Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-skm99 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T06:39:05.367Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Extraordinary Relationship between Peacekeeping and Peace

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 November 2020

Barbara F. Walter*
Affiliation:
University of California San Diego,USA
Lise Morje Howard
Affiliation:
Georgetown University, WashingtonDC, USA
V. Page Fortna
Affiliation:
Columbia University, New York, USA
*
*Corresponding author. E-mail: bfwalter@ucsd.edu

Abstract

Numerous empirical studies have examined the role of third-party peacekeeping in reducing violence around the world. Their results reveal an extraordinary relationship between peacekeepers and peace, notwithstanding a number of well-known problems. This review article has three goals. The first is to summarize the results of past empirical research to move the debate beyond the question of whether peacekeeping works to the more pressing questions of how, when and why it works. The second is to reveal the limitations of the current quantitative research in order to identify areas in which scholars can make big, new contributions to the field. The final goal is to propose a new research agenda that is heavily evaluative – one that informs policy makers about the specific practices, mission compositions, and mandates that work, and identifies the local, regional, and international conditions that amplify or diminish peacekeeping's effectiveness. This type of research could help reduce the costs of peacekeeping operations, eliminate some of the negative consequences of interventions and save even more lives.

Type
Review Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Aoi, C, de Coning, CH and Thakur, R (2007) Unintended Consequences of Peacekeeping. Tokyo: United Nations University Press.Google Scholar
Autesserre, S (2010) The Trouble with the Congo: Local Violence and the Failure of International Peacebuilding. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autesserre, S (2014) Peaceland: Conflict Resolution and the Everyday Politics of International Intervention. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Autesserre, S (2019) The crisis of peacekeeping: why the UN can't end wars. Foreign Affairs 98, 101.Google Scholar
Bara, C (2020) Shifting targets: the effect of peacekeeping on postwar violence. European Journal of International Relations doi.org/10.1177/1354066120902503.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barma, N (2017) The Peacebuilding Puzzle: Political Order in Post-Conflict States. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barnett, M and Finnemore, M (2004) Rules for the World: International Organizations in Global Politics. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Beardsley, K (2011) Peacekeeping and the contagion of armed conflict. The Journal of Politics 73(4), 10511064.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beardsley, K, Cunningham, DE and White, PB (2018) Mediation, peacekeeping and the severity of civil war. Journal of Conflict Resolution 63(7), 16821709.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beardsley, K and Gleditsch, KS (2015) Peacekeeping as conflict containment. International Studies Review 17, 6789.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beardsley, K and Schmidt, H (2012) Following the flag or following the charter? Examining the determinants of UN involvement in international crises, 1945–2002. International Studies Quarterly 56(10), 3349.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beber, B et al. (2017) Peacekeeping, compliance with international norms, and transactional sex in Monrovia, Liberia. International Organization 71(1), 130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beber, B et al. (2019) Promise and perils of peacekeeping economies. International Studies Quarterly 63(2), 364379.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bell, SR, Flynn, ME and Martinez Machain, C (2018) U.N. peacekeeping forces and the demand for sex trafficking. International Studies Quarterly 62, 643655.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blair, R (2019) International intervention and the rule of law after civil war: evidence from Liberia. International Organization 73, 365398CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blair, R (2020) Peacekeeping, Policing, and the Rule of Law after Civil War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boot, M (2000) Paving the road to hell-The failure of UN peacekeeping. Foreign Affairs 79, 143.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boutros-Ghali, B (2006) Gender Equality in UN Peacekeeping Operations. New York: United Nations Department of Peacekeeping Operations.Google Scholar
