Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-jbqgn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-23T19:32:41.587Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

2 - Agent-based Models of Coupled Social and Natural Systems

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  13 March 2020

Neil Sang
Affiliation:
Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Get access

Summary

Agent-based models are dynamic computer simulations that explicitly represent the interactions of heterogeneous individuals. Interest in such models stems from a number of disciplines. Some economists see agent-based models as enabling them to escape the restrictive assumptions of human rationality needed for tractable mathematical analysis under the classical paradigm, among other reasons (Axtell, 2000). Indeed, the broad affiliation of disciplines interested in a ‘complex systems’ perspective, in which systems of multiple interacting heterogeneous elements generate ‘emergent’ structure and order at the aggregate scale, offers a new metaphor for understanding economic systems. Arthur, Durlauf and Lane’s (1997) introduction to The Economy as a Complex Evolving System, for example, cites various features of real economic systems that are challenging to classical analysis, but entirely natural from a complex systems perspective: e.g. out-of-equilibrium dynamics, dispersed interaction and the lack of a global mediator. Agent-based models are closely aligned conceptually to a complex systems view of the world. Broader interest in agent-based modelling in the social sciences is derived from its perceived potential as a ‘third way’ between the quantitative and qualitative camps (Moss, 1999). The conceptual chasm between these two is often overemphasised, with most pragmatic social scientists willing to adopt mixed-methods approaches to case studies, but if seen as a formal environment in which to explore the dynamic outcomes of more assumptions than the human mind can reason with logically, agent-based models offer qualitative social scientists new tools to explore their findings, which can potentially be fitted to data gathered and analysed by quantitative social scientists. Geographers are interested in agent-based models because they can be used to represent space explicitly.

Type
Chapter
Information
Modelling Nature-based Solutions
Integrating Computational and Participatory Scenario Modelling for Environmental Management and Planning
, pp. 56 - 81
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2020

