Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: Challenge from Agenda 21
- 3 Risk analysis: The unbearable cleverness of bluffing
- 4 Aspects of uncertainty, reliability, and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar
- 5 Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting
- 6 Flood risk management: Risk cartography for objective negotiations
- 7 Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia
- 8 Developing an indicator of a community's disaster risk awareness
- 9 Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation
- 10 Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models
- 11 Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershed
- 12 Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems
- 13 Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input
- 14 Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty
- 15 System and component uncertainties in water resources
- 16 Managing water quality under uncertainty: Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method
- 17 Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change
- 18 Risk and reliability in water resources management: Theory and practice
- 19 Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria
- 20 Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems
- 21 Future of reservoirs and their management criteria
- 22 Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems
- 23 Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads
20 - Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 18 January 2010
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: Challenge from Agenda 21
- 3 Risk analysis: The unbearable cleverness of bluffing
- 4 Aspects of uncertainty, reliability, and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar
- 5 Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting
- 6 Flood risk management: Risk cartography for objective negotiations
- 7 Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia
- 8 Developing an indicator of a community's disaster risk awareness
- 9 Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation
- 10 Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models
- 11 Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershed
- 12 Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems
- 13 Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input
- 14 Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty
- 15 System and component uncertainties in water resources
- 16 Managing water quality under uncertainty: Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method
- 17 Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change
- 18 Risk and reliability in water resources management: Theory and practice
- 19 Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria
- 20 Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems
- 21 Future of reservoirs and their management criteria
- 22 Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems
- 23 Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads
Summary
ABSTRACT
One of the main characteristics of the sustainability concept is in the long-term evaluation of the possible set of outputs from any decision. Due to the fact that water resources projects have an extremely long physical lifetime and quite broad and diverse impacts, ranging from social, to environmental and economic outputs, the impact evaluation procedure is subjected to a substantial degree of uncertainty. Another approach is seen in the identification of actions that are as far as possible reversible to be able to cope with unexpected and disadvantageous outputs. It is the objective of this chapter to analyze the usefulness of measures such as reversibility to characterize sustainability. Two examples are investigated from which one is based on utilities that are time dependent, while in the other example a physically based approach is emphasized. Both examples refer to water and environmental management.
INTRODUCTION
Water management structures are designed for a long life time. Several reservoirs in the Middle East have been continuously operated for centuries and irrigation schemes date back over millennia (Garbrecht 1985; Garbrecht and Vogel 1991; Hartung and Kuros 1991; Glick 1970; Schnitter 1994; Petts, Möller, and Roux 1989). Similarly, navigation channels in Europe are being utilized since the medieval age, first for shipping purposes and now for recreation and tourism. On the other hand, many examples are known where reservoir capacity has been quickly decreased due to sedimentation processes, and large irrigation schemes are referenced which quickly lead to salinization of soils to such an extent that the irrigated area had to be abandoned (Goldsmith and Hildyard 1984).
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- Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2002
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