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4 - Dutch Disease in the Services Sector

Evidence from Oil Exporters in the Arab Region

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 July 2016

Ibrahim Elbadawi
Affiliation:
Dubai Economic Council and Economic Research Forum (ERF), Egypt
Hoda Selim
Affiliation:
Economic Research Forum (ERF), Egypt
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Summary

Abstract

This chapter shows that as per capita incomes increase, services sectors in resource-rich countries of the Arab World have declined as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) and of non-mining GDP. This negative relationship between the share of services in GDP and income per capita is opposite to global patterns and is linked to the large rents generated by natural resources in these countries. A large number of services sectors can now be contracted offshore or can be produced by temporary movement of service providers, implying that countries need to be competitive to maintain domestic production. Since rents from natural resources inflate wages and non-tradable prices, they tend to discourage domestic production of tradables, both goods and services. As the chapter highlights, the negative effect of rents are compounded by the negative impact of policy and regulatory restrictions on entry, and of business conduct on the development of services sectors. These restrictions create rents captured by “protected incumbents” or increase the real cost of producing services – in both cases inflating the price of services.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2016

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