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6 - Sliding toward Zero Growth

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 August 2023

Carlo Bastasin
Affiliation:
Libera Università Internazionale degli Studi Sociali Guido Carli, Roma
Gianni Toniolo
Affiliation:
Duke University, North Carolina
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Summary

The twin crises of 2008–9 and 2011–12 witnessed the largest GDP loss in Italian history, except the last two WWII years. In 2020, Italy’s GDP per person was still below the 2007 level. The economy was slow and uncertain in reacting to the crisis. The fiscal response proved to be inadequate, but it nevertheless resulted in a substantial increase in the debt/GDP ratio, which fed into uncertainty about the future of the country, affecting investments. The growth rate of the economy was low, spreading doubts about debt sustainability in the medium-long run. Zero growth accentuated the antagonistic mentality in politics. The traditional North–South gap widened, as did poverty, income inequality, and social divides. Distributional coalitions gained political leverage. The 2018 general elections yielded a populist majority.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2023

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  • Sliding toward Zero Growth
  • Carlo Bastasin, Libera Università Internazionale degli Studi Sociali Guido Carli, Roma, Gianni Toniolo, Duke University, North Carolina
  • Book: The Rise and Fall of the Italian Economy
  • Online publication: 24 August 2023
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009235303.007
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  • Sliding toward Zero Growth
  • Carlo Bastasin, Libera Università Internazionale degli Studi Sociali Guido Carli, Roma, Gianni Toniolo, Duke University, North Carolina
  • Book: The Rise and Fall of the Italian Economy
  • Online publication: 24 August 2023
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009235303.007
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Sliding toward Zero Growth
  • Carlo Bastasin, Libera Università Internazionale degli Studi Sociali Guido Carli, Roma, Gianni Toniolo, Duke University, North Carolina
  • Book: The Rise and Fall of the Italian Economy
  • Online publication: 24 August 2023
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009235303.007
Available formats
×