Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-v5vhk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-02T00:26:00.117Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Perceived Political Polarization and its Differential Impact on Political Participation: Evidence from Japan (2005–2019)

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 May 2024

Yue Yin*
Affiliation:
Center for Japanese Studies, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China

Abstract

Political polarization has been a growing concern in Japan, particularly in recent years with the upsurge of nationalism and populism. However, little research has examined how it relates to the political behavior of the Japanese people. Using data from the 2005–2019 Japanese Electoral Studies (JES), this study shows that political polarization manifests itself in different ways depending on the specific policy domains that citizens perceive as divergent. Specifically, I discover that people who perceive higher levels of policy divergence between left- and right-wing parties on domestic and international policies are more likely to vote and participate in politics through publicly accessible networks, while there appears to be no evidence showing that perceiving high levels of policy divergence on economic issues has a meaningful effect on any type of political participation. Implications of these findings as well as directions for future research are discussed.

Type
Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The East Asia Institute

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abramowitz, Alan I., and Saunders, Kyle L.. 2008. “Is Polarization a Myth?” The Journal of Politics 70 (2): 542555.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Adams, James, and III, Samuel Merrill. 2005. “Candidates’ Policy Platforms and Election Outcomes: The Three Faces of Policy Representation.” European Journal of Political Research 44(6): 899918.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Akdede, Sacit H. 2012. “Income Inequality and Political Polarization and Factualization: An Empirical Investigation of Some European Countries. Bulletin of Economic Research, 64 (1): 2030.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asano, Taka-aki. 2022. “Ideological Extremism and Political Participation in Japan.” Social Science Japan Journal 25 (1): 125140.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barberá, Pablo, Jost, John T., Nagler, Jonathan, Tucker, Joshua A., and Bonneau, Richard. 2015. “Tweeting from Left to Right: Is Online Political Communication More Than an Echo Chamber?” Psychological Science 26 (10): 15311542.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Bartels, Larry. M. 1986. “Issue Voting under Uncertainty: An Empirical Test.” American Journal of Political Science 30 (4): 709728.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bartels, Larry. M. 2002. “Beyond the Running Tally: Partisan Bias in Political Perceptions.” Political Behavior 24 (2): 117150.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bélanger, Éric, and Meguid, Bonnie M.. “Issue Salience, Issue Ownership, and Issue-based Vote Choice.Electoral Studies 27 (3): 477491.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berlucchi, Antonio Benasaglio, and Hino, Airo. 2022. “Still Valuable? Reconsidering the Role of Authoritarian Values among Japanese Voters.” Japanese Journal of Political Science 23 (2): 129145.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brody, Richard A., and Page, Benjamin I.. 1972. “Comment: The Assessment of Policy Voting.” American Political Science Review 66 (2): 450458.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carmines, Edward G., and Stimson, James A.. 1980. “The Two Faces of Issue Voting.” American Political Science Review 74 (1): 7891.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chen, Jie. 2013. A Middle Class without Democracy: Economic Growth and the Prospects for Democratization in China. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Curtis, Gerald L. 1988. The Japanese Way of Politics. New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Downs, Anthony. 1957. An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper & Brothers.Google Scholar
Edwards, George C. III, Mitchell, William, and Welch, Reed. 1995. “Explaining Presidential Approval: The Significance of Issue Salience.” American Journal of Political Science 39: 108134.Google Scholar
