Book contents
- Dynamics and Predictability of Large-Scale, High-Impact Weather and Climate Events
- Special publications of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics Series
- Dynamics and Predictability of Large-Scale High-Impact Weather and Climate Events
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Preface
- Frontispiece
- Book part
- Contributors
- Part I Diagnostics and prediction of high-impact weather
- Part II High-impact weather in mid latitudes
- Part III Tropical cyclones
- Part IV Heat waves and cold-air outbreaks
- Part V Ocean connections
- Part VI Asian monsoons
- 25 Extreme weather and seasonal events during the Indian summer monsoon and prospects of improvement in their prediction skill under India's Monsoon Mission
- 26 Interannual variability and predictability of summer climate over the Northwest Pacific and East Asia
- 27 Impacts of annular modes on extreme climate events over the East Asian monsoon region
- Index
- References
26 - Interannual variability and predictability of summer climate over the Northwest Pacific and East Asia
from Part VI - Asian monsoons
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 March 2016
Book contents
- Dynamics and Predictability of Large-Scale, High-Impact Weather and Climate Events
- Special publications of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics Series
- Dynamics and Predictability of Large-Scale High-Impact Weather and Climate Events
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Preface
- Frontispiece
- Book part
- Contributors
- Part I Diagnostics and prediction of high-impact weather
- Part II High-impact weather in mid latitudes
- Part III Tropical cyclones
- Part IV Heat waves and cold-air outbreaks
- Part V Ocean connections
- Part VI Asian monsoons
- 25 Extreme weather and seasonal events during the Indian summer monsoon and prospects of improvement in their prediction skill under India's Monsoon Mission
- 26 Interannual variability and predictability of summer climate over the Northwest Pacific and East Asia
- 27 Impacts of annular modes on extreme climate events over the East Asian monsoon region
- Index
- References
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2016
References
Adler, R. F., Huffman, G. J., Chang, A., et al. (2003). The version-2 global precipitation climatology project (GPCP) monthly precipitation analysis (1979–present). Journal of Hydrometeorology, 4, 1147–1167.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choi, K.-S., Wu, C.-C., and Cha, E.-J. (2010). Change of tropical cyclone activity by Pacific-Japan teleconnection pattern in the western North Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, D19114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chowdary, J. S., Xie, S.-P., Lee, J.-Y., Kosaka, Y., and Wang, B. (2010). Predictability of summer Northwest Pacific climate in 11 coupled model hindcasts: Local and remote forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, D22121, doi:10.1029/2010JD014595.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chowdary, J. S., Xie, S.-P., Tokinaga, H., et al. (2012). Interdecadal variations in ENSO teleconnection to the Indo-western Pacific for 1870–2007. Journal of Climate, 25, 1722–1744.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ding, Q. and Wang, B. (2005). Circumglobal teleconnection in the Northern Hemisphere summer. Journal of Climate, 18, 3483–3505.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Du, Y., Xie, S.-P., Huang, G., and Hu, K. (2009). Role of air–sea interaction in the long persistence of El Niño-induced north Indian Ocean warming. Journal of Climate, 22, 2023–2038.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Du, Y., Yang, L., and Xie, S.-P. (2011). Tropical Indian Ocean influence on Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones in summer following El Niño. Journal of Climate, 24, 315–322.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ebita, A., Kobayashi, S., Ota, Y., et al. (2011). The Japanese 55-year Reanalysis “JRA-55”: An interim report. Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere, 7, 149–152.Google Scholar
Enomoto, T. (2004). Interannual variability of the Bonin high associated with the propagation of Rossby waves along the Asian jet. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 82, 1019–1034.Google Scholar
Huang, R., Chen, W., Yang, B., and Zhang, R. (2004). Recent advances in studies of the interaction between the East Asian winter and summer monsoons and ENSO cycle. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 21, 407–424.Google Scholar
Kanamitsu, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Woollen, J., et al. (2002). NCEP-DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2), Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 83, 1631–1643.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kimoto, M. (2005). European heat wave and cool summer in Japan in 2003. Tenki (Bulletin journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan), 52, 608–612 (in Japanese).Google Scholar
Klein, S. A., Soden, B. J., and Lau, N.-C. (1999). Remote sea surface temperature variations during ENSO: Evidence for a tropical atmospheric bridge. Journal of Climate, 12, 917–932.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kosaka, Y. and Nakamura, H. (2010). Mechanisms of meridional teleconnection observed between a summer monsoon system and a subtropical anticyclone. Part I: The Pacific-Japan pattern. Journal of Climate, 23, 5085–5108.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kosaka, Y., Chowdary, J. S., Xie, S.-P., Min, Y.-M., and Lee, J.-Y. (2012). Limitations of seasonal predictability for summer climate over East Asia and the Northwestern Pacific. Journal of Climate, 25, 7574–7589.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kosaka, Y., Nakamura, H., Watanabe, M., and Kimoto, M. (2009). Analysis on the dynamics of a wave-like teleconnection pattern along the summertime Asian jet based on a reanalysis dataset and climate model simulations. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 87, 561–580.Google Scholar
