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7 - Prediction of Outcome

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 September 2009

Geoffrey Miller
Affiliation:
Yale University, Connecticut
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Summary

There can be substantial error rate when physicians estimate outcome for the EPTI.(60–63) Tyson and associates(30) reported error rates of 52% and 21% in the prediction of death and survival for infants weighing 501–800g at birth. Despite the requirement that physicians practice according to the best available evidence, this may not always be the case, and in such circumstances they may incorrectly estimate the chances of death and disability,(64) which affects their decisions as well as the counseling of parents.(44, 60)

In 2001, it was reported that at the University Medical Center in Leiden, a leading center for the the treatment of preterm infants in the Netherlands, a decision, in principle, was taken to stop active intensive treatment of babies born less than 25 weeks' gestation.(65) However, the head of neonatology at the center stated that, “infants born before 25 weeks would still be given ‘vigorous support’ if the parents wished and the medical team considered the infant viable at birth.”(65) The decision was made because, in their study of premature births from 1996 through 1997, 66% of those born at 23 and 24 weeks died, and half the survivors had severe physical or mental handicaps.(65)

Type
Chapter
Information
Extreme Prematurity
Practices, Bioethics and the Law
, pp. 23
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2006

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  • Prediction of Outcome
  • Geoffrey Miller, Yale University, Connecticut
  • Book: Extreme Prematurity
  • Online publication: 23 September 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511547355.007
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  • Prediction of Outcome
  • Geoffrey Miller, Yale University, Connecticut
  • Book: Extreme Prematurity
  • Online publication: 23 September 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511547355.007
Available formats
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To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Prediction of Outcome
  • Geoffrey Miller, Yale University, Connecticut
  • Book: Extreme Prematurity
  • Online publication: 23 September 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511547355.007
Available formats
×