“DISTANCING” FROM ISRAEL, AND “LONG-DISTANCE NATIONALISM” IN DIASPORA–HOMELAND RELATIONSHIPS

In the past decade, the relationship between the United States and Israel has become increasingly intertwined with domestic U.S. politics (Rynhold Reference Rynhold2015). Conflicts between the Obama and Netanyahu administrations over the Iran nuclear deal (Ross Reference Ross2015), President Trump's decision to move the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem (Landler Reference Landler2017), and disputes over the Boycotts, Divestment, and Sanctions (BDS) movement (Nelson Reference Nelson2016) point to a growing association between support for the Israel government and political conservatism in the United States. This political climate, and frustration over the repeated failure of Republican efforts to use the issue of Israel to win over large numbers of Jewish voters (Uslaner Reference Uslaner2015), underlies President Trump's claim that Jewish Democrats are “disloyal.”

Problematic as it is in terms of its link to antisemitic charges of Jewish “dual loyalty” (Golinkin Reference Golinkin2019), President Trump's quote highlights the awkward position that some American Jews find themselves confronting in regard to Israel. On one hand, American Jews strongly identify as liberals aligned with the Democratic Party. This tendency is striking because American Jews identify as liberal at far higher levels than would be expected based on their socio-economic status and religiosity; American Jews are not just liberal, but anomalously so (Wald Reference Wald2019). On the other hand, favorable views of Israel are more common on the political right (Oldmixon, Rosenson, and Wald Reference Oldmixon, Rosenson and Wald2005; Gries Reference Gries2015), and, since the late 1970s, right-wing parties such as Likud have dominated Israeli politics (Waxman Reference Waxman2016). Liberal American Jews who “support” Israel may therefore feel a tension between their views on Israel and their domestic political attitudes; or, perhaps they do not. It all depends on what “supporting Israel” means to American Jews. Does support require unquestioning “loyalty” to the current Israeli government, or can criticism of Israel itself be a form of support?

Debate over this question has been a perennial fixture of scholarship on the U.S. Jewish community. Current scholarship suggests that, notwithstanding controversy surrounding Israel's birth, American Jews' support for Israel in the years following the 1967 six-day war was unequivocal, bipartisan, and uncontroversial (Waxman Reference Waxman2016, 35–39). American Jewish criticism of Israel began to grow in the 1970s and 1980s, but this criticism was opposed by many American Jewish organizations who felt that public criticism by American Jews could weaken Israel's position and divide worldwide Jewry (Sasson Reference Sasson2014, 24–32). American Jewish criticism of Israel was more evident during the 1980s and 1990s, but it was not until the 2000s that scholars of American Jews began to express alarm at the evidence of declining levels of reported emotional “connection” or “attachment” to Israel among younger Jews (Cohen Reference Cohen2002).Footnote ¹ This observation led to an intense debate over whether and, if so, to what extent American Jews are “distancing” from Israel, and what factors are driving this trend (Cohen and Kelman Reference Cohen and Kelman2010; Keysar Reference Keysar2010; Sasson, Kadushin, and Saxe Reference Sasson, Kadushin and Saxe2010; Sasson et al. Reference Sasson, Phillips, Wright, Kadushin and Saxe2012; Rynhold Reference Rynhold2015).

Echoing a concern made prominent by journalists (e.g., Beinart Reference Beinart2010), some have argued that “distancing” from Israel is driven by American Jews' liberal political views. Barnett (Reference Barnett2016), for example, contends that tension between Jews' liberal values and the Israeli government's right-wing policies is fostering alienation of American Jews from Israel. Others (Wald Reference Wald2015; Gordis Reference Gordis2019) make a slightly different argument, claiming that liberal American Jews are becoming more critical of Israel not because of what the Israeli government is doing, but because of what the Israeli state represents. That is, because Israel is an “ethnic democracy” which explicitly favors a particular ethnic group, it disturbs liberal American sensibilities.

