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Chapter 17 - Shaken Baby Syndrome

Exploring Concerns about the ‘Triad’ Diagnosis and Its Statistical Validation Using a Causal Bayesian Network

from Section 3 - Science

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 June 2023

Keith A. Findley
Affiliation:
University of Wisconsin, Madison
Cyrille Rossant
Affiliation:
University College London
Kana Sasakura
Affiliation:
Konan University, Japan
Leila Schneps
Affiliation:
Sorbonne Université, Paris
Waney Squier
Affiliation:
John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford
Knut Wester
Affiliation:
Universitetet i Bergen, Norway
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Summary

When very young children are brought to a doctor or hospital with signs and symptoms consistent with head injury, it is important to determine the cause. For almost 50 years, the triad of subdural haematoma (SDH), retinal haemorrhage (RH) and encephalopathy has been regarded as an accurate predictor of deliberate shaking and widely used to diagnose shaken baby syndrome (SBS). Statistical analyses by Cardiff University researchers and others claim to show that certain combinations of findings are highly predictive of abuse and as a result of this conclusion, protocols such as mandatory reporting to police are invoked in the name of protecting the child. However, concerns have been raised about the circularity of approach used in the statistical analyses which requires each case to be classified explicitly as either abuse or non-abuse. By producing a causal model of the problem, we show that these findings are actually a poor predictor of SBS, even where there is some evidence of risk factors indicative of abuse.

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Information
Shaken Baby Syndrome
Investigating the Abusive Head Trauma Controversy
, pp. 259 - 274
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2023

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