Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-r5zm4 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-22T09:06:08.427Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Out of Sync: Dispersed Short Selling and the Correction of Mispricing

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 October 2022

Antonio Gargano*
Affiliation:
University of Houston C.T. Bauer College of Business
Juan Sotes-Paladino
Affiliation:
Universidad de los Andes, Chile jsotes@uandes.cl
Patrick Verwijmeren
Affiliation:
Erasmus School of Economics and University of Melbourne verwijmeren@ese.eur.nl
*
agargano@bauer.uh.edu (corresponding author)

Abstract

How synchronized are short sellers? We examine a unique data set on the distribution of profits across a stock’s short sellers and find evidence of substantial dispersion in the initiation of their positions. Consistent with this dispersion reflecting “synchronization risk,” that is, uncertainty among short sellers about when others will short sell, more dispersed short selling signals i) greater stock overpricing and ii) longer delays in overpricing correction. These effects are prevalent even among stocks facing low short-selling costs or other explicit constraints. Overall, our findings provide novel cross-sectional evidence of synchronization problems among short sellers and their pricing implications.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Michael G. Foster School of Business, University of Washington

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

We thank an anonymous referee, Henk Berkman, Dan diBartolomeo (discussant), Huu Nhan Duong (discussant), Yufeng Han (discussant), Jarrad Harford (the editor), Caio Machado (discussant), Giorgo Sertsios, Esad Smajlbegovic, Kumar Venkataraman, Ingrid Werner, Antti Yang, Jianfeng Yu, Rafael Zambrana, Zhuo Zhong, and seminar participants at Point72 Asset Management, Universidad Adolfo Ibañez, the 2021 Chinese International Finance Conference, and the 2019 Behavioural Finance and Capital Markets Conference for comments and suggestions. We gratefully acknowledge the support provided by the ANID Fondecyt Initiation Grant 11190917. All errors are our own.