Enders, Adam M., and Armaly, Miles T.. 2019. “The Differential Effects of Actual and Perceived Polarization.” Political Behavior 41: 815839.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enelow, James, and Hinich, Melvin J.. 1981. “A New Approach to Voter Uncertainty in the Downsian Spatial Model.” American Journal of Political Science 25 (3): 483493.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Evans, Geoffrey, and Pickup, Mark. 2010. “Reversing the Causal Arrow: The Political Conditioning of Economic Perceptions in the 2000–2004 US Presidential Election Cycle.” The Journal of Politics 72 (4): 12361251.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fournier, Patrick, Blais, Andre, Nadeau, Richard, Gidengil, Elisabeth, and Nevitte, Neil. 2003. “Issue Importance and Performance Voting.” Political Behavior 25: 5167.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fukuyama, Francis. 2018. Identity: The Demand for Dignity and the Politics of Resentment. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux.Google Scholar
Garrett, R. Kelly. 2009. “Politically Motivated Reinforcement Seeking: Reframing the Selective Exposure Debate.” Journal of Communication 59 (4): 676699.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goodman, Craig, and Murray, Gregg R.. 2007. “Do You See What I See? Perceptions of Party Differences and Voting Behavior.” American Politics Research 35 (6): 905931.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harteveld, Eelco, and Wagner, Markus. 2023. “Does Affective Polarisation Increase Turnout? Evidence from Germany, The Netherlands and Spain.” West European Politics 46 (4): 732759.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hetherington, Marc J., and Rudolph, Thomas J.. (2018). “Political Trust and Polarization.” In The Oxford Handbook of Social and Political Trust, edited by Uslaner, Eric M., 579598. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Hirano, Hiroshi. 2015. Yuukensya no sentaku [The electorates’ choice]. Tokyo: Bokudakusha.Google Scholar
Horiuchi, Yusaku, Imai, Kosuke, and Taniguchi, Naoko. 2005. “Seisaku jyouhou to touhyou sanka: fiirudo jikken ni yoru kensyou” [Policy information and voting participation: Verification through field experiments]. The Annuals of Japanese Political Science Association, 56 (1): 161180.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Iyengar, Shanto, Sood, Gaurav, and Lelkes, Yphtach. 2012. “Affect, not Ideology: A Social Identity Perspective on Polarization.” Public Opinion Quarterly 76 (3): 405431.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jou, Willy, and Endo, Masahisa. 2016. “Ideological Understanding and Voting in Japan: A Longitudinal Analysis.” Asian Politics & Policy 8 (3): 456473.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jou, Willy, Endo, Masahisa, and Takenaka, Yoshihiko. 2017. “An Appraisal of Japan's ‘Right Turn’ Citizen–Government Congruence and Ideological Understanding.” Asian Survey 57 (5): 910932.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kabashima, Ikuo, and Imai, Ryōsuke. 2002. “Evaluation of Party Leaders and Voting Behaviour—an Analysis of the 2000 General Election.” Social Science Japan Journal 5 (1): 8596.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kabashima, Ikuo, and Takenaka, Yoshihiko. 2012. Ideorogi [Ideology]. Tokyo: Tokyo University Press.Google Scholar
Kiousis, Spiro, Strömbäck, Jesper, and McDevitt, Michael. 2015. “Influence of Issue Decision Salience on Vote Choice: Linking Agenda Setting, Priming, and Issue Ownership.” International journal of Communication 9 (1): 33473368.Google Scholar
Kleiner, Tuuli-Marja. 2018. “Public Opinion Polarisation and Protest Behaviour.” European Journal of Political Research 57 (4): 941962.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kobayashi, Yoshiaki. 1988. Koukyou sentaku [Public choice]. Tokyo: Tokyo University Press.Google Scholar
Lawrence, Eric, Sides, John, and Farrell, Henry. 2010. “Self-segregation or Deliberation? Blog Readership, Participation, and Polarization in American Politics.” Perspectives on Politics 8 (1): 141157.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lee, Amber Hye-Yon. 2022. “Social Trust in Polarized Times: How Perceptions of Political Polarization Affect Americans’ Trust in Each Other.” Political Behavior 44 (3): 15331554.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Lee, Sangwon, Rojas, Hernando, and Yamamoto, Masahiro. 2022. “Social Media, Messaging Apps, and Affective Polarization in the United States and Japan.” Mass Communication and Society 25 (5): 673697.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levendusky, Matthew S. 2013. “Why do Partisan Media Polarize Viewers?” American Journal of Political Science 57 (3): 611623.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lyu, Zeyu. 2020. “Ideological and Behavioral Perspectives on Online Political Polarization: Evidence from Japan.” Sociological Theory and Methods 35 (2): 170183.Google Scholar