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Aamodt, A. & Plaza, E. 1994. Case-based reasoning: foundational issues, methodological variations, and system approaches. AI Communications, 7(1), 3959.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
An, L. 2012. Modeling human decisions in coupled human and natural systems: review of agent-based models. Ecological Modelling, 229, 2536.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arifovic, J. 1994. Genetic algorithm learning and the cobweb model. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(1), 328.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arthur, W. B., Durlauf, S. N. & Lane, D. A. (eds.) 1997. Economy as a Complex Evolving System II. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.Google Scholar
Axelrod, R. M. 1997. The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Axtell, R. 2000. Why agents? On the varied motivations for agent computing in the social sciences. Center on Social and Economy Dynamics Working Paper No. 17. www.brookings.edu/research/why-agents-on-the-varied-motivations-for-agent-computing-in-the-social-sciences/Google Scholar
Becu, N., Perez, P., Walker, A., Barreteau, O. & Le Page, C. 2003. Agent based simulation of a small catchment water management in northern Thailand: description of the CATCHSCAPE model. Ecological Modelling, 170(2), 319331.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bellatreche, L., Dung, N. X., Pierra, G. & Hondjack, D. 2006. Contribution of ontology-based data modeling to automatic integration of electronic catalogues within engineering databases. Computers in Industry, 57(8–9), 711724.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bithell, M. & Brasington, J. 2009. Coupling agent-based models of subsistence farming with individual-based forest models and dynamic models of water distribution. Environmental Modelling & Software, 24(2), 173190.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boero, R. & Squazzoni, F. 2005. Does empirical embeddedness matter? Methodological issues on agent-based models for analytical social science. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 8(4), 6. http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/4/6.htmlGoogle Scholar
Bommel, P., Dieguez, F., Bartaburu, D., Duarte, E., Montes, E., Machín, M. P., et al. 2014. A further step towards participatory modelling: fostering stakeholder involvement in designing models by using executable UML. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 17(1), 6. http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/17/1/6.htmlCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boschetti, F. 2007. Improving resource exploitation via collective intelligence by assessing agents’ impact on the community outcome. Ecological Economics, 63(2), 553562.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bousquet, F., Barreteau, O., d’Aquino, P., Etienne, M., Boissau, S., Aubert, S., et al. 2002. Multi-agent systems and role games: collective learning processes for ecosystem management. In: Janssen, M. A. (ed.) Complexity and Ecosystem Management. The Theory and Practice of Multi-agent Systems, pp. 248286. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caillault, S., Miahle, F., Vannier, C., Delmotte, S., Kedowide, C., Amblard, F., et al. 2013. Influence of incentive networks on landscape changes: a simple agent-based simulation approach. Environmental Modelling & Software, 45, 6473.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chen, S.-H. & Yeh, C.-H. 2001. Evolving traders and the business school with genetic programming: a new architecture of the agent-based artificial stock market. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 25(3), 363393.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dennett, D. C. 1989. The Intentional Stance. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Farmer, J. D., Patelli, P. & Zovko, I. I. 2005. The predictive power of zero intelligence in financial markets. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 102(6), 22542259.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Filatova, T., Verburg, P. H., Parker, D. C. & Stannard, C. A. 2013. Spatial agent-based models for socio-ecological systems: challenges and prospects.Environmental Modelling & Software, 45: 17.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Flentge, F., Polani, D. & Uthmann, T. 2001. Modelling the emergence of possession norms using memes. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 4(4), 3. http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/4/4/3.htmlGoogle Scholar
Gaube, V. & Remesch, A. 2013. Impact of urban planning on household’s residential decisions: an agent-based simulation model for Vienna. Environmental Modelling & Software, 45, 92103.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Gotts, N. M., Polhill, G., Craig, T. & Galan-Diaz, C. 2014. Combining diverse data sources for CEDSS, an agent-based model of domestic energy demand. Structure and Dynamics: eJournal of Anthropological and Related Sciences, 7(1). http://eprints.gla.ac.uk/143757/1/143757.pdfGoogle Scholar
Gotts, N. M., Polhill, J. G. & Law, A. N. R. 2003. Agent-based simulation in the study of social dilemmas. Artificial Intelligence Review, 19, 392.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Happe, K., Bahmann, A., Kellermann, K. & Sahrbacher, C. 2008. Does structure matter? The impact of switching the agricultural policy regime on farm structures. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 67(2), 431444.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hare, M. & Deadman, P. 2004. Further towards a taxonomy of agent-based simulation models in environmental management. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, 64(1), 2540.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heckbert, S., Baynes, T. & Reeson, A. 2010. Agent‐based modeling in ecological economics. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1185(1), 3953.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Hu, X. & Sun, Y. 2007. Agent-based modeling and simulation of wildland fire suppression. Presented at the 2007 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE. https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/4419732Google Scholar