Boutros-Ghali, B (2008) United Nations Peacekeeping Operations Principles and Guidelines (‘the Capstone Doctrine’) – United Nations and the Rule of Law. New York: United Nations Department of Peacekeeping Operations. Available from https://www.un.org/ruleoflaw/blog/document/united-nations-peacekeeping-operations-principles-and-guidelines-the-capstone-doctrine/ (accessed 11 June 2020).Google Scholar
Bove, V, Ruffa, C and Ruggeri, A (2019) Composing Peace: Mission Composition in UN Peacekeeping. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Bove, V and Ruggeri, A (2016) Kinds of blue: diversity in UN peacekeeping missions and civilian protection. British Journal of Political Science 46(3), 681700.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bove, V and Ruggeri, A (2018) Peacekeeping effectiveness and Blue Helmets’ distance from locals. Journal of Conflict Resolution 63(7), 16301655.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bove, V, Ruggeri, A and Zwetsloot, R (2017) The known knowns and known unknowns of peacekeeping data: what do we know about UN peacekeeping leadership? International Peacekeeping 24, 1723.Google Scholar
Braithwaite, A (2010) Resisting infection: how state capacity conditions conflict contagion. Journal of Peace Research 47(3), 311319.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Buhaug, H and Gleditsch, KS (2008) Contagion or confusion? Why conflicts cluster in space. International Studies Quarterly 52(2), 215233.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, S (2018) Global Governance and Local Peace. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carnegie, A and Mikulaschek, C (2020) The promise of peacekeeping: protecting civilians in civil wars. International Organization (Forthcoming).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cheng, C and Zaum, D (2011) Corruption and Post-Conflict Peacebuilding: Selling the Peace? Abingdon: Routledge.Google Scholar
Cil, D et al. (2019) Mapping blue helmets: introducing the geocoded peacekeeping operations (Geo-PKO) dataset. Journal of Peace Research 57 (2), 360-70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Coleman, K (2007) International Organizations and Peace Enforcement: The Politics of International Legitimacy. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Collier, P, Hoeffler, A and Söderbom, M (2008) Post-conflict risks. Journal of Peace Research 45(4), 461478.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Collier, P and Sambanis, N (2002) Understanding civil war: a new agenda. Journal of Conflict Resolution 46(1), 312.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Costalli, S (2013) Does peacekeeping work? A disaggregated analysis of deployment and violence reduction in the Bosnian war. British Journal of Political Science 44, 357380.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cunningham, DE, Gleditsch, KS and Salehyan, I (2009) It takes two: a dyadic analysis of civil war duration and outcome. Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(4), 570597.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Day, A (2019) Assessing the Effectiveness of the United Nations Mission in South Sudan/UNMISS. Effectiveness of Peacekeeping Operations Network.Google Scholar
De Jonge Oudraat, C (1996) The United Nations and internal conflict. In Brown, (ed.), The International Dimension of Internal Conflict. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, pp. 498535.Google Scholar
Diehl, P and Druckman, D (2010) Evaluating Peace Operations. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.Google Scholar
Di Salvatore, J (2017) Peacekeepers against Ethnic and Criminal Violence: Unintended Consequences of UN Peacekeeping. Doctoral thesis, Amsterdam, NL: University of Amsterdam.Google Scholar
Di Salvatore, J (2018) Obstacle to peace? Ethnic geography and effectiveness of peacekeeping. British Journal of Political Science 50(3), 10891109.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Di Salvatore, J (2019) Peacekeepers against criminal violence –unintended effects of peacekeeping operations? American Journal of Political Science 63, 840858.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Di Salvatore, J and Ruggeri, A (2017) Effectiveness of peacekeeping operations. In Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Dorussen, H (2014) Peacekeeping works, or does it? Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy 20(4), 527537.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dorussen, H and Ruggeri, A (2017) Peacekeeping event data: determining the place and space of peacekeeping. International Peacekeeping, 3238.Google Scholar
Doyle, M and Sambanis, N (2000) International peacebuilding: a theoretical and quantitative analysis. American Political Science Review 94(4), 779801.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Doyle, M and Sambanis, N (2006) Making War and Building Peace: United Nations Peace Operations. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fearon, J (2010) Governance and civil war onset. World Development Report 2011. Background Paper.Google Scholar
