Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- Preface
- 1 Introduction
- Part I Domestic Developments in China
- 2 China's Economic Rise: From Hindi-Chini Bhai Bhai to Hindi-Chini Buy-Buy?
- 3 Domestic Politics in Contemporary China: Ideas, Institutionalisation and Issues
- 4 China's Military Modernisation: Dragon Fire on India
- Part II China's Foreign Policy
- Part III China's India Policy
2 - China's Economic Rise: From Hindi-Chini Bhai Bhai to Hindi-Chini Buy-Buy?
from Part I - Domestic Developments in China
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 June 2012
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- Preface
- 1 Introduction
- Part I Domestic Developments in China
- 2 China's Economic Rise: From Hindi-Chini Bhai Bhai to Hindi-Chini Buy-Buy?
- 3 Domestic Politics in Contemporary China: Ideas, Institutionalisation and Issues
- 4 China's Military Modernisation: Dragon Fire on India
- Part II China's Foreign Policy
- Part III China's India Policy
Summary
The Food, Fuel and Financial Crises
In the January 2009 update of World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated,
Global growth in 2009 is expected to fall to ½ per cent when measured in terms of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), and to turn negative when measured in terms of market exchange rates … Helped by continued efforts to ease credit strains as well as expansionary fiscal and monetary policies, the global economy is projected to experience a gradual recovery in 2010, with growth picking up to 3 per cent. However, the outlook is highly uncertain, and the timing and pace of the recovery depend critically on strong policy actions … The continuation of the financial crisis, as policies failed to dispel uncertainty, has caused asset values to fall sharply across advanced and emerging economies, decreasing household wealth and thereby putting downward pressure on consumer demand. In addition, the associated high level of uncertainty has prompted households and businesses to postpone expenditures, reducing demand for consumer and capital goods. At the same time, widespread disruptions in credit are constraining household spending and curtailing production and trade…. Stronger economic frameworks in many emerging economies have provided more room for policy support to growth than in the past, helping to cushion the impact of this unprecedented external shock.
The decoupling argument has been done to death. In a long-term and secular sense, growth in emerging Asia (including China and India) is somewhat de-linked from secular growth in developed countries.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- The Rise of ChinaImplications for India, pp. 29 - 49Publisher: Foundation BooksPrint publication year: 2012