Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-25wd4 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-27T02:23:45.473Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

3 - Distributional Impacts of a U.S. Greenhouse Gas Policy

A General Equilibrium Analysis of Carbon Pricing

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 June 2011

Gilbert E. Metcalf
Affiliation:
Tufts University, Massachusetts
Get access

Summary

Introduction

The United States is moving closer to enacting comprehensive climate change policy. President Obama campaigned in 2008 in part on a platform of re-engaging in the international negotiations on climate policy and supported a U.S. cap-and-trade policy with 100 percent auctioning of permits. Congress moved rapidly in 2009, with the House of Representatives voting favorably on the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (H.R. 2454) in late June of that year. What will happen in the Senate is still unresolved as this is written.

H.R. 2454 establishes a cap-and-trade system to reduce greenhouse gas emissions 17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020 and 83 percent by 2050. Among other provisions, it contains new energy efficiency standards for various appliances and a renewable electricity standard that requires retail suppliers to meet 20 percent of their electricity demand through renewable sources and energy efficiency by 2020 (see Holt and Whitney [2009] for a detailed description of the bill).

Cap-and-trade legislation acts like a tax in raising the price of carbon-based fuels and other covered inputs that release greenhouse gases. The monies involved in a cap-and-trade program are significant. The Congressional Budget Office estimated in June 2009 that H.R. 2454 would increase federal revenues by nearly $850 billion between 2010 and 2019. Because the bulk of permits are freely allocated in the early years of the program, spending would also increase over that period by roughly $820 billion.

Type
Chapter
Information
US Energy Tax Policy , pp. 52 - 107
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2010

