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14 - Evaluating economic consequences of livestock diseases: a US perspective

from PART III - Adding more economics to risk analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2013

Kenneth W. Forsythe Jr.
Affiliation:
Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service
Kym Anderson
Affiliation:
University of Adelaide
Cheryl McRae
Affiliation:
Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry in Canberra, Australia
David Wilson
Affiliation:
Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry in Canberra, Australia
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Summary

This chapter provides an overview of selected approaches to evaluating the economic consequences of livestock diseases. The presentation focuses on general types of analysis that may be needed, some examples of analytical tools, and discusses the linkages between some of the available tools. While the context of this discussion is primarily in the area of livestock diseases, these same concepts apply broadly and may be useful in the phytosanitary area as well.

Also discussed in the chapter is the international context for applying these analytical tools in terms of the World Trade Organization's Agreement on Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures (the SPS Agreement) and the Office International des Epizooties (OIE) International Animal Health Code (OIE, 1999). In addition, the practicalities of consequence evaluation in regulatory environments are discussed as well as potential analysis trade-offs in the face of very limited resources.

Economic analysis is essential to understanding the risks of livestock diseases. As discussed in a recent workshop conducted by the US Department of Agriculture, “when decision-making is complex, economic analysis is often useful for putting probabilistic outcomes, which are the results of risk assessment, in perspective. For example, economics can translate the impacts of a disease outbreak termed ‘serious’ by veterinarians into economic losses to the livestock sector, which might then be compared to total livestock revenues. Thus, economic analysis can provide a basis for comparing different sources or types of risks.

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Publisher: The University of Adelaide Press
Print publication year: 2012

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