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14 - Conclusions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 September 2009

Amy M. Jaffe
Affiliation:
Research Fellow, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
Mark H. Hayes
Affiliation:
Research Fellow, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
David G. Victor
Affiliation:
Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
David G. Victor
Affiliation:
Stanford University, California
Amy M. Jaffe
Affiliation:
Rice University, Houston
Mark H. Hayes
Affiliation:
Stanford University, California
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Summary

Natural gas is rapidly gaining in geopolitical importance. Over the last hundred years, gas has grown from a marginal fuel consumed for specialized purposes in regionally disconnected markets to a commodity that is transported globally and used in many different economic sectors. In the last forty years, especially, natural gas has become a fuel of choice for consumers seeking its relatively low environmental impact, especially for electric power-generation. Over the next thirty years, world demand for gas is expected to double, surpassing coal as the world's number two energy source and potentially overtaking oil's share in many large industrialized economies.

The vision for a world shifting to gas is not constrained by the physical abundance of the resource. The world's known (“proved”) gas reserves are sufficient for nearly seventy years of production at today's levels; the total base of potential conventional gas resources is estimated to be at least twice as large. Like oil, however, the richest gas deposits are far from the areas where demand for gas is expected to rise most rapidly. About three-quarters of the world's proven gas reserves are located in the Former Soviet Union (FSU) and the Middle East.

The integration of gas markets is the by-product of a steady and cumulative improvement in technologies for long-distance transportation of gas – pipelines and LNG. Regional and local gas trading networks are based on pipeline interconnections, and very-long-distance transportation is increasingly the province of LNG. International trade in LNG has been occurring for over forty years and involves shipments from close to a dozen countries.

Type
Chapter
Information
Natural Gas and Geopolitics
From 1970 to 2040
, pp. 467 - 483
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2006

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References

BP (2005). Statistical Review of World Energy; availabhle at http://www.bp.com
USGS (2000) World Petroleum Assessment. Washington, DC: United States Geological Survey

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  • Conclusions
    • By Amy M. Jaffe, Research Fellow, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University, Mark H. Hayes, Research Fellow, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University, David G. Victor, Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
  • Edited by David G. Victor, Stanford University, California, Amy M. Jaffe, Rice University, Houston, Mark H. Hayes, Stanford University, California
  • Book: Natural Gas and Geopolitics
  • Online publication: 22 September 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511493492.015
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  • Conclusions
    • By Amy M. Jaffe, Research Fellow, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University, Mark H. Hayes, Research Fellow, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University, David G. Victor, Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
  • Edited by David G. Victor, Stanford University, California, Amy M. Jaffe, Rice University, Houston, Mark H. Hayes, Stanford University, California
  • Book: Natural Gas and Geopolitics
  • Online publication: 22 September 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511493492.015
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Conclusions
    • By Amy M. Jaffe, Research Fellow, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University, Mark H. Hayes, Research Fellow, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University, David G. Victor, Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
  • Edited by David G. Victor, Stanford University, California, Amy M. Jaffe, Rice University, Houston, Mark H. Hayes, Stanford University, California
  • Book: Natural Gas and Geopolitics
  • Online publication: 22 September 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511493492.015
Available formats
×