Other scholars have been skeptical of the idea that there is a major rift between American Jews and Israel (Saxe and Boxer Reference Saxe and Boxer2012). Waxman (Reference Waxman2016) accepts that American Jews are no longer willing to support Israel “blindly” and are increasingly willing to criticize it openly. But he contends that this shift in attitude does not mean that American Jews have become more “distant” from Israel. Rather, in response to the changing political situation in Israel, the form of Jews' connection to Israel has shifted from unequivocal support to constructive criticism. Sasson (Reference Sasson2014) likewise argues that American Jews have not abandoned their support for Israel, but merely changed how they express this support, shifting from an approach based on “mobilization” facilitated through centralized advocacy organizations and toward personal “engagement” that is more in line with their own political views. Criticism of Israel may represent a new way by which some American Jews express their support for Israel. After all, one seldom criticizes that to which one is indifferent.

There is some empirical support for the notion that American Jews' political attitudes toward Israel are changing. For many years, survey data suggested that there was no significant relationship between American Jews' political attitudes and their sense of emotional connection to Israel (Cohen and Kelman Reference Cohen and Kelman2010; Sasson, Kadushin, and Saxe Reference Sasson, Kadushin and Saxe2010). In recent years, this appears to have changed, and more recent survey data find that, although many liberal Jews are still highly connected to Israel, their average levels of connection are lower than their conservative peers (Waxman Reference Waxman2016, 132n; Shain et al. Reference Shain, Saxe, Hecht, Wright and Sasson2015, 25). Notwithstanding these and other data, scholarly debate over the issue of “distancing” among American Jews has continued (Barnett Reference Barnett2018; Waxman Reference Waxman2018; Bard Reference Bard, Dashefsky and Sheskin2019).

Although they are not always acknowledged, similar challenges hamper efforts to explain the relationship of other diaspora communities to their ethno-religious homeland. Much of the work in this area is rooted in Benedict Anderson's conception of “long-distance nationalism” (Anderson Reference Anderson1998; Reference Anderson1994; Demmers Reference Demmers2002), which argues that diaspora members' feelings of dislocation, and the fact that their distance insulates them from the consequences of their political beliefs, lead them to support extremist, uncompromising, and ethno-nationalist policies in their homeland. Anderson's framework has been deployed in numerous case studies to explain the nature of the diaspora–homeland relationship among Serbians in Britain (Pryke Reference Pryke2003), Sri Lankan Tamils in the UK (Jones Reference Jones2012), and Hindus in the United States (Kurien Reference Kurien2004; Thobani Reference Thobani2019). It has even been used to characterize the American Jewish community's relationship with Israel, with Conversi (Reference Conversi2012) arguing that long-distance nationalism leads American Jews to be less tolerant of criticism of Israel than their Israeli counterparts, although this claim is at odds with public opinion data (Pew Research Center 2017) and most of the scholarship discussed above.

There have been some efforts to move away from this approach, emphasizing the heterogeneity of diaspora communities and their potential to promote peace as well as conflict (Smith Reference Smith, Smith and Stares2007; Baser and Swain Reference Baser and Swain2008), and noting its apparent inapplicability to American Jews (Dieckhoff Reference Dieckhoff2017). But even critics of “long-distance nationalism” have apparently had little success in developing a more robust alternative framework that could help explicate the dynamics of diaspora–homeland relationships. Furthermore, because research on diaspora attitudes is largely confined to case studies, there have been few, if any, attempts to use public opinion data to statistically investigate the extent to which homeland “nationalism” among members of diaspora communities is actually associated with particular political attitudes in a systematic way.

The unanswered question underlying both of these debates is: what does it mean for a member of a diaspora community to be “connected” or “attached” to their homeland? To what extent does a deep personal or emotional connection with a homeland imply a particular political stance vis-a-vis the homeland's government, or a political ideology more broadly? For American Jews in particular, does being “emotionally connected or ‘attached’ to Israel represent a concern for the welfare of the Israeli state, critical or uncritical support for the current Israeli government, or something else?” Recent work (Forster, Sheskin, and Wald Reference Forster, Sheskin and Wald2020) suggests that emotional connection to Israel forms a part of Jewish social identity, but is this really the case, and if so how does it relate to political attitudes? Despite debate over the level of American Jews’ connection to Israel, scholars of American Jews and other diasporas have yet to formulate a theoretical framework for what “connection” means, or empirically analyze the extent to which it is associated with particular attitudes toward the Israeli government or U.S. politics. Such an analysis can help elucidate the extent to which there is really a tension between Jews' views on Israel and broader political attitudes, as well as the nature of diaspora–homeland relationships more broadly.