References

Abreu, D., and Brunnermeier, M.. “Synchronization Risk and Delayed Arbitrage.” Journal of Financial Economics, 66 (2002), 341360.Google Scholar
Abreu, D., and Brunnermeier, M. K.. “Bubbles and Crashes.” Econometrica, 71 (2003), 173204.Google Scholar
Aggarwal, R.; Saffi, P. A. C.; and Sturgess, J.. “The Role of Institutional Investors in Voting: Evidence from the Securities Lending Market.” Journal of Finance, 70 (2016), 23092346.Google Scholar
Aitken, M. J.; Frino, M. A.; McCorry, S.; and Swan, P. L.. “Short Sales Are Almost Instantaneously Bad News: Evidence from the Australian Stock Exchange.” Journal of Finance, 53 (1998), 22052223.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asquith, P.; Pathak, P. A.; and Ritter, J. R.. “Short Interest, Institutional Ownership, and Stock Returns.” Journal of Financial Economics, 78 (2005), 243376.Google Scholar
Baker, M., and Wurgler, . “Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market.” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21 (2007), 129151.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baker, M., and Wurgler, J.. “Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 61 (2006), 16451680.Google Scholar
Battalio, R., and Schultz, P.. “Options and the Bubble.” Journal of Finance, 61 (2006), 20712210.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Battalio, R., and Schultz, P.. “Regulatory Uncertainty and Market Liquidity: The 2008 Short Sale Ban’s Impact on Equity Option Markets.” Journal of Finance, 66 (2011), 20132053.Google Scholar
Beneish, M.; Lee, C.; and Nichols, D.. “In Short of Supply: Short-Sellers and Stock Returns.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 60 (2015), 3357.Google Scholar
Berkman, H.; Dimitrov, V.; Jain, P. C.; Koch, P. D.; and Sheri, T.. “Sell on the News: Differences of Opinion, Short-Sales Constraints, and Returns around Earnings Announcements.” Journal of Financial Economics, 92 (2009), 376399.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boehme, R. D.; Danielsen, B. R.; and Sorescu, S. M.. “Short-Sale Constraints, Differences of Opinion, and Overvaluation.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 41 (2006), 455487.Google Scholar
Boehmer, E.; Duong, T. X.; and Huszar, Z. R.. “Short Covering Trades.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 53 (2018), 723748.Google Scholar
Boehmer, E.; Huszar, Z. R.; Wang, Y.; and Zhang, X.. “Can Shorts Predict Returns? A Global Perspective.” Review of Financial Studies, 35 (2022), 24282463.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boehmer, E.; Jones, M. C.; Wu, J. J.; and Zhang, X.. “What Do Short Sellers Know?Review of Finance, 24 (2020), 12031235.Google Scholar
Boehmer, E.; Jones, M. C.; and Zhang, X.. “Which Shorts Are Informed?Journal of Finance, 63 (2008), 491527.Google Scholar
Boehmer, E., and Wu, J. J.. “Short Selling and the Price Discovery Process.” Review of Financial Studies, 26 (2013), 287322.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brown, J. S.; Grundy, B. D.; Lewis, C. M.; and Verwijmeren, P.. “Convertibles and Hedge Funds as Distributors of Equity Exposure.” Review Financial Studies, 25 (2012), 30773112.Google Scholar
Brunnermeier, M., and Nagel, S.. “Hedge Funds and the Technology Bubble.” Journal of Finance, 59 (2004), 20132040.Google Scholar
Brunnermeier, M., and Pedersen, L.. “Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity.” Review of Financial Studies, 22 (2009), 22012238.Google Scholar
Chae, J.Trading Volume, Information Asymmetry, and Timing Information.” Journal of Finance, 60 (2005), 413442.Google Scholar
Chague, F.; De-Losso, R.; De Genaro, A.; and Giovannetti, B.. “Well-Connected Short-Sellers Pay Lower Loan Fees: A Market-Wide Analysis.” Journal of Financial Economics, 123 (2017), 646670.Google Scholar
Choi, J.; Park, J. M.; Pearson, N. D.; and Sandy, S.. “Profitability of Hedge Fund Short Sales: Evidence from Opening and Closing Transactions.” Working Paper, available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2799423 (2020).Google Scholar
Christophe, S. E.; Ferri, M. G.; and Hsieh, J.. “Informed Trading Before Analyst Downgrades: Evidence from Short Sellers.” Journal of Financial Economics, 95 (2010), 85106.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cohen, L.; Diether, K. B.; and Malloy, C. J.. “Supply and Demand Shifts in the Shorting Market.” Journal of Finance, 62 (2007), 2061–96.Google Scholar
