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13 - The New World of Financial Engineering

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

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Summary

Derivatives are financial weapons of mass destruction, carrying dangers that, while now latent, are potentially lethal.

We view them as time bombs, both for the parties that deal in them and the economic system.

~ Warren Buffett

Although the benefits and costs of derivatives remain the subject of spirited debate, the performance of the economy and the financial system in recent years suggests that those benefits have materially exceeded the costs.

~ Alan Greenspan

Now that we have completed an overview of how the Asian crisis evolved and the individual country stories, we are ready to review how that crisis created the conditions for the present global financial crisis.

History is a river of memory that runs from many streams, sometimes calm and other times cataclysmic. Like a decision tree chart, events fan out from turning points in history, setting the conditions for the next event. The factors that led to the Asian crisis were also the key reasons for the current crisis: globalization, technology, financial innovation and deregulation, but the last two factors were critical in the latter crisis. The build-up of leverage and globalization of trade and financial services could not have happened without financial innovation in new institutions and derivative products that changed the financial landscape. All these became possible because of financial deregulation.

In hindsight, we could see signs of the present crisis emanating from the Asian crisis. The lethal brew of large capital flows, high market volatility, leverage and investment banks were all there during the Asian crisis.

Type
Chapter
Information
From Asian to Global Financial Crisis
An Asian Regulator's View of Unfettered Finance in the 1990s and 2000s
, pp. 325 - 349
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2009

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