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Martingale-Based Hedge Error Control

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Peter Bossaerts
Affiliation:
California Institute of Technology
Bas Werker
Affiliation:
Tilburg University
L. C. G. Rogers
Affiliation:
University of Bath
D. Talay
Affiliation:
Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (INRIA), Rocquencourt
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Summary

Introduction

In the seminal paper of Black & Scholes (1973), the payoff on a European option is replicated perfectly by a dynamic strategy in the underlying security and a zero-coupon bond. Hence, the price of the replicating portfolio determines the no-arbitrage value for the option. Since that work of Black and Scholes, option pricing has been following this standard pattern of first specifying a perfect dynamic hedge, followed by an exploration of the pricing implications of the absence of arbitrage.

In Black–Scholes model, markets are complete in the sense that the payoff on the option is attainable through a dynamic trading strategy in the underlying stock and a money account. In practice, however, some of their assumptions can be proven wrong. Foremost, volatility is stochastic. In the absence of an asset that is instantaneously perfectly correlated with the volatility of the stock, market completeness is thereby invalidated. Likewise, actual rebalancing necessarily occurs over discrete intervals of time, in contrast with Black-Scholes continuous rebalancing.

If markets are incomplete, a blind application of complete-markets hedging strategies seems inappropriate. Most importantly, such policies do not self-correct even if a significant deviation from the target payoff is apparent. That immediately raises the question of whether there are hedging strategies that continuously correct in a way that facilitates error control. In other words, are there policies that adjust to past tracking errors such that the stochastic characteristics of the total tracking error become wellspecified?

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1997

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