Book contents
- Lotteries, Knowledge, and Rational Belief
- Lotteries, Knowledge, and Rational Belief
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Contributors
- Introduction
- Chapter 1 Rational Belief and Statistical Evidence
- Chapter 2 Knowledge Attributions and Lottery Cases
- Chapter 3 The Psychological Dimension of the Lottery Paradox
- Chapter 4 Three Puzzles about Lotteries
- Chapter 5 Four Arguments for Denying that Lottery Beliefs Are Justified
- Chapter 6 Rethinking the Lottery Paradox
- Chapter 7 Rational Belief in Lottery- and Preface-Situations
- Chapter 8 Stability and the Lottery Paradox
- Chapter 9 The Lottery, the Preface, and Epistemic Rule Consequentialism
- Chapter 10 Beliefs, Probabilities, and Their Coherent Correspondence
- Chapter 11 The Relation between Degrees of Belief and Binary Beliefs
- Bibliography
- Index
Chapter 9 - The Lottery, the Preface, and Epistemic Rule Consequentialism
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 29 January 2021
- Lotteries, Knowledge, and Rational Belief
- Lotteries, Knowledge, and Rational Belief
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Contributors
- Introduction
- Chapter 1 Rational Belief and Statistical Evidence
- Chapter 2 Knowledge Attributions and Lottery Cases
- Chapter 3 The Psychological Dimension of the Lottery Paradox
- Chapter 4 Three Puzzles about Lotteries
- Chapter 5 Four Arguments for Denying that Lottery Beliefs Are Justified
- Chapter 6 Rethinking the Lottery Paradox
- Chapter 7 Rational Belief in Lottery- and Preface-Situations
- Chapter 8 Stability and the Lottery Paradox
- Chapter 9 The Lottery, the Preface, and Epistemic Rule Consequentialism
- Chapter 10 Beliefs, Probabilities, and Their Coherent Correspondence
- Chapter 11 The Relation between Degrees of Belief and Binary Beliefs
- Bibliography
- Index
Summary
In this chapter, we will revisit a recent solution to the lottery paradox by Igor Douven (2008b) that we believe, has been underappreciated. More specifically, we aim to show the following: First, Douven’s solution is best seen as epistemic rule consequentialist at heart and, once thus seen, it is more attractive than it might seem at first glance and indeed more than Douven himself would have us think. Second, Douven’s specific way of implementing epistemic rule consequentialism does not offer a fully satisfactory solution to the lottery paradox. Fortunately, however, a better alternative is available. Finally, third, we will work towards an epistemic rule consequentialist solution to the related preface paradox. Interestingly enough, while the lottery paradox does support the alternative form of rule consequentialism over Douven’s, in case of the preface paradox, it does not matter which version of the view one adopts. Both lead to the same result.
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- Lotteries, Knowledge, and Rational BeliefEssays on the Lottery Paradox, pp. 171 - 184Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2021