Kosaka, Y., Xie, S.-P., Lau, N.-C., and Vecchi, G. A. (2013). Origin of seasonal predictability for summer climate over the Northwestern Pacific. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110, 7574–7579.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Kubota, H., Kosaka, Y., and Xie, S. -P. (2015). A 117-year long index of the Pacific-Japan pattern with application to interdecadal variability. International Journal of Climatology, in press, doi:10.1002/joc.4441.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lee, J.-Y., Wang, B., Ding, Q., et al. (2011). How predictable is the northern hemisphere summer upper-tropospheric circulation? Climate Dynamics, 37, 1189–1203.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Li, J., Xie, S.-P., Cook, E. R., et al. (2013). El Niño modulations over the past seven centuries. Nature Climate Change, 3, 822–826.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lu, R. and Lin, Z. (2009). Role of subtropical precipitation anomalies in maintaining the summertime meridional teleconnection over the western North Pacific and East Asia. Journal of Climate, 22, 2058–2072.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Matsueda, M. (2009). Blocking predictability in operational medium-range ensemble forecasts. Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere, 5, 113–116, doi:10.2151/sola.2009-029.Google Scholar
Nakamura, H. and Fukamachi, T. (2004). Evolution and dynamics of summertime blocking over the Far East and the associated surface Okhotsk high. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 130, 1213–1233.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ninomiya, K. (2009). Characteristics of precipitation in the Meiyu-Baiu season in the CMIP3 20th century climate simulations. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 87, 829–843.Google Scholar
Nitta, T. (1987). Convective activities in the tropical western Pacific and their impact on the Northern Hemisphere summer circulation. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 65, 373–390.Google Scholar
North, G. R., Bell, T. L., Cahalan, R. F., and Moeng, F. J. (1982). Sampling errors in the estimation of empirical orthogonal functions. Monthly Weather Review, 110, 699–706.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ogata, T., Xie, S.-P., Wittenberg, A., and Sun, D.-Z. (2013). Interdecadal amplitude modulation of El Niño/Southern Oscillation and its impacts on tropical Pacific decadal variability Journal of Climate, 26, 7280–7297.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ogi, M., Tachibana, Y., and Yamazaki, K. (2004). The connectivity of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the summer Okhotsk high. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 82, 905–913.Google Scholar
Onogi, K., Tsutsui, J., Koide, H., et al. (2007). The JRA-25 Reanalysis. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 85, 369–432.Google Scholar
Otomi, Y., Tachibana, Y., and Nakamura, T. (2013). A possible cause of the AO polarity reversal from winter to summer in 2010 and its relation to hemispheric extreme summer weather. Climate Dynamics, 40, 1939–1947.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rayner, N. A., Parker, D. E., Horton, E. B., et al. (2003). Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108, 4407, doi:10.1029/2002JD002670.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Seager, R., Harnik, N., Kushnir, Y., Robinson, W., and Miller, J. (2003). Mechanisms of hemispherically symmetric climate variability. Journal of Climate, 16, 2960–2978.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Takaya, K. and Nakamura, H. (2001). A formulation of a phase-independent wave activity flux for stationary and migratory quasigeostrophic eddies on a zonally varying basic flow. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58, 608–627.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ueda, H., Yasunari, T., and Kawamura, R. (1995). Abrupt seasonal change of large-scale convective activity over the western Pacific in the northern summer. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 73, 795–809.Google Scholar
Wang, B., Wu, R., and Fu, X. (2000). Pacific-East Asian teleconnection: How does ENSO affect East Asian climate? Journal of Climate, 13, 1517–1536.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wang, B., Xiang, B., and Lee, J.-Y. (2013). Subtropical High predictability establishes a promising way for monsoon and tropical storm predictions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110, 2718–2722.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Xie, P. and Arkin, P. A. (1997). Global precipitation: A 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 78, 2539–2558.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Xie, S.-P., Hu, K., Hafner, J., et al. (2009). Indian Ocean capacitor effect on Indo-Western Pacific climate during the summer following El Niño. Journal of Climate, 22, 730–747.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yang, J., Liu, Q., Xie, S.-P., Liu, Z., and Wu, L. (2007). Impact of the Indian Ocean SST basin mode on the Asian summer monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L02708, doi:10.1029/2006GL028571.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yasui, S. and Watanabe, M. (2010). Forcing processes of the summertime circumglobal teleconnection pattern in a dry AGCM. Journal of Climate, 23, 2093–2114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar