Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-wzw2p Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-01T14:25:48.143Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Brain over brawn: Job polarisation, structural change, and skill prices

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 January 2024

Sasiwimon Warunsiri Paweenawat*
Affiliation:
Faculty of Economics, Thammasat University, Bangkok, Thailand
Lusi Liao
Affiliation:
Institute of Strategy Research for the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, China
*
Corresponding author: Sasiwimon Warunsiri Paweenawat; Emails: sasiwimon@econ.tu.ac.th; sasiwimon.warunsiri@gmail.com

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between occupational skills and wages in Thailand using the Labour Force Survey from 1985 to 2020. We quantify the contribution of changes in the skill requirement and highlight the increase in the return on the ‘brain’ and the decrease in the penalty on ‘brawn’, which helps explain the wage distribution changes across periods. We further explore the polarisation in the labour market and analyse the changes in the wage distribution by applying the decomposition method proposed by Firpo et al (2009). Our results suggest that wage dispersion increases in the top end over the first two time periods but decreases in the third time period, while it continues to decrease in the lower end of the distribution.

Type
Original Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The University of New South Wales

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Acemoglu, D and Autor, D (2011) Skills, tasks and technologies: implications for employment and earnings. Handbook of Labor Economics 4, 10431171.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Antonczyk, D, DeLeire, T and Fitzenberger, B (2018) Polarisation and rising wage inequality: comparing the U.S. and Germany. Econometrics 6, 20. https://doi.org/10.1017.10.3390/econometrics6020020.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Atkinson, A, Piketty, T and Saez, E (2011) Top incomes in the long run of history. Journal of Economic Literature 49(1), 371.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autor, H and Dorn, D (2013) The growth of low-skill service jobs and the polarization of the US labor market. American Economic Review 103(5), 15531597.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autor, DH (2015) Why are there still so many jobs? The history and future of workplace automation. Journal of Economic Perspectives 29(3), 330.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autor, DH (2019) Work of the past, work of the future. American Economic Association: Papers and Proceeding 109(5), 132.Google Scholar
Autor, DH, Katz, LF and Kearney, MS (2006) The polarization of the U.S. labor market. American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 96(2), 189194.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autor, DH, Katz, LF and Kearney, MS (2008) Trends in U.S. wage inequality: revising the revisionists. Review of Economics and Statistics 90(2), 300323.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autor, DH, Levy, F and Murnane, RJ (2003) The skill content of recent technological change: an empirical exploration. Quarterly Journal of Economics 118(4), 12791333.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bárány, ZL and Siegel, C (2018) Job polarization and structural change. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 10(1), 5789.Google Scholar
Biewen, M, Fitzenberger, B and Lazzer, J (2017) Rising wage inequality in Germany: increasing heterogeneity and changing selection into full-time work. IZA Discussion Paper, No. 11072, IZA, Bonn, Germany.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blinder, AS (1973) Wage discrimination: reduced form and structural estimates. The Journal of Human Resources 8(4), 436455.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blinder, AS (2009) How many U.S. jobs might be offshorable? World Economics 10(2), 4178.Google Scholar
Blinder, AS and Krueger, AB (2013) Alternative measures of offshorability: a survey approach. Journal of Labor Economics 31(2), 97128.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bordot, F and Lorentz, A (2021) Automation and labor market polarization in an evolutionary model with heterogeneous workers. Working Paper. LEM Working Paper Series.Google Scholar
Buera, F, Kaboski, J, Rogerson, R and Vizcaino, J (2018) Skill-biased structural change. Working Papers 21165, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.Google Scholar
Card, D (2001) Estimating the return to schooling: progress on some persistent econometric problems. Econometric Society 69(5), 11271160.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Card, D, Heining, J and Kline, P (2013) Workplace heterogeneity and the rise of West German wage inequality. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 128(3), 9671015.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cavaglia, C and Etheridge, B (2020) Job polarization and the declining quality of knowledge workers: evidence from the UK and Germany. Labour Economics 66, 101884.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cornfeld, O and Danieli, O (2015) The Origins of Income Inequality in Israel. Israel Economic Review 12(2), 5195. Google Scholar
Dawid, H and Neugart, M (2021) Effects of technological change and automation on industry structure and (wage-) inequality: insights from a dynamic task-based model. Working Paper. Bielefeld Working Papers in Economics and Management.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
