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10 - Conclusion: The future behind us

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 February 2015

Williamson Murray
Affiliation:
Institute for Defense Analyses
Macgregor Knox
Affiliation:
The London School of Economics and Political Science
MacGregor Knox
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science
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Summary

The early Greek imagination envisaged the past and the present as in front of us – we can see them. The future, invisible, is behind us. … Paradoxical though it may sound to the modern ear, this image of our journey through time may be truer to reality than the medieval and modern feeling that we face the future as we make our way forward into it.

The essays in this volume have focused on the transformations in the art of war that have marked the rise of the West. The purpose of this final chapter is entirely different. It is to draw general conclusions about the nature of military revolutions and of revolutions in military affairs, and to explore what that past might suggest about the potential for such revolutions in the future. In view of the claims of the enthusiasts that the United States is riding the crest of an American revolution in military affairs, these are intriguing questions indeed.

The pace of technological and social change and the continuing antagonisms between states make it highly probable that war, military revolutions, and revolutions in military affairs will play a central role in the century that has just begun.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2001

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