Comerton-Forde, C.; Jones, M. C.; and Putnins, T.. “Shorting at Close Range: A Tale of Two Types.” Journal of Financial Economics, 121 (2016), 546568.Google Scholar
D’Avolio, G.The Market for Borrowing Stock.” Journal of Financial Economics, 66 (2002), 271306.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
De Long, J. B.; Shleifer, A.; Summers, L.; and Waldmann, R.. “Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets.” Journal of Political Economy, 98 (1990), 703738.Google Scholar
Desai, H.; Ramesh, K.; Thiagarajan, S. R.; and Balachandran, B. V.. “An Investigation of the Informational Role of Short Interest in the Nasdaq Market.” Journal of Finance, 57 (2002), 22642287.Google Scholar
Diamond, D. W., and Verrecchia, R. E.. “Constraints on Short-Selling and Asset Price Adjustment to Private Information.” Journal of Financial Economics, 18 (1987), 277311.Google Scholar
Diether, K. B.; Lee, K.-H.; and Werner, I. M.. “Short-Sale Strategies and Return Predictability.” Review Financial Studies, 22 (2009), 575607.Google Scholar
Diether, K. B.; Malloy, C.; and Scherbina, A.. “Differences of Opinion and the Cross Section of Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 57 (2002), 21132141.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Duan, Y.; Hu, G.; and McLean, D. R.. “Costly Arbitrage and Idiosyncratic Risk: Evidence from Short Sellers.” Journal of Financial Intermediation, 19 (2010), 564579.Google Scholar
Duffie, D.; Garleanu, N.; and Pedersen, L. H.. “Securities Lending, Shorting and Pricing.” Journal of Financial Economics, 66 (2002), 307339.Google Scholar
Easley, D., and O’Hara, M.. “Price, Trade Size, and Information in Securities Markets.” Journal of Financial Economics, 19 (1986), 6990.Google Scholar
Elliott, G., and Stock, J. H.. “Inference in Time Series Regression When the Order of Integration of a Regressor Is Uknown.” Econometric Theory, 3 (1994), 672700.Google Scholar
Engelberg, J. E.; Reed, A. V.; and Ringgenberg, M. C.. “How Are Shorts Informed? Short Sellers, News, and Information Processing.” Journal of Financial Economics, 105 (2012), 260278.Google Scholar
Engelberg, J. E.; Reed, A. V.; and Ringgenberg, M. C.. “Short-Selling Risk.” Journal of Finance, 73 (2018), 755786.Google Scholar
Fama, E., and French, K.. “The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 47 (1992), 427465.Google Scholar
Gargano, A.; Sotes-Paladino, J. M.; and Verwijmeren, P.. “Short of Capital: Stock Market Implications of Short Sellers’ Losses.” Working Paper, available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3326332 (2022).Google Scholar
Garleau, N., and Pedersen, L. H.. “Margin-Based Asset Pricing and Deviations from the Law of One Price.” Review of Financial Studies, 24 (2011), 19802022.Google Scholar
Geczy, C. C.; Musto, D. K.; and Reed, A. V.. “Stocks Are Special Too: An Analysis of the Equity Lending Market.” Journal of Financial Economics, 66 (2002), 241269.Google Scholar
Giannetti, M., and Kahraman, B.. “Open-End Organizational Structures and Limits to Arbitrage.” Review of Financial Studies, 31 (2018), 773810.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Glosten, L. R., and Milgrom, P. R.. “Bid, Ask and Transaction Prices in a Specialist Market with Heterogenously Informed Traders.” Journal of Financial Economics, 14 (1985), 71100.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gromb, D., and Vayanos, D.. “Equilibrium and Welfare in Markets with Financially Constrained Arbitrageurs.” Journal of Financial Economics, 66 (2002), 361407.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harris, M., and Raviv, A.. “Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race.” Review of Financial Studies, 6 (1993), 473506.Google Scholar
Hou, K., and Moskowitz, T. J.. “Market Frictions, Price Delay and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns.” Review Financial Studies, 18 (2005), 9811020.Google Scholar
Jank, D., and Smajlbegovic, E.. “Dissecting Short-Sale Performance: Evidence from Large Position Disclosures.” Working Paper, available at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2631266 (2021).Google Scholar
Jegadeesh, N., and Titman, S.. “Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency.” Jorunal of Finance, 48 (1993), 6591.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jiang, F.; Lee, J.; Martin, X.; and Zhou, G.. “Manager Sentiment and Stock Returns.” Journal of Financial Economics, 132 (2019), 126149.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jones, M. C., and Lamont, O. A.. “Short Sale Constraints and Stock Returns.” Journal of Financial Economics, 66 (2002), 207239.Google Scholar
