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1.1 - alternative perspective

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 May 2018

Mike Holland
Affiliation:
Independent Consultant, Ecometrics Research and Consulting
Bjorn Lomborg
Affiliation:
Copenhagen Business School
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Summary

As realization has grown of the impact of air pollution, so too has it become clear that the effects of individual pollutants are linked and that they cannot be considered purely in isolation. Health has become the prime driver of air pollution policies in North America and Europe since the mid-1990s, following new analysis that found detectable effects at levels previously considered “safe” and no evidence for an exposure threshold for fine particulates.

Considering Larsen's chapter, the first point is that the focus is on epidemiology, which in isolation provides no proof of causality. However, the evidence in this case is considered to demonstrate causality, so the author's reliance on epidemiological data is not problematic. However, there is more problem with attribution of health impacts to fine particles because other pollutants such as ozone, SO2, NO2, and dioxins also have an effect. Ozone impacts may add 20 percent or more to the total damage quantified in European policy assessments for fine particles. NO2 may cause greater impacts still, perhaps of a similar magnitude to fine particles. Larsen's analysis may therefore be an underestimate of impacts because he focuses on PM2.5 alone.

Another question is whether all particles have an equal impact on health. Although their different chemical and physical nature must make some difference, fine particles do generally appear to be harmful to health. Differentiating them is unlikely to make any significant changes to policy necessary.

An important issue is the actual impact of pollution, which is inferred to be the sole cause of death. In fact, it could also be one of a number of contributory factors that affect longevity or, alternatively, a final trigger for death. Such questions areof relevance for valuing mortality effects. Larsen states that there are four times as many deaths attributed to air pollution as to infant and maternal undernutrition. However, this comparison may not be valid because child and maternal mortality accounts for a much higher quantity of lost life expectancy.

Although mortality is clearly important, the effect on morbidity also warrants attention, for example, the impact of cancers, cardiovascular disease, and stroke. This adds to the health burden both directly and via the demands it places on the health system. We should also remember that the benefits of clean air policies are broader than health alone.

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Prioritizing Development
A Cost Benefit Analysis of the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals
, pp. 35 - 36
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2018

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  • alternative perspective
    • By Mike Holland, Independent Consultant, Ecometrics Research and Consulting
  • Edited by Bjorn Lomborg, Copenhagen Business School
  • Book: Prioritizing Development
  • Online publication: 30 May 2018
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108233767.004
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  • alternative perspective
    • By Mike Holland, Independent Consultant, Ecometrics Research and Consulting
  • Edited by Bjorn Lomborg, Copenhagen Business School
  • Book: Prioritizing Development
  • Online publication: 30 May 2018
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108233767.004
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • alternative perspective
    • By Mike Holland, Independent Consultant, Ecometrics Research and Consulting
  • Edited by Bjorn Lomborg, Copenhagen Business School
  • Book: Prioritizing Development
  • Online publication: 30 May 2018
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108233767.004
Available formats
×