PATRIOTISM, NATIONAL IDENTITY, AND IDEOLOGY

Debates over the political dynamics of “attachment” among diaspora members with an ethnic-religious homeland echo discourse among political scientists about the ideological content of “patriotism” and “attachment” among citizens toward their own country. Early studies of patriotism (Adorno et al. Reference Adorno, Frenkel-Brunswick, Levinson and Sanford1950) conceptualized it as entailing blind and uncritical support for one's home country and rejection of other nations as out-groups. Later work attempted to distinguish patriotism (as merely “attachment to one's country”) from other forms of intergroup discrimination, such as nationalism and ethnocentrism (Kosterman and Feshbach Reference Kosterman and Feshbach1989; Bar-Tal Reference Bar-Tal1993).

As early as the 1960s, Bellah (Reference Bellah1967) pointed out two divergent forms of national attachment in the United States, which Marty (Reference Marty, Richey and Jones1974) named “priestly” and “prophetic.” Priestly attachment essentially deifies the nation and brooks no criticism of it, while the prophetic form emphasizes the value of criticism as a means of calling on America to follow its values. Consistent with this insight, scholars have begun to conceptualize patriotism as a multidimensional construct, distinguishing between “constructive” and “uncritical” (or “blind”) patriotism (Schatz, Staub, and Lavine Reference Schatz, Staub and Lavine1999; Spry and Hornsey Reference Spry and Hornsey2007).

Uncritical patriotism reflects an unwillingness to criticize one's own country for any reason or to accept criticism of it by others and can be measured by attitudes such as “my country is virtually always right” or “people who do not wholeheartedly support my country should live elsewhere.” Constructive patriotism, by contrast, is a view that caring about one's country involves an obligation to point out its failures in order to effect positive change. Constructive patriotism is reflected in beliefs such as “I express my love for my country by supporting efforts at positive change” and “I oppose some of my country's policies because I care about it and want to improve it.”

Importantly, each of these forms of patriotism is associated with a particular ideological viewpoint: Conservatives are more likely to express uncritical patriotism, while liberals are more likely to express constructive patriotism and less likely to express uncritical patriotism (Huddy and Khatib Reference Huddy and Khatib2007; Sahar Reference Sahar2008).Footnote ² This suggests that, although liberals and conservatives both express “patriotism” toward their country, they do so in different ways.

Aside from these dual conceptions of patriotism, an additional construct appears even more important in characterizing Americans' sense of “attachment” to their home country. This notion of “national identity” (Theiss-Morse Reference Theiss-Morse2009) grows out of social identity theory (Tajfel and Turner Reference Tajfel, Turner, Austin and Worchel1979), which argues that emotional and affective attachments to social groups are a central component of self-esteem and self-identity. National identity represents a form of personal identification with one's home country and is analogous to how one might identify with a sports team or ethnic identity. Although we socially identify with multiple groups simultaneously, the strength of identification is key. The stronger our identification with a particular group, the more our own sense of self-identity becomes enmeshed with the group (Branscombe et al. Reference Branscombe, Ellemers, Spears, Dooje, Ellemers, Spears and Dooje1999; Stets and Burke Reference Stets and Burke2000). Thus, those with higher levels of American national identity see “being an American” as a more important part of their overall self-identity, and will be more concerned over adhering to what they perceive to be the norms of “good citizenship.”

Huddy and Khatib (Reference Huddy and Khatib2007) attempted to parse the relationship between these constructs with respect to American national attachment. They found that national identity is relatively nonideological; that is, it is not associated with either liberal or conservative self-identification, but it is positively associated with both uncritical and constructive patriotism.Footnote ³ Thus, conservatives are no more likely to strongly “identify” as Americans compared to liberals (or vice versa), but those who express either uncritical or constructive patriotism are more likely to strongly identify with America. In addition, they find that Americans with a stronger sense of national identity pay more attention to politics, while those with higher levels of uncritical patriotism pay less attention to politics. Constructive patriotism, by contrast, was not significantly associated with political attention one way or the other.

