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7 - The Role of Theories

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 January 2013

Itzhak Gilboa
Affiliation:
Tel-Aviv University
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Summary

THEORIES ARE ALWAYS WRONG

In the heat of the debate regarding the uniqueness of the utility function we may have failed to highlight some observations regarding the way we think about theories. We have to discuss it at some point, and this seems as good as any.

Transitivity of preferences implies transitivity of indifference, and we convinced ourselves that this is a highly idealized assumption. We even concluded that transitivity is the main culprit in obtaining the wrong conclusion that the utility function is only ordinal. At the same time, we argued that it might be a “legitimate” assumption. How can an assumption that is violated by all people almost all the time be legitimate? What is meant by a “legitimate” or “reasonable” assumption?

Let us consider an example. Suppose that A and B debate the issue of globalization, as in Section 6.3.4. A mentions the welfare theorems, and B counters that they rely on the assumption of transitive indifference, which is totally and absolutely false. What would you say?

You may wonder whether competitive equilibria exist and whether they are optimal when weak orders are replaced by semiorders. But you may also feel that the argument is besides the point. We are mature enough to understand that our theories are not perfect descriptions of reality and that they are simplifications, abstractions, illustrations, caricatures, metaphors, or any other term that you may use to downplay the theorist's aspirations.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2009

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  • The Role of Theories
  • Itzhak Gilboa, Tel-Aviv University
  • Book: Theory of Decision under Uncertainty
  • Online publication: 05 January 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511840203.010
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  • The Role of Theories
  • Itzhak Gilboa, Tel-Aviv University
  • Book: Theory of Decision under Uncertainty
  • Online publication: 05 January 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511840203.010
Available formats
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To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • The Role of Theories
  • Itzhak Gilboa, Tel-Aviv University
  • Book: Theory of Decision under Uncertainty
  • Online publication: 05 January 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511840203.010
Available formats
×