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1 - Sabermetrics: The Past, the Present, and the Future

from I - Baseball

Joseph A. Gallian
Affiliation:
University of Minnesota Duluth
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Summary

Abstract

This article provides an overview of sabermetrics, the science of learning about baseball through objective evidence. Statistics and baseball have always had a strong kinship, as many famous players are known by their famous statistical accomplishments, such as Joe Dimaggio's 56-game hitting streak and Ted Williams' .406 batting average in the 1941 baseball season. We give an overview of how one measures performance in batting, pitching, and fielding. In baseball, the traditional measures are batting average, slugging percentage, and on-base percentage, but modern measures such as OPS (on-base percentage plus slugging percentage) are better in predicting the number of runs a team will score in a game. Pitching is a harder aspect of performance to measure, since traditional measures such as winning percentage and earned run average are confounded by the abilities of the pitcher's teammates. Modern measures of pitching such as DIPS (defense independent pitching statistics) are helpful in isolating the contributions of a pitcher that do not involve his teammates. It is also challenging to measure the quality of a player's fielding ability, since the standard measure of fielding, the fielding percentage, is not helpful in understanding the range of a player in moving towards a batted ball. New measures of fielding have been developed that are useful in measuring a player's fielding range. Major League Baseball is measuring the game in new ways, and sabermetrics is using this new data to find better measures of player performance.

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Publisher: Mathematical Association of America
Print publication year: 2010

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