Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Figures and Tables
- Contributors
- Acknowledgments
- 1 Introduction
- Part I Context and Causes
- Part II Thematic and Comparative Aspects
- 6 The Politics of Resistance and the Arab Uprisings
- 7 Egypt’s 25 January Uprising, Hegemonic Contestation, and the Explosion of the Poor
- 8 The Military amidst Uprisings and Transitions in the Arab World
- 9 Women, Democracy and Dictatorship in the Context of the Arab Uprisings
- 10 Dangers and Demon(izer)s of Democratization in Egypt
- Part III Countries in Turmoil
- Part IV Regional and International Implications
- Selected Bibliography
- Index
- References
10 - Dangers and Demon(izer)s of Democratization in Egypt
Through an Indonesian Glass, Darkly
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 June 2014
Edited by
Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Figures and Tables
- Contributors
- Acknowledgments
- 1 Introduction
- Part I Context and Causes
- Part II Thematic and Comparative Aspects
- 6 The Politics of Resistance and the Arab Uprisings
- 7 Egypt’s 25 January Uprising, Hegemonic Contestation, and the Explosion of the Poor
- 8 The Military amidst Uprisings and Transitions in the Arab World
- 9 Women, Democracy and Dictatorship in the Context of the Arab Uprisings
- 10 Dangers and Demon(izer)s of Democratization in Egypt
- Part III Countries in Turmoil
- Part IV Regional and International Implications
- Selected Bibliography
- Index
- References
Summary
Abstract
This chapter illuminates the ongoing transition from authoritarian rule since 2011 and prospects for democratization in Egypt in the years ahead through a comparison with Indonesia since 1998. The chapter identifies crucial commonalities between Egypt and Indonesia, including the political transformations leading up through the fall of Suharto in 1998 and Mubarak in 2011, suggesting that the situation in Egypt as of late 2012 mirrors the early post-Suharto interlude of 1998–1999. Political trends in Indonesia since that time, it is argued, suggest that the current political strength of Islamist forces in Egypt may be both more exaggerated and more ephemeral than is commonly understood. But both the similarities and the differences between the two countries also suggest the likely staying power of conservative forces associated with the ancien régime – the military establishment, the entrenched business oligarchy, and local political bosses – impeding the continuing struggle for democratization in Egypt.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- The New Middle EastProtest and Revolution in the Arab World, pp. 226 - 254Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2013
References
, Adaptable Autocrats: Regime Power in Egypt and Syria (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2012)Google Scholar
, ‘The Strategy of Paired Comparison: Toward a Theory of Practice’, Comparative Political Studies, Volume 43, Number 2 (February 2010), pp. 230–59CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, The Politics of Economic Liberalization in Indonesia (Richmond, Surrey: Curzon Press, 2002)Google Scholar
, Autumn of Dictatorship: Fiscal Crisis and Political Change in Egypt under Mubarak (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2011)Google Scholar
, ‘The Heir Apparency of Gamal Mubarak,’ Arab Studies Journal (Fall 2007–Spring 2008), pp. 36–56
, ‘Islam, State, and Civil Society: ICMI and the Struggle for the Indonesian Middle Class’, Indonesia 56 (October 1993), pp. 1–35CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, ‘The Metamorphosis of the Egyptian Muslim Brothers,’ International Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, Volume 37, Number 3 (August 2005), pp. 373–95CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, Egypt after Mubarak: Liberalism, Islam, and Democracy in the Arab World (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2008), pp. 163–90Google Scholar
, ‘The Egyptian Movement for Change – Kefaya: Redefining Politics in Egypt’, Public Culture, Volume 19, Number 1 (Winter 2007), pp. 175–96CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, , , , , and , The Kefaya Movement: A Case Study of a Grassroots Reform Initiative (Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation, 2008)Google Scholar
, ‘Enough! Egypt’s Quest for Democracy’, Comparative Political Studies, Volume 42, Number 8 (August 2009), pp. 1011–39CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, Opposing Suharto: Compromise, Resistance, and Regime Change in Indonesia (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2005)Google Scholar
, Elections and Distributive Politics in Mubarak’s Egypt (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, Patronage Politics in Egypt: The National Democratic Party and Muslim Brotherhood in Cairo (London: Routledge, 2013)Google Scholar
, ‘Macet Total: Logics of Circulation and Accumulation in the Demise of Indonesia’s New Order’, Indonesia, Volume 66 (October 1998), pp. 159–95CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, On the State in Egypt: What Caused the Revolution (Cairo: American University in Cairo Press, 2011), pp. 1–64Google Scholar
and (eds.), The Fall of Soeharto (London: C. Hurst, 1998)
and (eds.), The Journey to Tahrir: Revolution, Protest, and Social Change in Egypt (London: Verso, 2012)
, ‘Elections and the Normalization of Politics in Indonesia’, South East Asia Research, Volume 13, Number 2 (July 2005), pp. 117–56CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, ‘The End of Political Islam? A Comparative Analysis of Religious Parties in the Muslim Democracy of Indonesia’, Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, Volume 30, Number 3 (December 2011), pp. 133–59Google Scholar