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Armington, Paul. 1969. A theory of demand for products distinguished by place of production. International Monetary Fund Staff Papers 16: 159–176.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Babiker, Mustafa, Reilly, John M., Mayer, Monika, et al. 2001. The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model: Revisions, Sensitivities, and Comparison of Results. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Report 71, Cambridge, MA, http://globalchange.mit.edu/files/document/MITJPSPGC_Rpt73.pdf.Google Scholar
Babiker, Mustafa, Metcalf, Gilbert, and Reilly, John M.. 2003. Tax distortions and global climate policy. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 46: 269–287.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Babiker, Mustafa, Reilly, John M., and Viguier, Laurent. 2004. Is emissions trading always beneficial? Energy Journal 25 (2): 33–56.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bento, Antonio M., Goulder, Lawrence H., Jacobsen, Mark R., et al. 2009. Distributional and efficiency impacts of increased US gasoline taxes. American Economic Review 99 (3): 667–699.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bovenberg, A. Lans, and Goulder, Lawrence H.. 2001. Neutralizing the adverse industry impacts of CO2 abatement policies: What does it cost? In Distributional and Behavioral Effects of Environmental Policy, Carraro, Carlo and Metcalf, Gilbert E. (eds.), pp. 45–85. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Bovenberg, A. Lans, Goulder, Lawrence J., and Gurney, Derek J.. 2005. Efficiency costs of meeting industry-distributional constraints under environmental permits and taxes. RAND Journal of Economics 36 (4): 951–971.Google Scholar
Bull, Nicholas, Hassett, Kevin, and Metcalf, Gilbert E.. 1994. Who pays broad-based energy taxes? Computing lifetime and regional incidence. Energy Journal 15 (3): 145–164.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Burtraw, Dallas, Sweeney, Richard, and Walls, Margaret. 2009. The incidence of U.S. climate policy: Alternative uses of revenue from a cap and trade auction. Washington, D.C.: Resources for the Future.Google Scholar
Burtraw, Dallas, Walls, Margaret, and Blonz, Joshua A.. 2009. Distributional Impacts of Carbon Pricing Policies in the Electricity Sector. Washington, D.C.: American Tax Policy Institute.Google Scholar
Chirinko, R., Fazzari, S., and Meyer, A.. 2004. That elusive elasticity: A long-panel approach to estimating the capital-labor substitution elasticity. CESifo Working Paper, Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Munich, Germany.
,Congressional Budget Office. 2009a. Assessment of Potential Budgetary Impacts from the Introduction of Carbon Dioxide Cap-and-Trade Policies. Washington, D.C.: Congressional Budget Office.Google Scholar
,Congressional Budget Office. 2009b. H.R. 2454 American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 Cost Estimate. Washington, D.C.: Congressional Budget Office.Google Scholar
Cossa, Paul F. 2004. Uncertainty analysis of the cost of climate policies. Technology and Policy Program. Cambridge: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.Google Scholar
Davies, James B., St.-Hilaire, France, and Whalley, John. 1984. Some calculations of lifetime tax incidence. American Economic Review 74 (4): 633–649.Google Scholar
Dinan, Terry, and Rogers, Diane Lim. 2002. Distributional effects of carbon allowance trading: How government decisions determine winners and losers. National Tax Journal 55 (2): 199–221.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dirkse, S., and Ferris, M.. 1993. The PATH solver: A non-monotone stabilization scheme for mixed complementarity problems. Technical Report, Computer Sciences Department, University of Wisconsin-Madison.
,Energy Information Administration. 2009. State Energy Data System. Energy Information Administration. Available at http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/states/_seds.html. Accessed August 2009.
Friedman, Milton. 1957. A Theory of the Consumption Function. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Fullerton, Don, and Heutel, Garth. 2007. The general equilibrium incidence of environmental taxes. Journal of Public Economics 91 (3–4): 571–591.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fullerton, Don, and Rogers, Diane Lim. 1993. Who Bears the Lifetime Tax Burden?Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Grainger, Corbett, and Kolstad, Charles D.. 2009. Who pays a price on carbon? NBER Working Paper No. 15239, Cambridge, MA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harberger, Arnold, 1962. The incidence of the corporation income tax. Journal of Political Economy 70: 215–240.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hassett, Kevin, Mathur, Aparna, and Metcalf, Gilbert. 2009. The incidence of a U.S. carbon tax: A lifetime and regional analysis. The Energy Journal 30 (2): 157–179.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holt, Mark, and Whitney, Gene. 2009. Greenhouse gas legislation: Summary and analysis of H.R. 2454 as passed by the House of Representatives. Washington, D.C.: Congressional Research Service.Google Scholar
Hyman, Robert C. 2001. A More Cost-Effective Strategy for Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Modeling the Impact of Methane Abatement Opportunities. Technology and Policy Program. Cambridge: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.Google Scholar
Hyman, Robert C., Reilly, John M., Babiker, Mustafa H., et al. 2003. Modeling non-CO2 greenhouse gas abatement. Environmental Modeling and Assessment 8 (3): 175–186.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lyon, Andrew, and Schwab, Robert. 1995. Consumption taxes in a life-cycle framework: Are sin taxes regressive? Review of Economics and Statistics 77 (3): 389–406.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mathiesen, Lars. 1985. Computation of economic equilibria by a sequence of linear complementarity problems. Mathematical Programming Study 23: 144–162.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Metcalf, Gilbert. 1999. A distributional analysis of green tax reforms. National Tax Journal 52 (4): 655–681.Google Scholar
Metcalf, Gilbert. 2007. A proposal for a U.S. carbon tax swap: An equitable tax reform to address global climate change. In Hamilton Project Discussion Paper. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Metcalf, Gilbert. 2009. Designing a carbon tax to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 3 (1): 63–83.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Metcalf, Gilbert E., Paltsev, Sergey, Reilly, John M., et al. 2008. Analysis of U.S. greenhouse gas proposals. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Report 160, Cambridge, MA, http://globalchang e.mit.edu/files/document/MITJPSPGC_Rpt160.pdf.
,Minnesota IMPLAN Group. 2008. State-Level U.S. Data for 2006. Minnesota IMPLAN Group Inc.
Paltsev, Sergey, Reilly, John M., Jacoby, Henry D., et al. 2005. The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model: Version 4. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Report 125, Cambridge, MA, http://globalchange.mit.edu/files/document/MITJPSPGC_Rpt125.pdf/
Parry, Ian. 2004. Are emissions permits regressive? Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 47: 364–387.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pechman, Joseph A. 1985. Who Paid the Taxes: 1966–85?Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Poterba, James. 1989. Lifetime incidence and the distributional burden of excise taxes. American Economic Review 79 (2): 325–330.Google Scholar
Poterba, James. 1991. Is the gasoline tax regressive? Tax Policy and the Economy 5: 145–164.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rausch, Sebastian, Metcalf, Gilbert E., Reilly, John M., et al. In press. Distributional implications of alternative U.S. greenhouse gas control measures. The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy.
Rausch, Sebastian, and Rutherford, Thomas F.. 2009. Tools for Building National Economic Models Using State-Level IMPLAN Social Accounts. Mimeograph. Cambridge: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.Google Scholar
Ross, Martin. 2008. Documentation of the Applied Dynamic Analysis of the Global Economy (ADAGE). Working Paper 08–01, Research Triangle Institute.
Rutherford, Thomas F. 1995a. CES Preferences and Technology: A Practical Introduction. Mimeograph.University of Colorado.
Rutherford, Thomas F. 1995b. Extensions of GAMS for complementarity problems arising in applied economic analysis. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 19 (8): 1299–1324.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rutherford, Thomas F. 1999. Applied general equilibrium modeling with MPSGE as a GAMS subsystem: An overview of the modeling framework and syntax. Computational Economics 14: 1–46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tuladhar, S., M. Yuan, P. Bernstein, et al. In press. A top-down bottom-up modeling approach to climate change policy analysis. Energy Economics.
,U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. 2009. Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990–2007. Washington, D.C.: Environmental Protection Agency, EPA 430-R-09–004.Google Scholar
,U.S. Census Bureau. 2006. American Household Community Survey 2006: Household Income in the Past 12 Months. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Census Bureau.Google Scholar
,U.S. Senate Committee on Finance. 2009. Testimony of Dallas Burtraw. Hearing on Climate Change Legislation: Allowance and Revenue Distribution. Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
Webster, M, Babiker, MMayer, M., et al. 2002. Uncertainty in emissions projections for climate models. Atmospheric Environment 36 (22): 3659–3670.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weisbach, David. 2009. Instrument Choice Is Instrument Design. Washington, D.C.: American Tax Policy Institute.Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×