This work provides a framework for understanding the different ways that individuals can relate to the country in which they are citizens. But research has yet to investigate the extent to which these dynamics also apply to the relationship between members of a diaspora and an ethnic-religious homeland where they do not currently reside, and which they may never even have visited, as is the case for many American Jews and Israel. The distinction between uncritical patriotism, constructive patriotism, and national identity articulated by this research may help to explicate the relationship between American Jews' sense of “attachment” to Israel, their support for (or criticism of) the Israeli government, and their own domestic political attitudes.

This framework suggests that Jews may express different forms of patriotism (uncritical or constructive) toward Israel, depending on their pre-existing political views. Emotional “connection” to Israel, by contrast, may represent a sense of social identification with Israel as a nation, similar to national identification with America. Given previous research, these constructs, patriotism and national identity, should be distinct but correlated. In this scenario, both forms of patriotism toward Israel will be correlated with a stronger sense of emotional connection to Israel. Emotional connection to Israel will be positively associated with paying closer attention to Israeli politics; simultaneously, uncritical patriots will be less interested in political events in Israel. Finally, because a preference for constructive or unconstructive patriotism appears to be strongly related to political ideology, American Jews will express a preference for one form of patriotism or the other in general, regardless of which country they are discussing. That is, liberal American Jews will be more likely to express constructive patriotism (and less likely to express uncritical patriotism) toward Israel and the United States.

To better understand the relationship between political attitudes and American Jewish views toward Israel and the United States, the present study tests a series of hypotheses. For each hypothesis, we test whether the relationship found by previous work with regard to Americans' views of the United States is also evident with regard to American Jews' attitudes toward the United States and Israel. First, we hypothesize that liberal Jews will be more likely to express constructive patriotism toward both Israel and America, and that politically conservative Jews will be more likely to express uncritical patriotism toward both Israel and America. Second, we hypothesize that both forms of patriotism toward America will be positively associated with emotional connection to America, and that both forms of patriotism toward Israel will be positively associated with emotional connection to Israel. In line with the findings that national identity is not related to ideology after controlling for patriotism, we expect that there will be little or no correlation between political ideology and connection to Israel after controlling for both forms of patriotism toward Israel.Footnote ⁴ Finally, we hypothesize that emotional connection to America and constructive American patriotism will be positively associated with attention to U.S. politics, while uncritical American patriotism will be negatively associated with following U.S. politics. We also hypothesize that the same relationships will hold, mutatis mutandis, with regard to Israel.

DATA AND METHODS

Data for these analyses come from a 2019 survey of American Jews who applied to the Birthright Israel program between 2001 and 2009. Birthright Israel provides free, 10-day trips to Israel for American Jews between the ages of 18 and 27.Footnote ⁵ Since its launch in 1999, the program has sent hundreds of thousands of Jews to Israel, but every year, there are far more applicants than available slots, and so the population of Birthright applicants includes a substantial number of American Jews who did not participate in the program (Saxe and Chazan Reference Saxe and Chazan2008).Footnote ⁶ Although the program's applicants are not a random sample of the broader American Jewish population, they include a broad cross-section of American Jews, from those with strong connections to Jewish life who had already traveled to Israel, to those with virtually no previous attachment to Jewish religious or cultural institutions (Saxe et al. Reference Saxe, Phillips, Sasson, Hecht, Shain, Wright and Kadushin2011). Although only young adults are eligible for the trip, the broad range of applicant cohorts included in this study, and the time that has passed since application, means that the study includes American Jews who are currently between 29 and 46 years old.

The original sample frame for this survey was drawn from all applicants to Birthright between 2001 and 2009. Because this survey is the sixth wave of a longitudinal study of this population that has been in operation since 2009, contact information for panel members has been updated continuously over the previous decade. The survey was conducted primarily online, although some respondents were interviewed by phone. Respondents were offered a $25 Amazon.com gift card as a guaranteed incentive for completing the survey, and extensive efforts were made to track down respondents. These efforts led to 2,544 completed interviews, corresponding to an overall response rate of 46% (AAPOR RR2). To reduce the nonresponse bias, responses were weighted to demographic targets from the pool of all Birthright applicants.Footnote ⁷ Weights are applied to all analyses reported, with the exception of exploratory factor analyses.