Findlay, T (2002) The Use of Force in UN Peace Operations. SIPRI. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Fjelde, H, Hultman, L and Nilsson, D (2018) Protection through presence: UN peacekeeping and the costs of targeting civilians. International Organization 73(1), 103131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fortna, VP (2003a) Inside and out: peacekeeping and the duration of peace after civil and interstate wars. International Studies Review 5(4), 97114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fortna, VP (2003b) Scraps of paper: agreements and the duration of peace. International Organization 57(2), 337372.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fortna, VP (2004a) Does peacekeeping keep the peace? International Studies Quarterly 48(2), 269292.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fortna, VP (2004b) Peace Time: Ceasefire Agreements and the Durability of Peace. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fortna, VP (2004c) Interstate peacekeeping: causal mechanisms and empirical effects. World Politics 56(4), 481519.Google Scholar
Fortna, VP (2008a) Does Peacekeeping Work? Shaping Belligerents' Choices After Civil War. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fortna, VP (2008b) Peacekeeping and democratization. In Sisk, JA (ed.), From War to Democracy: Dilemmas of Peacebuilding. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 3979.Google Scholar
Fortna, VP (2009) Where Have All the Victories Gone? Peacekeeping and War Outcomes. Presented at the Annual Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Toronto, 6 September.Google Scholar
Fortna, VP and Howard, LM (2008) Pitfalls and prospects in the peacekeeping literature. Annual Review of Political Science 11, 283301.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fortna, VP and Huang, R (2012) Democratization after civil war: a brush-clearing exercise. International Studies Quarterly 56(4), 801808.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gilligan, M and Stedman, SJ (2003) Where do the peacekeepers go? International Studies Review 5(4), 37–35.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gilligan, MJ and Sergenti, EJ (2008) Do UN interventions cause peace? Using matching to improve causal inference. Quarterly Journal of Political Science 3(2), 89122.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gizelis, T, Dorussen, H and Petrova, M (2016) Research findings on the evolution of peacekeeping. Oxford Research Encyclopaedia of Politics.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gordon, GM and Young, LE (2017) Cooperation, information, and keeping the peace: civilian engagement with peacekeepers in Haiti. Journal of Peace Research 54(1), 6479.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Government Accounting Office (2018) Hypothetical U.S. Operation Exceeds Actual Costs for Comparable UN Operation. Available from https://www.gao.gov/assets/690/689900.pdf.Google Scholar
Gowan, R (2019) The Politics of Action for Peacekeeping. New York: United Nations University Centre for Policy Research. Available from https://cpr.unu.edu/the-politics-of-action-for-peacekeeping.html (accessed 6 July 2020).Google Scholar
Gurses, M and Mason, TD (2008) Democracy out of anarchy: the prospects for post-civil-war democracy. Social Science Quarterly 89(2), 315336.Google Scholar
Haass, F and Ansorg, N (2018) Better peacekeepers, better protection? Troop quality of United Nations peace operations and violence against civilians. Journal of Peace Research 55(6), 742758.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hartzell, C, Hoddie, M and Rothchild, D (2001) Stabilizing the peace after civil war: an investigation of some key variables. International Organization 55(1), 183208.Google Scholar
Hegre, H, Hultman, L and Nygard, H (2019) Evaluating the conflict-reducing effect of UN peacekeeping operations. Journal of Politics 81(1), 215232.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Howard, LM (2008) UN Peacekeeping in Civil Wars. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Howard, LM (2019a) Power in Peacekeeping. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Howard, LM (2019b) Peacekeeping is not counterinsurgency. International Peacekeeping 26(5), 545548.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Howard, LM and Dayal, AK (2018) The use of force in UN peacekeeping. International Organization 72(1), 71103.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hultman, L, Kathman, J and Shannon, M (2013) United Nations peacekeeping and civilian protection in civil war. American Journal of Political Science 57(4), 875891.Google Scholar