DiNardo, J, Fortin, NM and Lemieux, T (1996) Labor market institutions and the distribution of wages, 1973–1992: a semiparametric approach. Econometrica 64(5), 10011044.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dustmann, C, Ludsteck, J and Schonberg, U (2009) Revisiting the German wage structure. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 124(2), 843881.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fierro, LE, Caiani, A and Russo, A (2022) Automation, job polarisation, and structural change. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 200, 499535.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Firpo, S, Fortin, NM and Lemieux, T (2009) Unconditional quantile regressions. Econometrica 77(3), 953973.Google Scholar
Firpo, S, Fortin, NM and Lemieux, T (2011) Occupational tasks and changes in the wage structure. IZA Discussion paper No.5542.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Firpo, S, Fortin, NM and Lemieux, T (2018) Decomposing wage distributions using recentered influence function regressions. Econometrics 6, 28. https://doi.org/10.1017.10.3390/econometrics6020028.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldberg, PK and Pavcnik, N (2007) Distributional effects of globalization in developing countries. Journal of Economic Literature 45(1), 3982.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldin, CD and Katz, LF (2009) The Race Between Education and Technology. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Goos, M and Manning, A (2007) Lousy and lovely jobs: the rising polarization of work in Britain. Review of Economics and Statistics 89(1), 118133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goos, M, Manning, A and Salomons, A (2009) The polarization of the European labor market. American Economic Review 99(2), 5863.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goos, M, Manning, A and Salomons, A (2014) Explaining job polarization: routine-biased technological change and offshoring. American Economic Review 104(8), 25092526.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hanson, GH and Robertson, R (2008) China and the manufacturing exports of other developing countries. Technical report, National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hawley, JD (2004) Changing returns to education in times of prosperity and crisis, Thailand 1985–1998. Economics of Education Review 23, 273286.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Helmy, O (2015) Skill demand polarization in Egypt. Middle East Development Journal 7(1), 2648. https://doi.org/10.1017.10.1080/17938120.2015.1019291.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ikemoto, Y and Uehara, M (2000) Income inequality and Kuznets’ hypothesis in Thailand. Asian Economic Journal 14(4), 421443.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ikenaga, T and Kambayashi, R (2016) Task polarization in the Japanese labor market: evidence of a long-term trend. Industrial Relations 55(2), 267293.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ingram, BF and Neumann, GR (2006) The returns to skill. Labour Economics 13(1), 3559.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Israngkura, A (2003) Income inequality and university financing in Thailand. Discussion paper of NIDA, National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA).Google Scholar
Jensen, JB and Kletzer, LG (2010) Measuring the task content of offshorable services jobs, tradable services and job loss. In Abraham, K, Harper, M and Spletzer, J (eds), Labor in the New Economy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 309335.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Juhn, C, Murphy, K and Pierce, B (1993) Wage inequality and the rise in returns to skill. The Journal of Political Economy 101, 410442.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Katz, LF and Autor, DH (1999) Changes in the wage structure and earnings inequality. In Ashenfelter, O and Card, D (eds), Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. 3. Amsterdam: North-Holland and Elsevier, 14631555.Google Scholar
Katz, L and Margo, R (2013) US Technical change and the relative demand for skilled labor: the Uited States in historical perspective. Available at http://www.nber.org/papers/w18752 Google Scholar
Katz, LF and Murphy, KM (1999) Changes in relative wages, 1963–1987: supply and demand factors. Quarterly Journal of Economics CVII(1992), 3578.Google Scholar
Kilenthong, W (2016) Finance and inequality in Thailand. Thailand and The World Economy 34(3), 5078.Google Scholar
Knodel, J (1997) The closing of the gender gap in schooling: the case of Thailand. Comparative Education 33(1), 6186.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Koeniger, W, Leonardi, M and Nunziata, L (2007) Labor market institutions and wage inequality. Industrial & Labor Relations Review 6(3), 340356.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krongkaew, M (1985) Agricultural development, rural poverty, and income distribution in Thailand. Developing Economics 23, 325346.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kurita, K and Kurosaki, T (2011) Dynamics of growth, poverty and inequality: a panel analysis of regional data from Thailand and the Philippines. Asian Economic Journal 25, 333.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lathapipat, D (2009) Changes in the Thai wage structure before and after the 1997 economic crisis. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.1017.10.2139/ssrn.1483584.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lathapipat, D and Chucherd, T (2013) Labor market functioning and Thailand’s competitiveness, Bank of Thailand. Discussion Paper 03/2013, Bank of Thailand.Google Scholar
