Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-swr86 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-17T04:16:05.008Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The U-Shaped Investment Curve: Theory and Evidence

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 April 2009

Sean Cleary
Affiliation:
sean.cleary@smu.ca, Saint Mary's University, Sobey School of Business, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada B3H 3C3
Paul Povel
Affiliation:
povel@umn.edu, University of Minnesota, Carlson School of Management, Minneapolis, MN 55455
Michael Raith
Affiliation:
raith@simon.rochester.edu, University of Rochester, William E. Simon Graduate School of Business Administration, Rochester, NY 14627

Abstract

We analyze how the availability of internal funds affects a firm's investment. We show that under fairly standard assumptions, the relation is U-shaped: investment increases monotonically with internal funds if they are large but decreases if they are very low. We discuss the tradeoff that generates the U-shape, and argue that models predicting an always increasing relation are based on restrictive assumptions. Using a large data set, we find strong empirical support for our predictions. Our results qualify conventional wisdom about the effects of financial constraints on investment behavior, and help to explain seemingly conflicting findings in the empirical literature.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 2007

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abel, A., and Eberly, J.. “Q Theory without Adjustment Costs and Cash Flow Effects without Financing Constraints.” Mimeo, University of Pennsylvania and Northwestern University (2002).Google Scholar
Albuquerque, R., and Hopenhayn, H.. “Optimal Lending Contracts and Firm Dynamics.” Review of Economic Studies, 71 (2004), 285315.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Allayannis, G., and Mozumdar, A.. “The Impact of Negative Cash Flow and Influential Observations on Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivity Estimates.” Journal of Banking and Finance, 28 (2004), 901930.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Almeida, H., and Campello, M.. “Financial Constraints and Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities: New Research Directions.” Mimeo, New York University (2001).Google Scholar
Almeida, H.; Campello, M.; and Weisbach, M.. “The Cash Flow Sensitivity of Cash.” Journal of Finance, 59 (2004), 17771804.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernanke, B., and Gertler, M.. “Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations.” American Economic Review, 79 (1989), 1431.Google Scholar
Bernanke, B., and Gertler, M.. “Financial Fragility and Economic Performance.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 105 (1990), 87114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernanke, B.; Gertler, M.; and Gilchrist, S.. “The Financial Accelerator and the Flight to Quality.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 78 (1996), 115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernanke, B.; Gertler, M.; and Gilchrist, S.. “The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework.” In Handbook of Macroeconomics, Taylor, J. and Woodford, M., eds. Amsterdam, NY: Elsevier (1999).Google Scholar
Bolton, P., and Scharfstein, D.. “A Theory of Predation Based on Agency Problems in Financial Contracting.” American Economic Review, 80 (1990), 93106.Google Scholar
Boyle, G., and Guthrie, G.. “Investment, Uncertainty, and Liquidity.” Journal of Finance, 58 (2003), 21432166.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Calomiris, C., and Hubbard, R. G.. “Firm Heterogeneity, Internal Finance, and Credit Rationing.” Economic Journal, 100 (1990), 90104.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carlstrom, C., and Fuerst, T.. “Agency Costs, Net Worth, and Business Fluctuations: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis.” American Economic Review, 87 (1997), 893–910.Google Scholar
Chirinko, R., and Schaller, H.. “Why Does Liquidity Matter in Investment Equations?Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 27 (1995), 527–548.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cleary, S.The Relationship between Firm Investment and Financial Status.” Journal of Finance, 54 (1999), 673692.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dasgupta, S., and Sengupta, K.. “Financial Constraints, Hurdle Rates, and Economic Activity: Implications From a Multi-Period Model.” Mimeo, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology and University of Sydney (2003).Google Scholar
DeMarzo, P., and Fishman, M.. “Optimal Long-Term Financial Contracting with Privately Observed Cash Flows.” Mimeo, Stanford University and Northwestern University (2000).Google Scholar
Diamond, D.Financial Intermediation and Delegated Monitoring.” Review of Economic Studies, 51 (1984), 393414.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Erickson, T., and Whited, T.. “Measurement Error and the Relationship between Investment and Q.” Journal of Political Economy, 108 (2000), 10271057.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Erickson, T., and Whited, T.. “On the Information Content of Different Measures of Q.” Mimeo, University of Iowa (2001).Google Scholar
Fazzari, S.; Hubbard, R. G.; and Petersen, B.. “Financing Constraints and Corporate Investment.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1988), 141195.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fazzari, S.; Hubbard, R. G.; and Petersen, B.. “Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities Are Useful: A Comment on Kaplan and Zingales.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115 (2000), 695705.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gale, D., and Hellwig, M.. “Incentive-Compatible Debt Contracts: The One-Period Problem.” Review of Economic Studies, 52 (1985), 647663.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gale, D., and Hellwig, M.. “The Optimal Debt Contract: A Comparative Static Analysis.” Caress Working Paper 86–06, University of Pennsylvania (1986).Google Scholar
Gilchrist, S., and Himmelberg, C.. “Evidence on the Role of Cash Flow for Investment.” Journal of Monetary Economics, 36 (1995), 541572.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gomes, J.Financing Investment.” American Economic Review, 91 (2001), 12631285.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Greene, W. H.Econometric Analysis. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall (2003).Google Scholar
Guariglia, A.Internal Funds, Asymmetric Information, and Investment Choice: Evidence from a Panel of UK Firms.” Mimeo, University of Nottingham (2004).Google Scholar
Hart, O., and Moore, J.. “Default and Renegotiation: A Dynamic Model of Debt.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113 (1998), 1–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hennessy, C. A.Tobin's Q, Debt Overhang, and Investment.” Journal of Finance, 59 (2004), 1717–1742.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoshi, T.; Kashyap, A.; and Scharfstein, D.. “Corporate Structure, Liquidity, and Investment: Evidence from Japanese Industrial Groups.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106 (1991), 33–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huang, Z.Financial Constraints and Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivity.” Mimeo, University of Oxford (2002).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hubbard, R. G.Capital-Market Imperfections and Investment.” Journal of Economic Literature, 36 (1998), 193225.Google Scholar
Hubbard, R. G.; Kashyap, A.; and Whited, T.. “Internal Finance and Firm Investment.” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 27 (1995), 683701.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kaplan, S., and Zingales, L.. “Do Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities Provide Useful Measures of Financing Constraints?Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112 (1997), 169215.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kaplan, S., and Zingales, L.. “Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities Are Not Valid Measures of Financing Constraints.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115 (2000), 707712.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayer, C.New Issues in Corporate Finance.” European Economic Review, 32 (1988), 11671183.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayer, C., and Sussman, O.. “A New Test of Capital Structure.” Mimeo, Oxford University (2004).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moyen, N.Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities: Constrained versus Unconstrained Firms.” Journal of Finance, 59 (2004), 20612092.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Myers, S., and Rajan, R.. “The Paradox of Liquidity.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113 (1998), 733771.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Povel, P., and Raith, M.. “Optimal Investment under Financial Constraints: The Roles of Internal Funds and Asymmetric Information.” Mimeo, University of Minnesota and University of Chicago (2002).Google Scholar
Povel, P., and Raith, M.. “Optimal Debt with Unobservable Investments.” Rand Journal of Economics, 35 (2004), 599616.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schaller, H.Asymmetric Information, Liquidity Constraints and Canadian Investment.” Canadian Journal of Economics, 26 (1993), 552574.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stein, J. “Agency, Information and Corporate Investment.” In Handbook of the Economics of Finance, Vol. 1A, Constantinides, G., Harris, M., and Stulz, R., eds. Amsterdam, NY: Elsevier (2003).Google Scholar