Hultman, L, Kathman, J and Shannon, M (2014) Beyond keeping peace: United Nations effectiveness in the midst of fighting. American Political Science Review 108(4), 737753.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hultman, L, Kathman, J and Shannon, M (2015) Peacekeeping and Civilian Protection in Civil Conflicts: A Response to Kocher's Re-Analysis. SSRN. Posted 18 March.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jennings, K (2018) Peacekeeping as enterprise: transaction, consumption and the political economy of peace and peacekeeping. Civil Wars 20(2), 238261.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jennings, K and Boas, M (2015) Transactions and interactions: everyday life in the peacekeeping economy. Journal of Intervention and Statebuilding 9(3), 281295.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Johansson, K and Hultman, L (2019) UN peacekeeping and protection from sexual violence. Journal of Conflict Resolution 63(7), 16561681.Google Scholar
Joshi, M (2013) United Nations peacekeeping, democratic process, and the durability of peace after civil wars. International Studies Perspectives 14(1), 362382.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Karim, S and Beardsley, K (2016) Explaining sexual exploitation and abuse in peacekeeping missions: the role of female peacekeepers and gender equality in contributing countries. Journal of Peace Research 53(1), 100115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kathman, JD (2013) United Nations peacekeeping personnel commitments, 1990–2011. Conflict Management and Peace Science 30(5), 532549.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kathman, JD and Benson, M (2019) Cut short? United Nations peacekeeping and civil war duration to negotiated settlements. Journal of Conflict Resolution 63(7), 16011629.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kathman, JD and Wood, RM (2011) Managing threat, cost, and incentive to kill: the short- and long-term effects of intervention in mass killings. Journal of Conflict Resolution 55(5), 735760.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kathman, JD and Wood, RM (2016) Stopping the killing during the “peace”: peacekeeping and the severity of postconflict civilian victimization. Foreign Policy Analysis 12(2), 149169.Google Scholar
Kelmendi, P and Radin, A (2016) UNsatisfied? Public support for postconflict international missions. Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(5), 9831011.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
King, G and Zeng, L (2007) When can history be our guide? The pitfalls of counterfactual inference. International Studies Quarterly 51, 183210.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kirschner, S and Miller, A (2019) Does peacekeeping really bring peace? Peacekeepers and combatant-perpetrated sexual violence in civil wars. Journal of Conflict Resolution 63(9), 20432070.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kocher, MA (2014) The Effect of Peacekeeping Operations on Violence Against Civilians in Africa: A Critical Re-Analysis. SSRN, 12 November.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lake, DA (2016) The Statbuilder's Dilemma: On the Limits of Foreign Intervention. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lundgren, M (2016) Which type of international organizations can settle civil wars? Review of International Organizations 12(4), 613641.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Matanock, AM and Lichtenheld, A (2017) How does international intervention work? A mechanism for securing peace settlements in civil conflicts. Available from http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2446066.Google Scholar
Melander, E (2009) Selected to go where murderers lurk? The preventive effect of peacekeeping on mass killings of civilians. Conflict Management and Peace Science 26(4), 389406.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mironova, V and Whitt, S (2017) International peacekeeping and positive peace: evidence from Kosovo. Journal of Conflict Resolution 61(10), 20742104.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mukhopadhyay, D (2019) State-building in the Shadow of Counterterrorism: The Palace Politics of ‘Precarious’ Sovereignty. Working Paper, Columbia University.Google Scholar
Mvukiyehe, E (2018) Promoting political participation in war-torn countries: microlevel evidence from postwar Liberia. Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(8), 16861726.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mvukiyehe, E and Samii, C (2012) Does Peacekeeping Work from the Bottom Up? Negative Evidence from Liberia. Working paper.Google Scholar
Nordas, R and Rustad, SC (2013) Sexual exploitation and abuse by peacekeepers: understanding variation. International Interactions 39(4), 511534.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oladipo, T (2017) The UN's peacekeeping nightmare in Africa. BBC News, 5 January. Available from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-38372614.Google Scholar