Kandel, E., and Pearson, N. D.. “Differential Interpretation of Public Signals and Trade in Speculative Markets.” Journal of Political Economy, 103 (1995), 831872.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kartapanis, A. “Activist Short-Sellers and Accounting Fraud Allegations.” Working Paper, University of Texas (2020).Google Scholar
Kolasinksi, A. C.; Reed, A. V.; and Ringgenberg, M. C.. “A Multiple Lender Approach to Understanding Supply and Search in the Equity Lending Market.” Journal of Finance, 68 (2013), 559595.Google Scholar
Kovbasyuk, S., and Pagano, M.. “Advertising Arbitrage.” Review of Finance, 26 (2022), 799827.Google Scholar
Lamont, O. A., and Stein, J. C.. “Aggregate Short Interest and Market Valuations.” American Economic Review, 94 (2004), 2932.Google Scholar
Liu, X., and Mello, A. S.. “The Fragile Capital Structure of Hedge Funds and the Limits to Arbitrage.” Journal of Financial Economics, 102 (2011), 491506.Google Scholar
Ljungqvist, A., and Qian, W.. “How Constraining Are Limits to Arbitrage?Review of Financial Studies, 29 (2016), 19752028.Google Scholar
Miller, E. M. R.Uncertainty, and Divergence of Opinion.” Journal of Finance, 32 (1977), 11511168.Google Scholar
Muravyev, D.; Pearson, N. D.; and Pollet, J. M.. “Is There a Risk Premium in the Stock Lending Market? Evidence from Equity Options.” Journal of Finance, 77 (2022), 17871828.Google Scholar
Nagel, S.Short Sales, Institutional Investors and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns.” Journal of Financial Economics, 78 (2005), 277309.Google Scholar
Neuberger, A.Realized Skewness.” Review of Financial Studies, 25 (2012), 3523–3455.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Newey, W. K., and West, K. D.. “A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix.” Econometrica, 55 (1987), 703708.Google Scholar
Ofek, E.; Richardson, M.; and Whitelaw, R. F.. “Limited Arbitrage and Short Sales Restrictions: Evidence from the Options Markets.” Journal of Financial Economics, 74 (2004), 305342.Google Scholar
Phillips, P. C. B.Time Series Regression With a Unit Root.” Econometrica, 55 (1987), 277301.Google Scholar
Prado, M. P.Future Lending Income and Security Value.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 50 (2015), 869902.Google Scholar
Prado, M. P.; Saffi, P. A. C.; and Sturgess, J.. “Ownership Structure, Limits to Arbitrage, and Stock Returns: Evidence from Equity Lending Markets.” Review of Financial Studies, 29 (2016), 32113244.Google Scholar
Rapach, D. E.; Ringgenberg, M. C.; and Zhou, G.. “Short Interest and Aggregate Stock Returns.” Journal of Financial Economics, 121 (2016), 4665.Google Scholar
Reed, A. V.Short Selling.” Annual Review of Financial Economics, 5 (2013), 245258.Google Scholar
Richardson, S.; Saffi, P. A. C.; and Sigurdsson, K.. “Deleveraging Risk.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 52 (2017), 24912522.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Saffi, P. A. C., and Sigurdsson, K.. “Price Efficiency and Short Selling.” Review of Financial Studies, 24 (2011), 821852.Google Scholar
Shalen, C. T.Volume, Volatility, and the Dispersion of Beliefs.” Review of Financial Studies, 6 (1993), 405434.Google Scholar
Shleifer, A., and Vishny, R. W.. “The Limits of Arbitrage.” Journal of Finance, 52 (1997), 3556.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stambaugh, R. F.; Yu, J.; and Yuan, Y.. “Arbitrage Asymmetry and the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle.” Journal of Finance, 70 (2015), 19031948.Google Scholar
Temin, P., and Voth, H.-J.. “Riding the South Sea Bubble.” American Economic Review, 94 (2004), 16541668.Google Scholar
von Beschwitz, B.; Lunghi, S.; and Schmidt, D.. “Limits of Arbitrage Under the Microscope: Evidence from Detailed Hedge Fund Transaction Data.” Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 12 (2022), 199242.Google Scholar
Wang, X.; Xuemin, S. Y.; and Zheng, L.. “Shorting Flows, Public Disclosure, and Market Efficiency.” Journal of Financial Economics, 135 (2020), 191212.Google Scholar
Zhang, X. F.Information Uncertainty and Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 61 (2006), 105137.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Gargano et al. supplementary material

Internet Appendix

Download Gargano et al. supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 208.5 KB