, ‘Vicissitudes in the Entente between the Coptic Orthodox Church and the State in Egypt (1952–2007)’, International Journal of Middle East Studies, Volume 41, Number 2 (May 2009), pp. 269–87CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, Sectarian Conflict in Egypt: Coptic Media, Identity and Representation (London: Routledge, 2012)Google Scholar
, Indonesia: Minorities, Migrant Workers, Refugees, and the New Citizenship Law (Geneva: United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, March 2007)Google Scholar
and (eds.), Expressing Islam: Religious Life and Politics in Indonesia (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2009)
, Riots, Pogroms, Jihad: Religious Violence in Indonesia (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2006), pp. 132–95Google Scholar
Indonesia: The Search for Peace in Maluku (Jakarta/Brussels: International Crisis Group, February 2002)
Indonesia: Managing Decentralization and Conflict in South Sulawesi (Jakarta/Brussels: International Crisis Group, July 2003)
Indonesia: Implications of the Ahmadiyah Decree (Jakarta/Brussels: International Crisis Group, July 2008)
Indonesia: ‘Christianisation’ and Intolerance (Jakarta/Brussels: International Crisis Group, November 2010)
, ‘The Rise of Shari’a By-Laws in Indonesian Districts’, South East Asia Research, Volume 16, Number 2 (July 2008), pp. 255–85CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, ‘The Changing Politics of Religious Knowledge in Asia: The Case of Indonesia’, in and (eds.), The Politics of Knowledge (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2009), pp. 156–92Google Scholar
, Military Politics, Islam, and the State in Indonesia: From Turbulent Transition to Democratic Consolidation (Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2009), especially pp. 195–250Google Scholar
, The Politics of Military Reform in Post-Suharto Indonesia: Elite Conflict, Nationalism, and Institutional Resistance (Washington, DC: East-West Center, 2006)Google Scholar
, ‘Soldiers, Parties, and Bureaucrats: Illicit Fund-Raising in Contemporary Indonesia’, South East Asia Research, Volume 16, Number 2 (July 2008), pp. 225–54CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, ‘Party-Financing in Post-Soeharto Indonesia: Between State Subsidies and Political Corruption’, Contemporary Southeast Asia, Volume 29, Number 2 (August 2007), pp. 238–63CrossRefGoogle Scholar
and , Reorganising Power in Indonesia: The Politics of Oligarchy in an Age of Markets (London: Routledge, 2004)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, ‘Accountability Trap: Party Cartels and Presidential Power after Democratic Transition,’ Indonesia, Volume 78 (October 2004), pp. 611–92Google Scholar
, ‘Indonesia’s Democratic Stagnation: Anti-Reformist Elites and Resilient Civil Society’, Democratization, Volume 19, Number 2 (April 2012), pp. 209–29CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, ‘Patterns of Military Control in the Indonesian Higher Bureaucracy’, Indonesia, Volume 33 (April 1982), pp. 89–121CrossRefGoogle Scholar
and , A Tour of Duty: Changing Patterns of Military Politics in Indonesia in the 1990s (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Southeast Asia Program, 1999)Google Scholar
, ‘The Egyptian Military in Politics: Disengagement or Accommodation?’, Middle East Journal, Volume 57, Number 2 (Spring 2003), pp. 269–90Google Scholar
, Ruling but not Governing: The Military and Political Development in Egypt, Algeria, and Turkey (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2007)Google ScholarPubMed
, ‘The Egyptian Military, Part One: From the Ottomans through Sadat’, Middle East Policy, Volume 18, Number 3 (Fall 2011), pp. 63–78CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, ‘The Egyptian Military, Part Two: From Mubarak Onward’, Middle East Policy, Volume 18, Number 4 (Winter 2011), pp. 106–28CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, Above the State: The Officers’ Republic in Egypt (Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, August 2012)Google Scholar
, Party Politics and Democratization in Indonesia: Golkar in the Post-Suharto Era (London: Routledge, 2008)Google Scholar
, Egypt on the Brink: From the Rise of Nasser to the Fall of Mubarak (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2011), pp. 127–57Google Scholar
, The Muslim Brotherhood and Egypt’s Succession Crisis: The Politics of Liberalisation and Reform in the Middle East (London: I. B. Tauris, 2010), pp. 129–74Google Scholar
, ‘Égypte: Le Parti National Démocratique au Coeur du Dispositif de Succession’, Politique Étrangère, Volume 1 (2007), pp. 67–78CrossRefGoogle Scholar
, ‘Rewiring the Indonesian State’, in and (eds.), Making Indonesia: Essays on Modern Indonesia in Honor of George McT. Kahin (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Southeast Asia Program, 1996), pp. 164–79Google Scholar
, Civil Islam: Muslims and Democratization in Indonesia (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2000)Google Scholar
and , The End of Innocence? Indonesian Islam and the Temptations of Radicalism (Singapore: Singapore University Press, 2011)Google Scholar
, When Victory is Not an Option: Islamist Movements in Arab Politics (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2012)Google Scholar
, Salafis and Sufis in Egypt (Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, December 2011)Google Scholar
, When Victory Becomes an Option: Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood Confronts Success (Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, January 2012)Google Scholar
, Sheikhs and Politicians: Inside the New Egyptian Salafism (Doha: Brookings Doha Center, June 2012)Google Scholar