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2 - Basic elements of a model and definitions of stability

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 May 2010

Emerson M. S. Niou
Affiliation:
Duke University, North Carolina
Peter C. Ordeshook
Affiliation:
California Institute of Technology
Gregory F. Rose
Affiliation:
North Texas State University
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Summary

International relations continue to be a recurring struggle for wealth and power among independent actors in a state of anarchy.

Robert Gilpin, War and Change in World Politics (1981, p. 7)

Classic balance-of-power theory can be interpreted as an hypothesis that in a more-than-two-Power world there are no non-autonomous causes of systemic change;… the purely political aspect of the system's powerpolitical process always tends to produce a stable equilibrium which can be upset, if at all, only by autonomous changes.

Arthur L. Burns, Of Powers and their Politics (1968, p. 249)

The balance's underlying principle… was that all the nth disengaged powers would tend to intervene on the side that seemed in danger of losing any ongoing war, to ensure that such a loser was not eliminated from the system and absorbed into an emerging colossus.

George H. Quester, Offense and Defense in the International System (1977, p. 64)

Preliminary assumptions

Our objective in this chapter is to elaborate our second scenario of resource competition and survival - a game wherein the only explicit rule defining its structure is that any player can overcome a weaker adversary - so that it more clearly constitutes a model of international conflict and alliances. At the same time, we want to render the concept of equilibrium, implicit in the preceding quotations, analytically precise so that the full implications of egoistic choice in anarchic systems can be uncovered. Before we proceed too far, though, we must be certain that this scenario can model a process as complex as the relations among sovereign states.

Type
Chapter
Information
The Balance of Power
Stability in International Systems
, pp. 36 - 74
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1989

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