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1 - Lessons from epidemiology

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 February 2013

Robin Hesketh
Affiliation:
University of Cambridge
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Summary

We begin by looking at cancer patterns worldwide. These are of interest because they show marked variations in the forms of the disease that afflict different populations. These differences indicate the importance of environmental factors that include lifestyle – for example, what we eat and tobacco use – in determining both the type of cancer and the frequency of occurrence. Although there is variation in cancer types, there is a broad trend of rising incidence across the world, for which a major driving force is increasing longevity. In the developed world lung, breast, bowel and prostate cancers head the mortality table. Taking all cancers together, the last 30 years has seen a gradual increase in the five-year survival rate, although there remain significant variations between nations and even within some countries. For the developing world the outlook is more depressing: not only is the annual number of new cases rising but inadequate screening programmes often mean that diagnosis is delayed until tumours have spread to secondary sites in the body and therefore become very difficult to treat. Analysis of cancer mortality in different age groups revealed many years ago that the additive effects of about half a dozen discrete events drives cancer development – the first direct evidence that the accumulation of mutations is the underlying cause.

Incidence

Every year over 12 million people worldwide are diagnosed with cancer. Europe and North America together contribute about 40% of this figure with just over half of all new cases (54%) arising in developing countries. Of the various types of cancer that contribute to these figures, lung cancer heads the list with 1.4 million new cases annually (12.5%) followed by breast (1.2 million, 10.6%) and colorectal (1 million, 9.4%) cancers (Fig. 1.1). The names of these three cancers will be familiar to American and British readers because they are also in the top four of their national figures for both incidence and deaths due to cancers. The other member of the Big Four in those countries, and in most of the developed world, is prostate cancer (679,000, 6.3%). However, in the world rankings prostate is pushed down to sixth on the list by stomach and cervical cancer (934,000 and 692,000 cases annually, respectively).

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2012

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  • Lessons from epidemiology
  • Robin Hesketh, University of Cambridge
  • Book: Introduction to Cancer Biology
  • Online publication: 05 February 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139012904.003
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  • Lessons from epidemiology
  • Robin Hesketh, University of Cambridge
  • Book: Introduction to Cancer Biology
  • Online publication: 05 February 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139012904.003
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Lessons from epidemiology
  • Robin Hesketh, University of Cambridge
  • Book: Introduction to Cancer Biology
  • Online publication: 05 February 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139012904.003
Available formats
×