Introduction
Introduced mammals have dramatically altered ecological processes on many of the world's islands, including sites that support some of the largest assemblages of breeding seabirds (Howald et al. Reference Howald, Donlan, Galvan, Russell, Parkes, Samaniego, Wang, Veitch, Genovesi, Pascal, Saunders and Tershy2007, Donlan and Wilcox Reference Donlan and Wilcox2008, Jones et al. Reference Jones, Tershy, Zavaleta, Croll, Keitt, Finkelstein and Howald2008). Their effects are many and varied. Predatory species kill adult birds and their offspring, ultimately eradicating ecologically important species and disrupting nutrient transfer from sea to land (Croll et al. Reference Croll, Maron, Estes, Danner and Byrd2005, Fukami et al. Reference Fukami, Wardle, Bellingham, Mulder, Towns, Yeates, Bonner, Durrett, Grant-Hoffman and Williamson2006). Herbivorous species can also have strong effects on island ecosystems, as when their browsing or grazing alters vegetation dynamics and accelerates rates of soil erosion, potentially causing landslides, and leading to the loss of seabird breeding habitat (Donlan et al. Reference Donlan, Tershy and Croll2002, Frenot et al. Reference Frenot, Chown, Whinam, Selkirk, Convey, Skotnicki and Bergstrom2005, van der Wal et al. Reference Van Der Wal, Truscott, Pearce, Cole, Harris and Wanless2008). In recent decades, programmes to eradicate introduced mammals from islands have become major components of global seabird conservation programmes (Taylor et al. Reference Taylor, Kaiser and Drever2000, Donlan et al. Reference Donlan, Croll and Tershy2003).
Among important issues for seabird conservation on Canada's Pacific coast, problems with introduced mammals on breeding colonies stand out (Rodway Reference Rodway and Croxall1991, Hartman et al. Reference Hartman, Gaston and Eastman1997). The Scott Islands, a small archipelago of five main islands plus associated rocks (Figure 1), support the largest aggregation of breeding seabirds in the north-eastern Pacific Ocean south of Alaska (Rodway Reference Rodway and Croxall1991). However, three of the five islands support introduced mammals. Lighthouse keepers brought European Rabbits Oryctolagus cuniculus to Triangle Island in the 1920s, while fur farmers brought American Mink Neovison vison to Lanz Island and Raccoons Procyon lotor to Cox Island in the 1930s (Carl et al. Reference Carl, Guiget and Hardy1951). Subsequently, American Mink now occur on Cox Island, having colonised the island by dispersing from Lanz Island. The two carnivores virtually eradicated seabird populations on Lanz and Cox islands between 1949 and 1987 (Carl et al. Reference Carl, Guiget and Hardy1951, Rodway et al. Reference Rodway, Lemon and Summers1990) while there has been little assessment of the ecological effects of herbivorous rabbits on the plant and seabird communities at Triangle Island.
Figure 1. Map showing the location of the Scott Islands, British Columbia, Canada.
Introduced rabbits have altered plant communities on seabird islands around the world (Gillham Reference Gillham1963). On Triangle Island, we have noticed dramatic changes in the vegetation, chiefly a decrease in Tufted Hairgrass Deschampsia cespitosa cover and a concomitant increase in Salmonberry Rubus spectabilis cover. These trends are evident from descriptions of the island's vegetation over decadal scales (Carl et al. Reference Carl, Guiget and Hardy1951, Rodway et al. Reference Rodway, Lemon and Summers1990), and are obvious from photographs taken since the late 1980s of the steep sea slopes where most seabirds nest (Figure 2). Similar changes on seabird islands elsewhere have been causally linked to rabbit introductions, e.g., reductions in native Deschampsia at the Kerguelen Islands, in the southern Indian Ocean (Chapuis et al. Reference Chapuis, Frenot and Lebouvier2004), and decreases in native tall tussock grasses at sub-Antarctic Macquarie Island (Scott and Kirkpatrick Reference Scott and Kirkpatrick2008). In both situations, at least partial recovery of the vegetation occurred after removal of rabbits (Chapuis et al. Reference Chapuis, Frenot and Lebouvier2004) or reductions in their numbers due to disease (Scott and Kirkpatrick Reference Scott and Kirkpatrick2008).