Markus, Gregory B., and Converse, Philip E.. 1979. “A Dynamic Simultaneous Equation Model of Electoral Choice.” American Political Science Review 73 (4): 10551070.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mason, Lilliana. 2013. “The Rise of Uncivil Agreement: Issue versus Behavioral Polarization in the American Electorate.” American Behavioral Scientist 57 (1): 140159.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mason, Lilliana. 2018. Uncivil Agreement: How Politics Became Our Identity. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Miwa, Hirofumi. 2018. “Value Preferences and Structures among Japanese Voters and Political Candidates.” Japanese Political Science Review 4: 6185.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Miyake, Ichirou. 1983. “Seisaku souten, seisaku nouryoku imeiji, seitou sentaku” [Political issues, issue ownership, and party choice]. Annuals of Japanese Political Science Association 34: 265291.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Miyake, Ichirou. 1990. Touhyou koudou [Voting Behavior]. Tokyo: Tokyo University Press.Google Scholar
Moral, Mert. 2017. “The Bipolar Voter: On the Effects of Actual and Perceived Party Polarization on Voter Turnout in European Multiparty Democracies. Political Behavior 39 (4): 935965.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nakamura, Etsuhiro. 2012. “Yuukensya ni yoru seitou sisutemu ninsiki no hensen” [Changes in voters’ perceptions of the party system]. Annuals of Japanese Political Science Association 63 (1): 3764.Google Scholar
Page, Benjamin I., and Jones, Calvin C.. 1979. “Reciprocal Effects of Policy Preferences, Party Loyalties and the Vote.” American Political Science Review 73 (4): 10711089.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Prior, Markus. 2013. “Media and Political Polarization.” Annual Review of Political Science 16: 101127.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Roblain, Antoine, and Green, Eva G.T.. 2021. “From Perceived Polarization of Immigration Attitudes to Collective Action.” International Journal of Intercultural Relations 80: 112120.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rogowski, Jon C. 2014. “Electoral Choice, Ideological Conflict, and Political Participation.” American Journal of Political Science 58 (2): 479494.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sinno, Barea, Oviedo, Nernardo, Atwell, Katherine, Alikhani, Malihe, and Li, Junyi Jessy. 2022. “Political Ideology and Polarization: A Multi-dimensional Approach.” In Proceedings of the 2022 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Human Language Technologies, 231243.Google Scholar
Takenaka, Yoshihiko, Endo, Masahisa, and Jou, Willy. 2015. “Yuukensya no datu ideorogi- to abe seizi” [Deideology of voters and Abe politics]. Leviathan 57: 2547.Google Scholar
Takikawa, Hiroki, and Nagayoshi, Kikuko. 2017. “Political Polarization in Social Media: Analysis of the ‘Twitter Political Field’ in Japan.” 2017 IEEE International Conference on Big Data. Boston, 2017, 31433150, doi: 10.1109/BigData.2017.8258291.Google Scholar
Taniguchi, Naoko. 2005. Gendai nihon no touhyou koudou [Voting behavior in modern Japan]. Keio: Keio University Press.Google Scholar
Taniguchi, Naoko. 2015. “Niho ni okeru seiji tairitu (2003–2014)” [Left-right cleavages in Japan (2003–2014)]. Leviathan 57: 924.Google Scholar
Theiss-Morse, Elizabeth, Barton, Dona-Gene, and Wagner, Michael W.. “Political Trust in Polarized Times.” In Motivating Cooperation and Compliance with Authority: The Role of Institutional Trust, edited by Bornstein, Brian H. and Tomkins, Alan J., 167190. New York: Springer, 2015.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tufekci, Zeynep, and Wilson, Christopher. 2012. “Social Media and the Decision to Participate in Political Protest: Observations from Tahrir Square.” Journal of Communication 62 (2): 363379.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Van der Meer, Tom W.G., Van Deth, Jan W., and Scheepers, Peer L.H.. 2009. “The Politicized Participant: Ideology and Political Action in 20 Democracies.” Comparative Political Studies 42 (11): 14261457.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Voorheis, John, McCarty, Nolan, and Shor, Boris. 2015. “Unequal Incomes, Ideology and Gridlock: How Rising Inequality Increases Political Polarization.” Available at SSRN http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2649215.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wang, Tianjiao, and Shen, Fei. 2018. “Perceived Party Polarization, News Attentiveness, and Political Participation: A Mediated Moderation Model.” Asian Journal of Communication 28 (6): 620637.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yamada, Masahiro. 2016. Seiji Sanka to minsyu seiji [Political participation and democratic politics]. Tokyo: Tokyo University Press.Google Scholar
Yoneda, Yukihiro. 2019. “Seitou sizi: Ideorogi- tairituziku ha dou henka si te iru no ka?” [Party support: How is the ideological axis changing?] In Nihonzin ha ukei ka si ta no ka [Have the Japanese people shifted to the right?], edited by Tanabe, Shunsuke. Tokyo: Keiso Shobo.Google Scholar