Leckcivilize, A (2015) Does the minimum wage reduce wage inequality? Evidence from Thailand. IZA Journal of Labor & Development 4(21), 123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lemieux, T (2006) Post-secondary education and increasing wage inequality. American Economic Review 96(2), 195199.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lise, J, Sudo, N, Suzuki, M, Yamada, K and Yamada, T (2014) Wage, income and consumption inequality in Japan, 1981–2008: from boom to lost decades. Review of Economic Dynamics 17, 582612.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maarek, P and Moiteaux, E (2021) Polarization, employment and the minimum wage: evidence from European local labor markets. Labour Economics 73, 102076.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Machin, S (2003) Wage Inequality Since 1975. In Dickens R, Gregg P and Wadsworth J (eds), The Labour Market Under New Labour . London: Palgrave Macmillan, 191200. CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maloney, WF and Molina, C (2016) Are automation and trade polarizing developing country labor markets, too? World Bank Group Policy Research Working Paper 7922.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Meesook, O (1979) Income, consumption and poverty in Thailand: 1962/63 to 1975/76. World Bank staff working paper no. 364, The World Bank.Google Scholar
Mellacher, P and Scheuer, T (2020) Wage inequality, labor market polarization and skill-biased technological change: an evolutionary (agent-based) approach. Computational Economics, 146. https://doi.org/10.1017.10.1007/s10614-020-10026-0.Google Scholar
Motonishi, T (2006) Why Has Income inequality in Thailand Increased?: an analysis using surveys from 1975 to 1998. Japan and the World Economy 18(4), 464487.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nakavachara, V (2010) Superior female education: explaining the gender earnings gap trend in Thailand. Journal of Asian Economics 21, 198218.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oaxaca, RL (1973) Male-female wage differentials in Urban labor markets. International Economic Review 14(3), 693709.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Park, YJ, Shim, M, Yang, H and Yoo, SY (2023) Is job polarization path-dependent? Evidence from Korea. Applied Economics Letters 30(18), 24952499.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Paweenawat, SW (2022) The impact of global value chain integration on wages evidence from matched worker-industry data in Thailand. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy 27(4), 757780.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Paweenawat, SW and Liao, L (2022) Parenthood penalty and gender wage gap: recent evidence from Thailand. Journal of Asian Economics 78, 101435.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Paweenawat, SW and McNown, R (2014) The determinants of income inequality in Thailand: a synthetic cohort analysis. Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31, 1021.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Paweenawat, SW and Vechbanyongratana, J (2015) Wage consequences of rapid tertiary education expansion in a developing economy: the case of Thailand. The Developing Economies 53(3), 218231.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Phongpaichit, P and Baker, C (2008) Thai Capital after the 1997 Crisis. Chiang Mai: Silkworm Books.Google Scholar
Pootrakul, K (2013) Quality of economic growth from a dimension of income distribution. In Proceedings in the bank of Thailand annual symposium 2013. [in Thai]Google Scholar
Reijinders, LSM and de Vries, GJ (2017) Job polarization in advanced and emerging countries. The Role of Task Relocation and Technological Change within Global Supply Chains. GGDC Research memoranda; No. 167.Google Scholar
Rendall, M (2013) Structural change in developing countries: has it decreased gender inequality? World Development 45, 116.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rendall, M (2017) Brain versus brawn: the realization of women’s comparative advantage. Available at SSRN 1635251.Google Scholar
Samart, W (2020) Essays on minimum wages and labor income distribution in Thai labor market. Ph.D. Dissertation. University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce.Google Scholar
Satimanon, T (2017) Thailand’s labor mismatch: contemporary situations and solutions. NIDA Case Research Journal 9(1), 138.Google Scholar
Spitz-Oener, A (2006) Technical change, job tasks, and rising educational demands: looking outside the wage structure. Journal of Labor Economics 24(2), 235270.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sussangkarn, C and Chalamwong, Y (1996) Thailand development strategies and their impacts on labour markets and migration. In O’Connor, D and Farsakh, L (eds), Development Strategy, Employment, and Migration. Paris: OECD, 91126.Google Scholar
Te Velde, D and Morrissey, O (2004) Foreign direct investment, skills and wage inequality in East Asia. Journal of Asia Pacific Economy 9(3), 348369.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tinbergen, J (1974) Substitution of graduate by other labor. Kyklos 27, 217226.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tinbergen, J (1975) Income Distribution: Analysis and Policies. Amsterdam: North-Holland.Google Scholar
Tomohara, A and Yokota, K (2011) Foreign direct investment and wage inequality: Is skill upgrading the culprit? Applied Economic Letters 18(8), 773781.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vanitcharoentham, V (2017) Top income shares and inequality: evidences from Thailand. Kasetsart Journal of Social Sciences 40(1), 4046. ISSN 2452-3151.Google Scholar
Vanitcharearnthum, V (2019) Reducing inequalities: recent experiences from Thailand. Getting Even: Public Policies to Tackle Inequality in Asia. By Mustafa Talpur.Google Scholar
Warr, P and Sarntisart, I (2005) Poverty targeting in Thailand. In John, W (ed), Poverty Targeting in Asia. Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, 186218.Google Scholar
Warunsiri, S and McNown, R (2010) The returns to education in Thailand: a pseudo panel approach. World Development 38(11), 16161625. https://doi.org/10.1017.10.1016/j.worlddev.2010.03.002.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wasi, N, Paweenawat, SW, Devahastin Na Ayudhya, C, Treeratpituk, P and Nittayo, C (2019) Labor income inequality in Thailand: the roles of education, occupation and employment history. PIER Discussion Papers 117, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.Google Scholar