Figure 2. Comparative photos of the South Bay slope on Triangle Island in 1989 (top) and 2006 (bottom), showing the decrease in Tufted Hairgrass cover and increase in Salmonberry cover. Tufted Hairgrass areas are outlined in a solid white line on both photos, within a comparable area outlined in a dashed white line. Areas of Tufted Hairgrass were determined from examination of colour versions of the photographs.
Triangle Island supports the world's largest breeding population of Cassin's Auklet Ptychoramphus aleuticus, a small (~180 g) zooplanktivorous seabird that at this colony selects areas covered in Tufted Hairgrass, while avoiding tall Salmonberry, for excavating its nesting burrows (Vermeer et al. Reference Vermeer, Vermeer, Summers and Billings1979). In addition, we occasionally find dead Cassin's Auklets in amongst the branches of tall, dense Salmonberry, having become trapped either when landing on, or departing from, the nesting slopes. Therefore, we believe the vegetation changes have serious medium to long-term conservation implications for a species that is already in decline within the heart of its global range in the California Current marine system. The declines appear to be a consequence of recent oceanographic conditions (Bertram et al. Reference Bertram, Harfenist and Smith2005, Lee et al. Reference Lee, Nur and Sydeman2007, Hipfner Reference Hipfner2008).
Here, we test a simple hypothesis: that rabbits have been important factors driving the vegetation changes we have seen at Triangle Island. To do this, we carried out surveys on two islands, Triangle and Sartine, situated ~10 km apart, over similar time periods. Like Triangle Island, Sartine is a treeless island that supports a large breeding population of several hundred thousand Cassin's Auklets, but unlike Triangle, Sartine is free of rabbits or any other non-native mammals. Comparable (though not identical) baseline vegetation and seabird data were available from 1989 on Triangle Island and from 1987 on Sartine Island (Rodway et al. Reference Rodway, Lemon and Summers1990). These earlier surveys, combined with surveys in 2004 (Triangle) and 2006 (Sartine), facilitated this comparison.
Materials and methods
The methods used to survey vegetation and seabird populations on the Scott Islands in the 1980s have been described in detail elsewhere (Rodway et al. Reference Rodway, Lemon and Summers1990).
Triangle Island
As part of a long-term programme to estimate and track trends in seabird populations in British Columbia, fifteen 10 m × 10 m permanent monitoring plots were established within the boundaries of the main part of the Cassin's Auklet breeding colony on Triangle Island in 1989. These plots were located along regularly-spaced transects which were part of a colony-wide census of the island conducted in that same year. The number of Cassin's Auklet burrows contained in each plot and the percentage and species composition of ground cover were recorded by teams of 3–4 people. Within each plot, the species or category type of vegetation (grass, herbs and forbs, Salmonberry) and its percentage ground cover were visually estimated, and distinct boundaries between vegetation types were drawn on a gridded map of the plot. To make the process easier, teams subdivided each plot into four 5 m × 5 m sections, counted burrows and estimated ground cover in each section, then summed totals across the whole 100 m2 plot.
The monitoring plots were first surveyed between 2 July and 16 August 1989, marked with metal stakes at each corner, and their locations drawn on a topographic map of the island. In later years, the plots were georeferenced with a Garmin GPS unit. The plot surveys were repeated from 11 June to July 4, 2004.
