Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-5c6d5d7d68-sv6ng Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-09-01T13:18:33.065Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

5 - Behaviour and prediction

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 October 2009

Get access

Summary

Rational Economic Man took the stage in Chapter 2, where we presented him as the embodiment of maximising models. He failed to steal the show, however, partly because he fell foul of the analytic-synthetic distinction and partly because behaviourism turned all models trivially into maximising models. We concluded that, if we could dispense with behaviourism, we could rescue much orthodox economic theory. In this chapter we shall press home our objections to behaviourism but the prospective rescue of orthodox theory will prove illusory. Even after shedding behaviourism, neo-Classicists still turn out to have a wrong notion of what an economic action is.

We shall begin by assessing the attraction of behaviourism for a Positivist science of prediction, based on regularities in nature. The existence of fallible human agents acting according to their idiosyncratic beliefs and intentions seems a threat to such a science and behaviourism removes the threat. Nevertheless we repeat that maximising models are distinguishable from others, only if economic behaviour is construed as a species of action proceeding from inner reflection. So the question will then become whether this notion of action can be squared with revealed preference theory, which is the Positive economist's version of demand theory. We shall contend first that optimising models are not straightforwardly predictive, although revealed preference theory would require them to be, and secondly that there is, in any case, no way of knowing what preferences are revealed by observable behaviour. Economic actions, we shall find, are to be explained in terms of inner preferences, thus casting doubt on the neo-Classical concept of preference. Can we then restate neo-Classical economics as a theory of economic action? No, we argue, neo-Classical actions are timeless fictions,

Type
Chapter
Information
Rational Economic Man , pp. 114 - 139
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1975

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

  • Behaviour and prediction
  • Hollis
  • Book: Rational Economic Man
  • Online publication: 12 October 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511554551.007
Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

  • Behaviour and prediction
  • Hollis
  • Book: Rational Economic Man
  • Online publication: 12 October 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511554551.007
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Behaviour and prediction
  • Hollis
  • Book: Rational Economic Man
  • Online publication: 12 October 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511554551.007
Available formats
×