Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-m8s7h Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-23T05:47:46.970Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Inference of Tastes and Beliefs from Bond and Stock Market Data

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 April 2009

Extract

In many circles the Mean Variance Capital Asset Pricing Model (MV CAPM) is synonymous with the theory of capital asset pricing. But in a single-period discrete-time model which explicitly recognizes the existence of limited liability the derivation of the MV CAPM, if it is to be consistent with the von Neumann-Morgenstern postulates of rational behavior, must be based on the assumption that all investors have quadratic utility functions. This assumption in turn implies that risky assets are inferior goods. However, if we turn to the broader class of linear risk tolerance (LRT) utility functions, for which the separation property holds, other simple two-mutual-fund CAPMs can be derived. The power utility LRT CAPMs are of particular interest as they are consistent with risky assets being normal goods.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1978

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

[1]Best, Michael J.A Feasible Conjugate Direction Method to Solve Linearly Constrained Optimization Problems.” Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Vol. 16 (07 1975), pp. 2538.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[2]Blume, Marshall E.Portfolio Theory: A Step towards Its Practical Application.” Journal of Business, Vol. 43 (04 1970), pp. 152173.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[3]Blume, Marshall E.. “On the Assessment of Risk.” Journal of Finance, Vol. 26 (03 1971), pp. 110.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[4]Brenner, Menachem. “On the Stability of the Distribution of the Market Component in Stock Price Changes.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 9 (12 1974), pp. 945961.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[5]Fama, Eugene F.Components of Investment Performance.” Journal of Finance, Vol. 27 (06 1972), pp. 551567.Google Scholar
[6]Fisher, Lawrence, and Lorie, James H.. “Rates of Return on Investments in Common Stock: The Year-by-Year Record, 1926–65.” Journal of Business, Vol. 41 (07 1968), pp. 291316.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[7]Fisher, Lawrence and Weil, Roman L.. “Coping with the Risk of Interest Rate Fluctuations: Returns to Bondholders from Naive and Optimal Strategies.” Journal of Business, Vol. 44 (10 1971), pp. 408431.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[8]Grauer, Robert R. “Risk Aversion and the Structure of Asset Prices: An Examination of Linear Risk Tolerance Capital Asset Pricing Models.” Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of California Berkeley (1975).Google Scholar
[9]Hakansson, Nils H. “Optimal Investment and Consumption Strategies under Risk for a Class of Utility Functions.” Econometrica (09 1970), pp. 587607.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[10]Hakansson, Nils H.. “The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Some Open and Closed Ends.” Finance Working Paper No. 22, Institute of Business and Economic Research, University of California, Berkeley (06 1974). Forthcoming in Friend, Irwin and Bicksler, James, eds., Risk and Return in Finance (Cambridge, Mass., Ballinger).Google Scholar
[11]Hakansson, Nils H., and Miller, Bruce L.. “Compound – Return Mean – Variance Efficient Portfolios Never Risk Ruin.” Management Science (12 1975), pp. 391400.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[12]King, Benjamin F.Market and Industry Factors in Stock Price Behavior.” Journal of Business, Vol. 39 (01 1966 supp.), pp. 139190.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[13]Kraus, Alan, and Litzenberger, Robert. “Market Equilibrium in a Multiperiod State Preference Model with Logarithmic Utility.” Journal of Finance, Vol. 30 (12 1975), pp. 12131228.Google Scholar
[14]Officer, Robert R. “A Time Series Examination of the Market Factor of the New York Exchange.” Unpublished Ph.D. dissertation, University of Chicago (1971).Google Scholar
[15]Roll, Richard. “Evidence on the Growth Optimum Model.” Journal of Finance, Vol. 28 (06 1973), pp. 551566.Google Scholar
[16]Rosenberg, Barr. The Behavior of Random Variables with Non-stationary Variance and the Distribution of Security Prices.” Finance Working Paper No. 11, Institute of Business and Economic Research, University of California, Berkeley (1972).Google Scholar
[17]Rubinstein, Mark. “The Strong Case for the Generalized Logarithmic Utility Model as the Premier Model of Financial Markets.” Journal of Finance, Vol. 31 (05 1976), pp. 551572.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[18]Sharpe, William F.Bonds Versus Stocks: Some Lessons from Capital Market Theory.” Financial Analysts Journal (1112 1973), pp. 17.Google Scholar
[19]Sharpe, William F., and Cooper, Guy M.. “Risk-Return Classes of New York Stock Exchange Common Stocks 1931–67.” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 27 (0304 1972), pp. 4654.CrossRefGoogle Scholar