Sartine Island
On Sartine Island, vegetation cover and Cassin's Auklet burrow numbers were quantified in a total of 187 1 m × 1 m plots located at 5 m intervals along a system of seven regularly-spaced transects from 9 to 13 July 1987. The starting point for each transect and its compass bearing were described and mapped on an outline of an aerial photo of the island. We resurveyed six of the seven transects on Sartine Island on 3–5 August 2006 (it was not safe to resurvey transect 6, given a rock slide in the interim). In addition, we visited Lanz and Cox islands on 5–21 July 1987 when most of the coastline of each island was explored on foot. Areas of the coastline on the two islands which were identified as potential seabird nesting habitat in 1987 were revisited on 9–12 August 2006.
Results
Triangle Island
At Triangle Island, our surveys of the set of 15 100-m2 monitoring plots in 1989 and 2004 revealed that the average area covered by grass decreased from ~68 to ~38 m2 (paired-t 14 = 5.87, P < 0.001), while the average area covered by Salmonberry increased from ~13 to ~33 m2 (paired-t 14 = 3.94, P = 0.001, Figure 3). The remaining changes were due to increases in ferns and various forbs on several plots. Over the same period, the average number of Cassin's Auklet burrows per plot decreased from 208 to 143 (paired-t 14 = 4.38, P < 0.001). Within individual plots, the change in the number of burrows was not correlated with changes in cover of either grass or Salmonberry (both r 2 < 0.01). However, the auklets’ consistent use of grass-covered areas for burrowing was evident: a second order polynomial fit to the data pooled across the two time periods (r 2 = 0.65, n = 30, F = 24.74, P < 0.001; number of burrows per 100-m2 plot = 115.1 + 0.03 × grass cover2 - 1.14 × grass cover) showed that the number of burrows per plot increased from ~100 in plots with no grass cover to ~300 in plots with 100% grass cover (Figure 4). There was also a weaker negative linear relationship between the number of burrows and Salmonberry cover (r 2 = 0.19, n = 30, F = 5.83, P = 0.02; number of burrows per 100 m2 plot = 204.20 – 1.23 × Salmonberry cover).
Figure 3. Area of grass (top) and Salmonberry (bottom) within fifteen 10m × 10m plots at Triangle Island in 1989 (white bars) and 2004 (black bars).
Figure 4. Relationship between the number of Cassin's Auklet burrows and area of grass cover on 100 m2 plots at Triangle Island in 1989 (filled circles) and 2004 (open circles).
Sartine Island
Within the 187 (1987) or 175 (2006) 1-m2 plots at Sartine Island, the median area under grass cover decreased from 0.95 m2 to 0.70 m2 (Mann-Whitney U-test, 
, P < 0.001) between 1987 and 2006 (Table 1). Salmonberry cover increased concurrently (Mann-Whitney U-test, 
, P < 0.01), although the median was 0 m2 in both 1987 and 2006 (Figure 5). Over the same time period, the mean number of Cassin's Auklet burrows on the 1 m2 plots decreased from 2.5 to 1.3 (t 360 = 6.76, P < 0.001). As at Triangle, the density of auklet burrows increased with grass cover at Sartine: a second order polynomial fit to the data pooled across the two time periods (r 2 = 0.24, n = 362, F = 47.17, P < 0.001; number of burrows per 1 m2 plot = 0.98 + 0.0002 × percentage grass cover2 + 0.003 × grass cover) showed that the number of burrows per plot increased from ~1 in plots with no grass cover to ~3 in plots with 100% grass cover (Figure 6). Again, there was also a weak negative linear relationship between the number of auklet burrows and the extent of Salmonberry cover (r 2 = 0.14, n = 362, F = 56.74, P < 0.001; number of burrows per 1-m2 plot = 2.34 – 0.02 × percent Salmonberry cover).
Figure 5. Frequency distribution showing the area covered by grass (top) and Salmonberry (bottom) within 1 m × 1 m plots at Sartine Island in 1987 (white bars) and 2006 (black bars).
Figure 6. Relationship between the number of Cassin's Auklet burrows and area of grass cover on 1 m × 1 m plots at Sartine Island in 1987 (filled circles) and 2006 (open circles). Note that many dots represent more than one data point.
