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26 - Applications of Decision Analysis to the Military Systems Acquisition Process

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Dennis M. Buede
Affiliation:
Innovative Decisions, Inc.
Terry A. Bresnick
Affiliation:
Innovative Decisions, Inc.
Ralph F. Miles Jr.
Affiliation:
California Institute of Technology
Detlof von Winterfeldt
Affiliation:
University of Southern California
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Summary

ABSTRACT. We used decision analysis to define requirements for the U.S. Marine Corps (USMC) mobile protected weapons system during the concept selection phase of the systems acquisition process; to analyze the mix of air defense weapons for the forward area air defense of the U.S. Army during the demonstration and validation phase; to assist in the evaluation by the U.S. Army and the USMC of competing proposals for the light armored vehicle in the full-scale development phase; to determine which service (Army or Air Force) should be the proponent for the PATRIOT missile system in the production and fielding phase; and to provide cost–benefit priorities of projects to the USMC in the program objectives memorandum process, which allocates resources throughout the systems acquisition cycle.

We have supported various systems acquisition decisions for major weapons systems of the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) since 1977. Over the course of this 29-year period, there have been at least ten official changes to the acquisition process, the most recent occurring in May 2003. The goal is to have a process that produces defensible decisions supported with sound analyses and clear rationale. Decision analysis can provide that capability. Although we focus on systems acquisition, it is hard to separate the acquisition process from the planning, programming, and budgeting system (PPBS). Since Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara created it in 1961, PPBS has been the primary mechanism for determining fiscal needs and funding programs.

Type
Chapter
Information
Advances in Decision Analysis
From Foundations to Applications
, pp. 539 - 563
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2007

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References

Bresnick, T. A., Annis, C. P., and Buede, D M. (1981). Concept Definition and Evaluation Criteria for the Mobile Protected Weapons System (MPWS) and the Light Armored Vehicle (LAV). Final Report No. PR 81–14–154. McLean, VA: Decisions and Designs, Inc.Google Scholar
Bresnick, T. A., Annis, C. P., and Buede, D. M. (1982). A multiattribute utility approach to communicating acquisition requirements to industry: USMC mobile protected weapons system. Phalanx, 15, 11–14.Google Scholar
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Kuskey, K. P., Waslov, K. A., and Buede, D. M. (1981). Decision analytic support of the United States Marine Corps' POM development: A guide to the methodology. Final Report PR 81–158, McLean, VA: Decisions and Designs, Inc.Google Scholar
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