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11 - The outlook

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Daniel Gros
Affiliation:
Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), Brussels
Alfred Steinherr
Affiliation:
Freie Universität Bozen, Bolzano
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Summary

In this volume we have analysed the economic transformation of the Central and Eastern European countries, their struggle for economic (and indeed political) renaissance, their successes and their failures.

We started with an overview of the communist system, both as a theoretical construct (‘just an idea’ of Karl Marx) and the performance of the Soviet Union, once a serious challenger to the United States in superpower rivalry. We found that socialism was successful in producing certain basic goods that can be measured in physical units: tonnes of steel, kilowatt-hours of electricity, gold medals at Olympic games, etc. But since this system never grasped the importance of opportunity cost it turned out that a lot of this production was economically useless (or worse). The industries most cherished by social planners were usually the ones that had the greatest adjustment difficulties once market forces were allowed to work and economies were opened to international competition.

The extent to which socialism failed to deliver can best be seen in two real-world examples. Before Poland fell under communism its level of development was comparable to that of Spain. After forty years of communism Poland emerged in 1990 with a GDP almost ten times lower than Spain, which had also endured forty years of dictatorship, but one that left market mechanisms broadly intact. A similar situation can be found in the former Austro-Hungarian empire, where up to the Second World War Austria and Czechoslovakia were at a broadly similar level of development, with Austria slightly worse off because industry was concentrated in Czechoslovakia.

Type
Chapter
Information
Economic Transition in Central and Eastern Europe
Planting the Seeds
, pp. 325 - 337
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2004

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  • The outlook
  • Daniel Gros, Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), Brussels, Alfred Steinherr, Freie Universität Bozen, Bolzano
  • Book: Economic Transition in Central and Eastern Europe
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511805646.016
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  • The outlook
  • Daniel Gros, Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), Brussels, Alfred Steinherr, Freie Universität Bozen, Bolzano
  • Book: Economic Transition in Central and Eastern Europe
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511805646.016
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • The outlook
  • Daniel Gros, Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), Brussels, Alfred Steinherr, Freie Universität Bozen, Bolzano
  • Book: Economic Transition in Central and Eastern Europe
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511805646.016
Available formats
×