systems. Although dark pools may increase efficiency by allowing netting of orders at the bank level, transparency may be a concern. Human dealers may provide heterogeneity among market participants that may prevent a potential flash crash.
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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2018

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