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9 - Conclusions and recommendations

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 September 2009

Lykke E. Andersen
Affiliation:
Universidad Católica Boliviana
Clive W. J. Granger
Affiliation:
University of California, San Diego
Eustaquio J. Reis
Affiliation:
Institute for Applied Economic Research, Rio de Janeiro
Diana Weinhold
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science
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Summary

Deforestation in the Amazon has become an emotional topic and thus it is unlikely that scientific or economic research alone will be able to resolve the question of what the socially optimal combinations of end-uses in the Brazilian Amazon are. Agreement among people with diverse preferences and backgrounds is often difficult, and all the more so in this case owing to the underlying uncertainty regarding different choices. Many of the biophysical processes and feedback effects that connect forests with biological and climatic systems are not yet well understood, so within the bounds of normal scientific discourse people can have different beliefs about the probable biological and climatic risks associated with deforestation. Furthermore, even among those that share the same risk assessment, people will have varying degrees of risk aversion and may disagree on how to proceed.

Even if all the scientific controversies could be resolved, different people could still legitimately reach different conclusions. Some people might be relatively more concerned about the extinction of species and loss of natural habitat on either scientific or ethical grounds, while others may not care much about the extinction of animals that never were important to them in the first place. Some might prefer to champion the cause of indigenous cultural survival of native peoples, while others would promote the interests of poor landless peasants.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2002

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