Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-ttngx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-03T02:29:35.627Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

6 - Abenomics, Monetary Policy, and Consumption

from Part III - Macroeconomic Policy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 February 2021

Takeo Hoshi
Affiliation:
University of Tokyo
Phillip Y. Lipscy
Affiliation:
University of Toronto
Get access

Summary

This chapter provides an overview of Abenomics’ effects on financial markets and the real economy, with a focus on the effect of monetary policy. While many financial and real economic indicators showed success, consumption growth was sluggish. Household-level data from the Family Income and Expenditure Survey suggest that this is in part because monetary policy did not have the predicted expansionary effect on household consumption, even for those households expected to benefit most.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2021

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Angeletos, George-Marios, and Lian, Chen. 2018. “Forward guidance without common knowledge.” American Economic Review 108(9): 24772512.Google Scholar
Auclert, Adrien. 2019. “Monetary policy and the redistribution channel.” American Economic Review 109(6): 23332367.Google Scholar
Botman, Dennis, Danninger, Stephan, and Schiff, Jerald, eds. 2015. Can Abenomics succeed? Overcoming the legacy of Japan’s lost decades. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.Google Scholar
Campbell, John Y., and Shiller, Robert J.. 1988. “The dividend–price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors.” Review of Financial Studies 1(3): 195228.Google Scholar
Cashin, David, and Unayama, Takashi. 2016a. “The impact of a permanent income shock on consumption: Evidence from Japan’s 2014 VAT increase.” RIETI Discussion Paper Series 16-E-052.Google Scholar
Cashin, David, and Unayama, Takashi. 2016b. “Measuring intertemporal substitution in consumption: Evidence from a VAT increase in Japan.” Review of Economics and Statistics 98(2): 285297.Google Scholar
Cloyne, James, Ferreira, Clodomiro, and Surico, Paolo. 2020. “Monetary policy when households have debt: New evidence on the transmission mechanism.” Review of Economic Studies 87(1): 102129.Google Scholar
Eggertsson, Gauti B. 2008. “Great expectations and the end of the Depression.” American Economic Review 98(4): 14761516.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1933. “The debt-deflation theory of Great Depressions.” Econometrica 1(4): 337357.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fukuda, Shin-ichi, and Doita, Tsutomu. 2016. “Unconventional monetary policy and its external effects: Evidence from Japan’s exports.” Developing Economies 54(1): 5979.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Haidar, Jamal Ibrahim, and Hoshi, Takeo. 2015. “Implementing structural reforms in Abenomics: How to reduce the cost of doing business in Japan.” NBER Working Paper No. 21507.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hara, Ryota, Unayama, Takashi, and Weidner, Justin. 2016. “The wealthy hand to mouth in Japan.” Economics Letters 141: 5254.Google Scholar
Hausman, Joshua K., and Wieland, Johannes F.. 2014. “Abenomics: Preliminary analysis and outlook.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2014(1): 163.Google Scholar
Hausman, Joshua K., and Wieland, Johannes F.. 2015. “Overcoming the lost decades? Abenomics after three years.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2015(2): 385413.Google Scholar
Hausman, Joshua K., Rhode, Paul W., and Wieland, Johannes F.. 2019. “Recovery from the Great Depression: The farm channel in spring 1933.” American Economic Review 109(2): 427472.Google Scholar
Hausman, Joshua K., Unayama, Takashi, and Wieland, Johannes F.. 2019. “Abenomics, the housing market, and consumption.” Keizai Bunseki 200: 3762.Google Scholar
