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Psychotic experiences, alcohol–cannabis abuse, stressful events and familial risk is associated with onset of clinical psychosis: Evidence from a 6-year longitudinal population-based cohort

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 March 2020

U. Kirli*
Affiliation:
Ege University School of Medicine, Department of Psychiatry, Izmir, Turkey
T. Binbay
Affiliation:
Dokuz Eylul University School of Medicine, Department of Psychiatry, Izmir, Turkey
H. Elbi
Affiliation:
Ege University School of Medicine, Department of Psychiatry, Izmir, Turkey
B. Kayahan
Affiliation:
Ege University School of Medicine, Department of Psychiatry, Izmir, Turkey
J. van Os
Affiliation:
Maastricht University Medical Centre School of Mental Health and Neuroscience, Department of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology, Maastricht, Netherlands
H. Onay
Affiliation:
Ege University School of Medicine, Department of Medical Genetics, Izmir, Turkey
F. Ozkınay
Affiliation:
Ege University School of Medicine, Department of Medical Genetics, Izmir, Turkey
D.K. Gokcelli
Affiliation:
Ege University School of Medicine, Department of Psychiatry, Izmir, Turkey
K. Alptekin
Affiliation:
Dokuz Eylul University School of Medicine, Department of Psychiatry, Izmir, Turkey
*
*Corresponding author.

Abstract

Introduction

Both clinical and subclinical psychosis is probably a consequence of underlying genetic and environmental interactions.

Objectives

Defining differential impact of environmental/familial risk factors and psychotic experiences across the onset of clinical psychosis.

Aims

To assess mental health outcomes in a 6-year follow-up of a representative general population sample with a special focus on extended psychosis phenotype.

Methods

Addresses were contacted in multistage clustered area probability sampling frame covering 9 districts and 302 neighbourhoods (n: 4011) at baseline (T1) and 6 years after (n: 2142) (T2). Psychotic experiences were screened with Composite International Diagnostic Interview and probable cases were re-interviewed with SCID-I. Relations were tested using logistic regression models.

Results

Of subclinical psychotic symptoms at baseline, 6.4% transitioned to clinical psychosis; 44.4% persisted, 90.2% transitioned to any DSM disorder. Of newly onset clinical psychosis at T2, 62.8% had subclinical psychotic expressions at baseline. The risk of developing clinical psychosis was greater in those with baseline subclinical psychotic experiences, alcohol–cannabis abuse, stressful-forensic event history and family history of mental disorders. Most of risk factors associated with psychosis proneness at T1 were also associated with clinical psychotic outcome at T2 (Table 1).

Conclusions

Psychotic experiences takes attention for the risk to develop psychosis due to underlying genetic and environmental interactions; also may be an important risk factor to develop any mental disorder.

Disclosure of interest

The authors have not supplied their declaration of competing interest.

Type
EW408
Copyright
Copyright © European Psychiatric Association 2016

Table 1 Associations between independent variables and newly onset clinical psychosis at T 2.

* Adjusted for age, sex, education level and health insurance status.

Figure 0

Table 1 Associations between independent variables and newly onset clinical psychosis at T2.* Adjusted for age, sex, education level and health insurance status.

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