Table 1. Vegetation cover (percentage of total area) within 1 m2 plots located at 5 m intervals along six transects on Sartine Island surveyed in both 1987 and 2006. Transect 6 was not surveyed in 2006 because it was unsafe to access.
Discussion
At Triangle Island, our surveys revealed that there has been a dramatic decrease in Tufted Hairgrass cover and a concomitant increase in Salmonberry cover within the fifteen 100-m2 monitoring plots between 1989 and 2004. Although differences in survey methods precluded a single analysis in which island could be included as a factor to enable direct island-to-island comparisons, the same general patterns were evident within the smaller (1 m2) and more numerous plots at Sartine Island between 1987 and 2006. The increase in Salmonberry appears to be occurring more slowly at Sartine than at Triangle, perhaps because Salmonberry has been well established for longer on the top of Triangle than on the top of Sartine (Carl et al. Reference Carl, Guiget and Hardy1951). Regardless, the fact that the same types of changes in plant communities occurred both in the presence (Triangle) and the absence (Sartine) of rabbits suggests that rabbits have not been the primary agents of change, as they have on seabird islands elsewhere (Gillham Reference Gillham1963).
If not rabbits, then what is causing the vegetation changes? One possibility is that they are natural successional processes. Burrow-nesting seabirds such as Cassin's Auklet tend to reduce plant species diversity, and cause stunting or elimination of woody shrub cover (Bancroft et al. Reference Bancroft, Roberts and Garkaklis2005, Ellis Reference Ellis2005). Stunting and elimination of woody vegetation and expansion of grassy habitat have been observed on other seabird colonies where burrowing areas have expanded (Rodway et al. Reference Rodway, Regehr and Chardine2003). Thus, the possibility exists that recent vegetation changes witnessed on Triangle Island are a response to declining levels of activity and disturbance by burrow-nesting seabirds.
Climatic changes can also affect plant community dynamics on islands, and in some situations even override the more direct effects of invasive herbivores (Donlan et al. Reference Donlan, Croll and Tershy2003). Over the period from 1970 to 2005, summers in the Scott Islands have become warmer (~1oC increase in the average air temperature from April to August inclusive) and drier (~200 mm less total average precipitation), based on weather records at Cape Scott, 30 km east of Sartine Island (Figure 7). Many studies, most of them in high latitude and high altitude environments, have shown that climatic changes can alter the competitive interactions among species within plant communities (Dormann and Woodin Reference Dormann and Woodin2002, Klanderud and Totland Reference Klanderud and Totland2005). Climatic changes of similar magnitude to those occurring in coastal British Columbia have been linked to vegetation changes on seabird islands elsewhere, including decreases in native tall-tussock grasses (Donlan et al. Reference Donlan, Croll and Tershy2003, Chapuis et al. Reference Chapuis, Frenot and Lebouvier2004). Further research will be needed to determine the balance of factors, which might act independently, interactively or synergistically, that are altering the competitive environment for plants in the Scott Islands.
Figure 7. Annual mean air temperature (top), and annual total precipitation (bottom) from April to August inclusive, measured at Cape Scott light station, 1970–2004.
Regardless of the causes of the changes in the plant community, we believe that they have serious medium to long-term conservation implications for the globally significant seabird populations on the Scott Islands. Of particular concern is that these islands support perhaps 70% of the world's breeding population of Cassin's Auklets (Rodway Reference Rodway and Croxall1991) and that the population on Triangle Island has suffered dramatic declines, especially in the late 1990s (Bertram et al. Reference Bertram, Harfenist and Smith2005) and following the unusual atmospheric event in 2005 (Sydeman et al. Reference Sydeman, Bradley, Warzybok, Abraham, Jahnke, Hyrenbach, Kously, Hipfner and Ohman2006). The marked decrease in burrow density on Sartine Island suggests that the breeding population there has declined by a similar magnitude.
