Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Preface
- Acknowledgements
- Part I The State of Knowledge and its use in Environmental Economics
- Part II A Positive Theory for Complexity Economics
- Part III Applied Complexity Economics for Environmental Governance
- 12 Risk-Opportunity Analysis for Transformative Policy Design and Appraisal
- 13 A Science–Policy Interface for the Energy–Water–Food Nexus
- 14 Technology Dynamics in a Rapid Low-Carbon Transition
- 15 Macroeconomics and Structural Change in a Rapid Low-Carbon Transition
- 16 Conclusions and Outlook
- References
- Index
12 - Risk-Opportunity Analysis for Transformative Policy Design and Appraisal
from Part III - Applied Complexity Economics for Environmental Governance
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 03 November 2022
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Preface
- Acknowledgements
- Part I The State of Knowledge and its use in Environmental Economics
- Part II A Positive Theory for Complexity Economics
- Part III Applied Complexity Economics for Environmental Governance
- 12 Risk-Opportunity Analysis for Transformative Policy Design and Appraisal
- 13 A Science–Policy Interface for the Energy–Water–Food Nexus
- 14 Technology Dynamics in a Rapid Low-Carbon Transition
- 15 Macroeconomics and Structural Change in a Rapid Low-Carbon Transition
- 16 Conclusions and Outlook
- References
- Index
Summary
The current global climate policy agenda requires technological change, innovation, labour markets and the financial system to be led towards an orderly and rapid low-carbon transition. Yet progress has been slow and incremental. Inadequacies of policy appraisal frameworks used worldwide may be significant contributors to the problem, as they frequently fail to adequately account for the dynamics of societal and technological change. Risks are underestimated, and the economic opportunities from innovation are generally not assessed in practice. In this chapter, the root causes of those inadequacies are identified and linked to structural features of standard analysis frameworks. A generalisation of existing frameworks for policy analysis and the appraisal of outcomes of proposed policy strategies is formulated, to help better identify and frame situations of transformational change.The term “risk-opportunity analysis” is used to capture the generalised approach, in which conventional economic cost-benefit analysis is a special case. New guiding principles for policy-making during dynamic and transformational change are offered.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Complexity Economics for Environmental Governance , pp. 303 - 327Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2022