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12 - From Crisis to Integration

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

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Summary

Empires wax and wane, states cleave asunder and coalesce.

~ Romance of the Three Kingdoms, Chinese 15th-century novel

How bad was the damage from the Asian crisis? This chapter looks at the damage incurred and the steps taken by Asia as a region to prevent the next crisis.

ASIA'S GROWING PAINS: NEVER AGAIN!

There are several ways to measure the damage of the Asian crisis, including the loss of annual GDP, wealth and jobs. Various studies suggest that the output loss was quite large, ranging from Japan (17.6 percent) to Malaysia (50.0 percent), South Korea (50.1 percent), Indonesia (67.9 percent) and Thailand (97.7 percent).

In terms of wealth losses, Japan suffered the most, being the largest economy in Asia, and the deflation was the most long drawn. According to Nomura's Chief Economist Richard Koo, the Japanese economy lost ¥1,200 trillion in wealth because of the massive fall in asset prices between 1989 and 1998, equivalent to 2.7 times Japan's 1989 GDP. Most of the wealth loss resulted from the drop in land prices, with the price of land in six major cities falling by 85 percent. American analyst Jim Rohwer was more blunt: ‘Japan's financial problem in a nutshell was that from the beginning of 1990 to the end of 1998 around $4.5 trillion worth of wealth in the stock market, and $11.5 trillion worth in the property market, was destroyed without anyone – government, banks or companies – being prepared to recognize the losses’.

Type
Chapter
Information
From Asian to Global Financial Crisis
An Asian Regulator's View of Unfettered Finance in the 1990s and 2000s
, pp. 303 - 324
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2009

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