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Turnout and the Vote: The Joke's on the Democrats

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 August 2014

James DeNardo
James DeNardo*
Affiliation:
Princeton University
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Abstract

A heavy turnout is commonly believed to favor the Democrats. This study presents theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence that challenge the conventional view. Reasonable assumptions about the behavior of core and peripheral voters lead to the conclusion that the majority party is most likely to suffer when turnout increases, common sense notwithstanding. It also appears that the recent decay of partisan loyalties among voters has eroded the relationship between turnout and the vote.

Type
Research Article
Information
American Political Science Review , Volume 74 , Issue 2 , June 1980 , pp. 406 - 420
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1980

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