Respondents' emotional connection to Israel was measured using the question “to what extent do you feel a connection to Israel?” with answer options of “not at all,” “a little,” “somewhat,” and “very much.” Respondents were also asked an analogous question about whether they feel a connection to “America,” which included the same answer options. Questions measuring uncritical and constructive patriotism toward Israel and America were adapted from Huddy and Khatib (Reference Huddy and Khatib2007). Table 1 shows the question wording for each item, and the construct it is assumed to measure. All items included answer options of “strongly disagree,” “disagree,” “somewhat disagree,” “somewhat agree,” “agree,” and “strongly agree.”

Table 1. Uncritical and constructive patriotism questions

Answer options: strongly disagree, disagree, somewhat disagree, somewhat agree, agree, strongly agree.

When all eight of these items are included in an exploratory factor analysis, they load on just two factors—with all four uncritical patriotism items loading on the first, and the four constructive patriotism questions loading on the second.Footnote ⁸ This suggests that, as hypothesized, respondents who express uncritical patriotism toward Israel tend to also express uncritical patriotism toward the United States, and the same goes for constructive patriotism. Nevertheless, because our hypotheses require us to analyze Israel and U.S. patriotism separately, uncritical and constructive patriotism items for each country are averaged, to create four separate variables: U.S. uncritical patriotism, U.S. constructive patriotism, Israel uncritical patriotism, and Israel constructive patriotism.Footnote ⁹

Attention to American politics was measured with a question asking, “how closely do you follow U.S. politics on TV, radio, newspapers, or the internet,” with answer options ranging from “not at all,” to “fairly closely.” Because it is expected that respondents will have a much lower baseline level of attention to Israeli politics, this construct was measured using a different question: “In the PAST MONTH, how often have you actively sought news about Israel?” with answer options ranging from “never” to “several times a day.” To test our hypotheses, we used OLS and ordered logit models. All models included a number of control variables, including whether or not the respondent was raised as an Orthodox Jew, whether the respondent had exclusively Jewish parents, and whether the respondent participated in Birthright Israel.Footnote ¹⁰

REPLICATION STUDY

In addition to the main study, a replication study was also conducted to address two possible threats to validity. The first of these concerned the limited age range of the sample, especially the lack of respondents under the age of 29. The second threat to validity involved our decision to ask respondents whether they feel a “connection” to Israel. Other prominent surveys, including the Pew Research Center's A Portrait of Jewish Americans, instead asked respondents if they feel an “emotional attachment” to Israel (Pew Research Center 2013). Although it is often assumed that both questions measure the same underlying construct (e.g., Miller and Dashefsky Reference Miller and Dashefsky2010), this notion has not been verified empirically.

To address these challenges, and to enhance both construct and external validity, all of the questions discussed above were also asked of a separate sample of more recent Birthright Israel applicants, who applied to the program in the summer of 2018 and were between the ages of 19 and 34 at the time of data collection.Footnote ¹¹ To explore the impact of the alternative question wording, all respondents were asked both the extent to which they felt a connection to Israel and the extent to which they felt an “emotional attachment” to Israel (with identical answer options). One of these questions was asked near the beginning of the survey and the other was asked near the end, and the order was varied randomly.

This replication study allowed us to conduct the following sensitivity analyses to test the validity of the original results. First, all analyses described above were re-run on this new dataset of younger respondents using identical model specifications. Second, the correlation between responses to the “connection” and “attachment” to Israel questions was computed, to determine how closely responses to these two questions mirrored one another. Finally, all models that included “connection” to Israel as either an independent or dependent variable were re-run using “attachment” to Israel instead. Results of these sensitivity analyses are discussed in the “replication study results” section below.

LIMITATIONS OF THE SAMPLE FRAME

Notwithstanding the replication, our analysis is limited to Jews who applied to Birthright Israel between 2001 and 2018. As noted above, this population is not a representative sample of Jewish Americans in general. The earlier application cohorts (2001–2009) analyzed in the main study have significantly higher levels of baseline Jewish religious and communal engagement compared to the broader Jewish population (Saxe et al. Reference Saxe, Shain, Wright, Hecht and Sasson2017, 34). For the more recent 2018 cohort included in the replication, these differences are smaller or nonexistent, presumably due to the broader participation in the program during this period (Wright, Hecht, and Saxe Reference Wright, Hecht and Saxe2019, 39). Because our interest is in relationships among variables rather than the estimation of incidence rates, the fact that particular types of Jews may be over or underrepresented among Birthright applicants is not necessarily a serious threat to validity. Rather, the more serious concern is whether individuals with salient characteristics are excluded from the sampling frame altogether (Mercer et al. Reference Mercer, Kreuter, Keeter and Stuart2017).

