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8 - The Road Ahead

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 March 2017

Jonathan R. Stromseth
Affiliation:
Brookings Institution, Washington DC
Edmund J. Malesky
Affiliation:
Duke University, North Carolina
Dimitar D. Gueorguiev
Affiliation:
Syracuse University, New York
Lai Hairong
Affiliation:
Peking University, Beijing
Wang Xixin
Affiliation:
Peking University, Beijing
Carl Brinton
Affiliation:
Harvard Business School
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Summary

<span class='bold'>Abstract</span>

Beyond the headline findings, five additional themes emerged from our research. First, Chinese governance reforms must be understood on their own terms and in the context of the Chinese policymaking process. Second, Chinese reforms were only partially successful. Many were not fully implemented or failed to achieve the full extent of the outcomes envisioned for them. Third, there is no single Chinese model; approaches to governance varied widely over time and across Chinese provinces. Fourth, reforms were most successful when accompanied by other reform initiatives. Fifth, Chinese governance reforms were intentionally not embedded in permanent and self-reinforcing institutions. After reviewing these themes, we reflect on the implications of our research for the future of the Chinese regime. Our analysis draws from the burgeoning literatures on authoritarian institutions, regime transition, and democratization. We offer the provocative perspective that these reforms may pave the way for successful democratization in two respects. First, the legacy of a high-quality bureaucracy and strong governance has been shown to influence the success of democratic transitions. Second, enhanced legitimacy may enable the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), like other single-party regime, to concede from a position of strength – allowing multiparty competition because it believes it can win in a free and fair contest.

Type
Chapter
Information
China's Governance Puzzle
Enabling Transparency and Participation in a Single-Party State
, pp. 276 - 299
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2017

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