Jager, W., Janssen, M. A., De Vries, H. J. M., De Greef, J. & Vlek, C. A. J. 2000. Behaviour in commons dilemmas: Homo economicus and Homo psychologicus in an ecological–economic model. Ecological Economics, 35(3), 357379.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Janssen, M. A. & Ostrom, E. 2006. Empirically based, agent-based models. Ecology and Society, 11(2), 37.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Janssen, M. A., Walker, B. A., Langridge, J. & Abel, N. 2000. An adaptive agent model for analysing co-evolution of management and policies in a complex rangeland system. Ecological Modelling, 131(2), 249268.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lansing, J. S. & Kremer, J. N. 1993. Emergent properties of Balinese water temple networks: coadaptation on a rugged fitness landscape. American Anthropologist, 95(1), 97114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Matthews, R. B., Gilbert, N. G., Roach, A., Polhill, J. G. & Gotts, N. M. 2007. Agent-based land-use models: a review of applications. Landscape Ecology, 22(10), 14471459.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Millington, J. D. A., Wainwright, J., Perry, G. L. W., Romero-Calcerrada, R. & Malamud, B. D. 2009. Modelling Mediterranean landscape succession-disturbance dynamics: a landscape fire-succession model. Environmental Modelling & Software, 24(10), 11961208.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moss, S. 1999. Relevance, realism and rigour: a third way for social and economic research. CPM Report No. 99–56. http://cfpm.org/cpmrep56.htmlGoogle Scholar
Moss, S. 2008. Alternative approaches to the empirical validation of agent-based models. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 11(1), 5. http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/11/1/5.htmlGoogle Scholar
Oreskes, N., Shrader-Frechette, K. & Belitz, K. 1994. Verification, validation, and confirmation of numerical models in the Earth Sciences. Science, 263(5147), 641646.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Parker, D. C., Entwisle, B., Rindfuss, R. R., Vanwey, L. K., Manson, S. M., Moran, E., et al. 2008. Case studies, cross-site comparisons, and the challenge of generalization: comparing agent-based models of land-use change in frontier regions. Journal of Land Use Science, 3(1), 4172.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Perry, G. L. W. & Millington, J. D. A. 2008. Spatial modelling of succession-disturbance dynamics in forest ecosystems: concepts and examples. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 9(3–4), 191210.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Polhill, G. & Gotts, N. 2011. Semantic model integration: an application for OWL. Presented at the European Social Simulation Association Conference (ESSA 2011), Montpellier, France.Google Scholar
Polhill, G., Gotts, N., Sánchez-Maroño, N., Pignotti, E., Fontenia-Romero, Ó., Rodríguez-García, M., et al. 2012. An ontology-based design for modelling case studies of everyday pro-environmental behaviour in the workplace. In: Seppelt, R., Voinov, A. A., Lange, S. & Bankamp, D. (eds.) International Environmental Modelling and Software Society (iEMSS) 2012 International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software. Leipzig: IEMSS.Google Scholar
Polhill, J. G., Gimona, A. & Aspinall, R. J. 2011. Agent-based modelling of land use effects on ecosystem processes and services. Journal of Land Use Science, 6(2–3), 7581.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Polhill, J. G., Gimona, A. & Gotts, N. M. 2013. Nonlinearities in biodiversity incentive schemes: a study using an integrated agent-based and metacommunity model. Environmental Modelling & Software, 45, 7491.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Polhill, J. G. & Gotts, N. M. 2009. Ontologies for transparent integrated human-natural system modelling. Landscape Ecology, 24(9), 12551267.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Polhill, J. G., Sutherland, L.-A. & Gotts, N. M. 2010. Using qualitative evidence to enhance an agent-based modelling system for studying land use change. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 13(2), 10. http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/13/2/10.htmlCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rasch, S., Heckelei, T., Oomen, R. & Naumann, C. 2016. Cooperation and collapse in a communal livestockproduction SES model – a case from South Africa. Environmental Modelling & Software, 75, 402413.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schlüter, M. & Pahl-Wostl, C. 2007. Mechanisms of resilience in common-pool resource management systems: an agent-based model of water use in a river basin. Ecology and Society, 12(2), 4. www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol12/iss2/art4/CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smajgl, A. & Bohensky, E. 2013. Behaviour and space in agent-based modelling: poverty patterns in East Kalimantan, Indonesia. Environmental Modelling & Software, 45, 814.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smajgl, A., Brown, D. G., Valbuena, D. & Huigen, M. G. A. 2011. Empirical characterisation of agent behaviours in socio-ecological systems. Environmental Modelling & Software, 26(7), 837844.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smajgl, A., Carlin, G., Pambudhi, F., Bohensky, E., House, A., Butler, J., et al. 2009. Assessing impacts of fuel subsidy decisions on poverty and fish catch in Central Java, Indonesia: an agent-based analysis. Analysing Pathways to Sustainability in Indonesia Discussion Paper. CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems, Townsville. https://publications.csiro.au/rpr/pub?list=BRO&pid=changeme:525Google Scholar
Torrens, P. M. & Nara, A. 2007. Modeling gentrification dynamics: a hybrid approach. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 31(3), 337361.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Torrens, P. M. & O’Sullivan, D. 2001. Cellular automata and urban simulation: where do we go from here? Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 28(2), 163168.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Valbuena, D., Verburg, P. H., Bregt, A. K. & Ligtenberg, A. 2010. An agent-based approach to model land-use change at a regional scale. Landscape Ecology, 25(2), 185199.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Voinov, A. & Bousquet, F. 2010. Modelling with stakeholders. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25(11), 12681281.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Voinov, A. & Shugart, H. H. 2013. ‘Integronsters’, integral and integrated modeling.Environmental Modelling & Software, 39, 149158.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Walsh, S. J., Messina, J. P., Mena, C. F., Malanson, G. P. & Page, P. H. 2008. Complexity theory, spatial simulation models, and land use dynamics in the Northern Ecuadorian Amazon. Geoforum, 39(2), 867878.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zellner, M. L., Page, S. E., Rand, W., Brown, D. G., Robinson, D. T., Nassauer, J., et al. 2009. The emergence of zoning policy games in exurban jurisdictions: informing collective action theory. Land Use Policy, 26(2), 356367.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×