One potentially important excluded group is Jews over the age of 46. Research suggests that these individuals are likely to have higher baseline levels of emotional connection to Israel, both because attachment to Israel increases over the life course (Sasson et al. Reference Sasson, Phillips, Wright, Kadushin and Saxe2012) and because older Jews may have stronger bonds with Holocaust survivors (Forster, Sheskin, and Wald Reference Forster, Sheskin and Wald2020). The debate among scholars of American Jews on the question of “distancing” focuses on the attitudes of younger Jews, who are characterized as deviating (in some way or another) from the unconditional support for Israel displayed by previous generations (see e.g., Cohen and Kelman Reference Cohen and Kelman2010; Keysar Reference Keysar2010; Sasson et al. Reference Sasson, Phillips, Wright, Kadushin and Saxe2012; Waxman Reference Waxman2017). Thus, although the sample does include the age group of greatest interest to the scholarly literature on American Jews, the exclusion of Jews over the age of 46 from this study may downwardly bias the estimates of the correlation between connection to Israel and “uncritical” patriotism toward Israel.

Of perhaps greater importance is that the study population may also exclude Jews who did not apply to Birthright Israel because of their negative views of Israel. The effect of this omission may, however, be limited, since the Birthright applicant pool still includes a substantial number of individuals who hold negative attitudes toward Israel. For example, in the replication study, 11% of respondents “strongly agreed” that Israel “is guilty of violating the human rights of the Palestinian people.” These potential biases should be taken into account in assessing the generalizability of these studies to the broader population of American Jews.

MAIN STUDY: RESULTS

OLS models were used to test whether political views are correlated with different forms of patriotism toward the United States and Israel in the same way (Table 2). Models 1 and 2 in Table 2 show that, as predicted, politically moderate and conservative Jews are significantly more likely to feel uncritical patriotism toward the United States, and significantly less likely to feel constructive patriotism toward the United States, compared to liberal Jews. As expected, Jewish background and participation in Birthright Israel are relatively unrelated to either form of patriotism toward the United States. The exception is having at least one non-Jewish parent, which is associated with higher levels of constructive patriotism and lower levels of uncritical patriotism.

Table 2. OLS models of uncritical and constructive patriotism toward the United States and Israel

Note: Models run on weighted data. T values in parentheses.

†p < 0.1, *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001.

Models 3 and 4 in Table 2 show that, as predicted, Jewish moderates and conservatives are more likely to express uncritical patriotism toward Israel and less likely to express constructive patriotism toward Israel, compared to Jewish liberals. As expected, control variables related to Jewish background and Birthright Israel appear more strongly related to patriotism toward Israel than patriotism toward America. Jews with at least one non-Jewish parent are significantly less likely to express either constructive or uncritical patriotism toward Israel. Likewise, being raised Orthodox or participating in Birthright Israel are both associated with higher levels of constructive patriotism toward Israel but not significantly related to uncritical patriotism.

We now test whether, as predicted, both uncritical and constructive patriotism with respect to the United States and Israel are positively associated with emotional connection to each country. Table 3 presents results from ordered logistic regression models of emotional connection to the United States and Israel as a function of uncritical and critical patriotism toward the country in question, political ideology, and other potential confounders. Model 1 shows that, as predicted, respondents with higher levels of uncritical or constructive patriotism tend to be more emotionally connected to America. As expected, measures of Jewish background and participation in Birthright Israel are not significantly related to emotional connection to the United States. We also see that, contrary to our expectations that connection to America is nonideological, moderates and conservatives appear more strongly connected to America than liberals, although the result for conservatives is only significant at the 90% level.

Table 3. Ordered logit models of connection to United States and Israel

Note: Models run on weighted data. Ordered logit coefficients. Z values in parentheses.

†p < 0.1, *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001.