Paddon-Rhoads, E (2016) Taking Sides in Peacekeeping: Impartiality and the Future of the United Nations. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Paris, R (2004) At War's End: Building Peace After Civil Conflict. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Phayal, A (2019) UN troop deployment and preventing violence against civilians in Darfur. International Interactions 45(5), 757780.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Phayal, A and Prins, B (2019) Deploying to protect: the effect of military peacekeeping deployments on violence against civilians. International Peacekeeping 27(2) 311336.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pickering, J and Peceny, P (2006) Forging democracy at gunpoint. International Studies Quarterly 50(3), 539559.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pouligny, B (1999) Peacekeepers and local social actors: the need for dynamic, cross-cultural analysis. Global Governance 5(4), 403424.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pouligny, B (2005) Civil society and post-conflict peacebuilding: ambiguities of international programmes aimed at building ‘new’ societies. Security Dialogue 36(4), 495510.Google Scholar
Pouligny, B (2006) Peace Operations Seen from Below: UN Missions and Local People. Sterling, VA: Kumarian Press.Google Scholar
Reuters (2017) Factbox: What Trump has said about the United Nations, 17 September. Available from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-un-assembly-trump-comments-factbox/factbox-what-trump-has-said-about-the-united-nations-idUSKCN1BS0UO.Google Scholar
Ruggeri, A, Dorussen, H and Gizelis, T-I (2017) Winning the peace locally: UN peacekeeping and local conflict. International Organization 71, 163185.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ruggeri, A, Dorussen, H and Gizelis, T-I (2018) On the frontline every day? Subnational deployment of United Nations peacekeepers. British Journal of Political Science 48(4), 10051025.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ruggeri, A, Gizelis, T-I and Dorussen, H (2013) Managing mistrust: an analysis of cooperation with UN peacekeeping in Africa. Journal of Conflict Resolution 57(3), 387409.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Salehyan, I (2009) Rebels Without Borders. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sambanis, N (2008) Short-and long-term effects of United Nations peace operations. The World Bank Economic Review 22(1), 932.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sandler, T (2017) International peacekeeping operations: burden sharing and effectiveness. Journal of Conflict Resolution 61(9), 18751897.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Sotomayor, AC (2014) The Myth of the Democratic Peacekeeper: Civil Military Relations and the United Nations. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Van der Lijn, J (2019) The UN Peace Operation in Mali: A Troubled Yet Needed Mission. New York: International Peace Institute.Google Scholar
Vivalt, E (2015) Peacekeepers Help, Governments Hinder. Working Paper. Available from http://evavivalt.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/peacekeeping_RR.pdf.Google Scholar
von Billerbeck, S (2017) Whose Peace? Local Ownership and United Nations Peacekeeping. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Von Hippel, K (2000) Democracy by Force: U.S. Military Intervention in the Post-Cold War World. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Walter, BF (1997) The critical barrier to civil war settlement. International Organization 51(3), 335364.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Walter, BF (2002) Committing to Peace: The Successful Settlement of Civil Wars. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Walter, BF (2010) Conflict relapse and the sustainability of post-conflict peace. World Development Report 2011. Washington, DC: World Bank.Google Scholar
Walter, BF (2015) Why bad governance leads to repeat civil war. Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(7), 12421272.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Whalan, J (2013) How Peace Operations Work: Power, Legitimacy, and Effectiveness. Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Whitworth, S (2004) Men, Militarism, and Peacekeeping: A Gendered Analysis. Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner.Google Scholar
Williams, PD (2018) In US Failure to Pay Peacekeeping Bills, Larger UN Financing Questions Raised. International Peace Institute, Global Observatory, 23 October. Available from https://theglobalobservatory.org/2018/10/in-us-failure-pay-peacekeeping-bills-larger-financing-questions-raised/.Google Scholar
Zanotti, L (2011) Governing Disorder: UN Peace Operations, International Security, and Democratization in the Post-Cold War era. University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press.Google Scholar
Zaum, D (2007) The Sovereignty Paradox: The Norms and Politics of International Statebuilding. Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar