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Early-life environment and human capital: evidence from the Philippines

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 June 2020

Evan D. Peet*
Affiliation:
RAND Corporation, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
*
*Corresponding author. E-mail: epeet@rand.org

Abstract

This study examines how human capital develops in response to early-life weather and pollution exposures in the Philippines. Both pollution and weather are examined in relation to short- and long-term human capital outcomes. We combine a three-decade longitudinal survey measuring human capital development, a database of historical weather, and multiple databases characterizing carbon monoxide and ozone in the Philippines during the 1980s. We find evidence that extreme precipitation and temperature affect short-term anthropometric outcomes, but long-term outcomes appear unaffected. For long-term cognitive outcomes, we find that early-life pollution exposures negatively affect test scores and schooling. These long-term responses to early-life pollution exposures extend to the labor market with reduced hours worked and earnings. The implication is that a 25 per cent reduction in early-life ozone exposure would increase per person discounted lifetime earnings by $1,367, which would scale to $2.05 billion at the national level (or 2 per cent of 2005 GDP).

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s) 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press

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