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6 - The Climate Change Negotiations

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 June 2011

Chandrashekhar Dasgupta
Affiliation:
Ministry of External Affairs New Delhi, India
Irving M. Mintzer
Affiliation:
Stockholm Environment Institute
J. Amber Leonard
Affiliation:
Stockholm Environment Institute
Michael J. Chadwick
Affiliation:
Stockholm Environment Institute
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Summary

Prologue

Few issues have acquired priority in the international agenda in as short a time as global warming. Up to the early 1970s many scientists believed that the Earth might be moving towards a new ice age and that increasing levels of emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) from human activities would not alter this course and might even be helpful in slowing down this movement. It was only towards the close of the decade that scientific opinion tentatively endorsed the view that on average global temperatures might be rising. The first World Climate Conference, organized by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in Geneva in 1979, cautiously concluded that:

It can be said with some confidence that the burning of fossil fuels, deforestation and changes of land use have increased the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere by about 15 per cent during the last century and that it is at present increasing by about 0.4 per cent per year … it appears plausible that an increased amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can contribute to a gradual warming of the lower atmosphere, especially at high latitudes.

Despite continuing uncertainties in many of its aspects, this hypothesis made rapid headway in scientific circles in the 1980s. Workshops held in Villach (Austria) in October 1985 and in October 1987, and in Bellagio (Italy) in November 1987 gave impetus to this development.

Type
Chapter
Information
Negotiating Climate Change
The Inside Story of the Rio Convention
, pp. 129 - 148
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1994

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