Model 2 shows a similar pattern with regard to connection to Israel. Respondents who have higher levels of uncritical or constructive patriotism toward Israel are more likely to be connected to Israel. Respondents who did not have two Jewish parents tend to have lower levels of connection to Israel, while those who were raised Orthodox tend to have higher levels, suggesting that Jewish experiences in childhood are strong predictors of Israel attitudes later in life. Those who participated in Birthright Israel tend to have higher levels of connection to Israel, a relationship that has been documented repeatedly in past work (Sasson et al. Reference Sasson, Shain, Hecht, Wright and Saxe2014; Shain et al. Reference Shain, Saxe, Hecht, Wright and Sasson2015; Saxe et al. Reference Saxe, Shain, Wright and Hecht2019). We also see that Jewish moderates and conservatives appear more connected to Israel than Jewish liberals, even after accounting for patriotism, suggesting that connection to Israel does have some ideological content. Model 2 suggests that both ideology and patriotism have a significant impact on emotional connection to Israel. Unfortunately, coefficients from ordered logit models have no intuitive interpretation (Long Reference Long1997). Therefore, to provide an indication of the relative magnitude of these effects, Figures 1 and 2 present the predicted probability, derived from Model 2 in Table 3, that a respondent will be “very much” connected to Israel, for different levels of patriotism and ideology. Figure 1 shows the predicted probability of being very much connected to Israel as constructive patriotism increased (holding uncritical patriotism at 3.5, the median value), and again as uncritical patriotism increases (holding constructive patriotism at 3.5, the median value). All predictions are for a respondent with exclusively Jewish parents, who was not raised Orthodox, did not participate in Birthright Israel, and who identifies as politically liberal. It can be seen that moving to higher levels of uncritical or constructive patriotism increases the likelihood of being “very much” connected from near zero to between 39% (for uncritical patriotism) and 49% (for constructive patriotism).

Figure 1. Predicted probability of being “very much” connected to Israel by uncritical and constructive patriotism

Note: Predicted margins and 95% confidence intervals from Model 2 in Table 3. Uncritical/constructive patriotism held at median value (3.5). Raised Orthodox held at 0, having one non-Jewish parent held at 0, Birthright participation held at 0, ideology held at “liberal.”

Figure 2. Predicted probability of being “very much” connected to Israel by political ideology

Note: Predicted margins and 95% confidence intervals from Model 2 in Table 3. Uncritical and constructive patriotism both held at median value (3.5). Raised Orthodox held at 0, having one non-Jewish parent held at 0, Birthright participation held at 0.

Figure 2 presents probabilities for individuals with identical (viz. median) levels of uncritical and constructive patriotism, but who identify as liberal, moderate, and conservative. Thus, a liberal respondent with median levels of both constructive and uncritical patriotism toward Israel has an 11% probability of being “very much” connected to Israel. For a conservative respondent with identical levels of patriotism, the predicted probability is 24%. These results illustrate two important points about the magnitude of the significant effects found in Model 2 above. First, although conservatives are substantially more likely to be strongly connected to Israel than liberals, there is relatively little difference between liberals and moderates in the likelihood of being “very much” connected to Israel. Second, patriotism of either type appears to be a far stronger predictor of connection to Israel than ideology.

Moving from attitudes to behaviors, we now explore whether emotional connection and patriotism are associated with political engagement of the form predicted by past work. Table 4 presents ordered logit models predicting how closely respondents follow U.S. and Israeli politics as a function of connection and patriotism to the country in question. Model 1 shows that individuals with stronger emotional connection to the United States, and those with higher levels of constructive patriotism, are significantly more likely to closely follow U.S. politics. Those with higher levels of uncritical U.S. patriotism, by contrast, are less likely to closely follow U.S. politics. Those who were raised Orthodox are less likely to follow U.S. politics closely, but having only one Jewish parent or participating in Birthright Israel are not significantly related to following U.S. politics. With regard to political ideology, political moderates are less likely to follow U.S. politics compared to political liberals, but there is no significant difference between liberals and conservatives. In Model 2, we see a similar, but not an identical story with regard to following news about Israel. As above, emotional connection to Israel and constructive patriotism toward Israel are both positively associated with following Israeli news. Uncritical Israeli patriotism, however, is not significantly related to following Israeli news, nor are any of the control variables. Both conservatives and liberals are more likely to follow news about Israel compared to moderates.

Table 4. Ordered logit models of following U.S. politics and checking news about Israel

Note: Models run on weighted data. Ordered logit coefficients. Z values in parentheses.

†p < 0.1, *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001.