At Triangle Island, there was no correlation between temporal changes in burrow density and vegetation type, which indicates that changes in the plant community are not actively driving the birds' population declines. There is compelling evidence that the declines are related to recent oceanographic conditions (Mackas et al. Reference Mackas, Batten and Trudel2007), which have decreased food availability and reduced the birds' productivity (Bertram et al. Reference Bertram, Mackas and McKinnell2001, Hipfner Reference Hipfner2008, Hipfner et al. in press) and survival (Bertram et al. Reference Bertram, Harfenist and Smith2005). We believe that the lack of correlation between changes in burrow density and vegetation reflects first, that the temporal changes in vegetation within plots were small compared to the variation among plots; and second, that the major factors driving declines in population size (thus burrow density) were oceanic rather than terrestrial. Nonetheless, the decrease in tussock grass and increase in Salmonberry will certainly reduce the carrying capacity of the two outer Scott Islands for Cassin's Auklets: on both Triangle and Sartine islands, Cassin's Auklet nesting density increased threefold (from ~1 to ~3 burrows m-2) with grass cover, and decreased (weakly) with Salmonberry cover. Both tendencies were noted previously (Vermeer et al. Reference Vermeer, Vermeer, Summers and Billings1979). But these authors showed that Cassin's Auklets particularly avoid tall Salmonberry, and this plant has invaded recently and remains relatively short (< 1 m) in most of the areas where Cassin's Auklet plots were established on Triangle Island in 1989. We also encountered very little tall Salmonberry (> 1.5 m) along the transects on Sartine Island.
Given that we can expect habitat modification to continue on the treeless outer islands (Triangle and Sartine), restoration of the larger, forested inner islands (Lanz and Cox) as seabird breeding sites through removal of American Mink and Raccoons should be viewed as a conservation priority. Cassin's Auklets readily nest on forested islands in Haida Gwaii (Rodway Reference Rodway and Croxall1991). A faunal survey of Lanz and Cox islands in 1949 revealed that within two decades of their introduction, American Mink and Raccoons had decimated formerly large seabird breeding populations located on grass-covered headlands and fringing coastal areas (Carl et al. Reference Carl, Guiget and Hardy1951). Among the species affected were Cassin's Auklet, Rhinoceros Auklet Cerorhinca monocerata, Black Oystercatcher Haematopus bachmani, Glaucous-winged Gull Larus glaucescens, and possibly Ancient Murrelet Synthliboramphus aleuticus, the latter a species of Special Concern in Canada.
Surveys in 1987 found that a small number of Cassin's Auklets continued to visit Lanz Island, with a few burrows found on grassy headlands, suggesting that the birds were still attempting to breed. However, the presence of scat containing feathers indicated that the seabirds were being killed by mink (Rodway et al. Reference Rodway, Lemon and Summers1990). On our visit to Lanz and Cox islands in 2006 we found neither seabird burrows nor other evidence of breeding, and considerable amounts of feather-free American Mink and Raccoon scat. We did, however, find two feather piles in the forest on Lanz Island, one Cassin's Auklet and one Rhinoceros Auklet, which might indicate that birds are still visiting the colony. If so, then breeding populations could potentially re-establish themselves quickly following the removal of the introduced predators. Environment Canada's Canadian Wildlife Service, in collaboration with partners, is also assessing the marine ecosystem around the Scott Islands to develop the scientific support for policy or regulatory instruments, such as a Marine Wildlife Area, to assure long-term protection of seabirds and their foraging habitat. We believe that long-term conservation of these globally significant seabird populations will also require restoration of the terrestrial habitat that these populations depend on for breeding.
Acknowledgements
We thank Jessica Beaubier, Samantha Franks, Jennifer Greenwood, Glen Keddie, Nicole Koshure and Laurie Savard for assistance with surveys in 2004 and 2006. Funding was provided by Environment Canada's Canadian Wildlife Service and British Columbia Parks, while transportation to and from the islands was provided by West Coast Helicopters and Sea Legend Water Taxi. We dedicate this paper to Rudi Drent, who helped pioneer seabird research on the British Columbia coast.