Holland, Tom. 2016. “The hidden agenda behind Japan’s Abenomics.” South China Morning Post, September 12.Google Scholar
Hoshi, Takeo. 2013. “Will Abenomics restore Japan’s growth?” Prepared for Macro Economy Research Conference “Prospects for Growth in the World’s Four Major Economies,” sponsored by Nomura Foundation and held at Brookings Institution, Washington, DC.Google Scholar
Ito, Takatoshi. 2013. “‘Abenomics’: Early success and prospects.” Economy, Culture, and History: Japan Spotlight, September/October, 47.Google Scholar
Ito, Takatoshi. 2014. “We are all QE-sians now.” IMES Discussion Paper Series 2014-E-5.Google Scholar
Ito, Takatoshi. 2016. “Japanization: Is it endemic or epidemic?” NBER Working Paper 21954.Google Scholar
Kihara, Leika. 2016. “BOJ eases policy by doubling ETF buying, underwhelms expectations.” Reuters, July 29.Google Scholar
Kurachi, Yoshiyuki, Ando, Masatoshi, and Shoji, Kanako. 2015. “Changes in the environment surrounding Japan’s exports: An approach focusing on global trade volume and export share.” Bank of Japan Review April: 1–9.Google Scholar
Kuroda, Haruhiko. 2013. “Overcoming deflation and after.” Speech at the Meeting of Councillors of Nippon Keidanren (Japan Business Federation), Tokyo, December 25.Google Scholar
McKay, Alisdair, Nakamura, Emi, and Steinsson, Jón. 2016. “The power of forward guidance revisited.” American Economic Review 106(10): 31333158.Google Scholar
Michelis, Andrea De, and Iacoviello, Matteo. 2016. “Raising an inflation target: The Japanese experience with Abenomics.” European Economic Review 88: 6787.Google Scholar
Miyao, Ryuzo, and Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi. 2017. “The macroeconomic effects of Japan’s unconventional monetary policies.” RIETI Discussion Paper Series 17-E-065.Google Scholar
Negro, Marco Del, Giannoni, Marc P., and Patterson, Christina. 2015. “The forward guidance puzzle.” Working Paper.Google Scholar
Nguyen, Thi-Ngoc Anh, and Sato, Kiyotaka. 2015. “Asymmetric exchange rate pass-through in Japanese exports: Application of the threshold vector autoregressive model.” RIETI Discussion Paper 15-E-098.Google Scholar
Patrick, Hugh. 2014. “Japan’s Abenomics: So far so good, but will it prevail?” Columbia Business School Center on Japanese Economy and Business Occasional Paper Series 67.Google Scholar
Rodnyansky, Alexander. 2018. “(Un)competitive devaluations and firm dynamics.” Working Paper.Google Scholar
Romer, Christina D. 2014. “It takes a regime shift: Recent developments in Japanese monetary policy through the lens of the Great Depression.” In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2013, edited by Parker, Jonathan A. and Woodford, Michael, pp. 383400. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Sakamoto, Mie. 2015. “BOJ adjustments signal limit to monetary easing.” Japan Times, December 19.Google Scholar
Sasaki, Yuri, and Yoshida, Yushi. 2017. “Factor decomposition of Japan’s trade balance.” RIETI Discussion Paper 17-E-042.Google Scholar
Shimizu, Junko, and Sato, Kiyotaka. 2015. “Abenomics, yen depreciation, trade deficit, and export competitiveness.” RIETI Discussion Paper 15-E-020.Google Scholar
Sieg, Linda, Yoshikawa, Yuko, and Kajimoto, Tetsushi. 2013. “Special Report: The deeper agenda behind ‘Abenomics’.” Reuters, May 23.Google Scholar
Thorbecke, Willem. 2017. “A yen for change: The strong yen and the Japanese automobile industry.” RIETI Discussion Paper 17-E-005.Google Scholar
Unayama, Takashi. 2010. “Discrepancy between saving rates in SNA and Family Income and Expenditure Survey and its implications (Japanese).” RIETI Discussion Paper Series 10-J-003.Google Scholar
Unayama, Takashi, and Komura, Norihiro. 2014. “Effects of stock prices on consumption: Evidence from stock price hike during Abenomics.” PRI Discussion Paper Series (No. 14A-09), Ministry of Finance (in Japanese).Google Scholar
Wong, Arlene. 2016. “Population aging and the transmission of monetary policy to consumption.”Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×