Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- Preface
- 1 Introduction
- PART I HISTORY AND FOUNDATIONS OF DECISION ANALYSIS
- PART II STRUCTURING DECISION PROBLEMS
- PART III PROBABILITIES AND BAYES NETS
- PART IV UTILITIES
- PART V RISK ANALYSIS
- PART VI DECISION ANALYSIS IN A BEHAVIORAL AND ORGANIZATIONAL CONTEXT
- PART VII APPLICATIONS OF DECISION ANALYSIS
- 24 The Adoption of Multiattribute Utility Theory for the Evaluation of Plutonium Disposition Options in the United States and Russia
- 25 Choosing a Tritium Supply Technology for Nuclear Weapons: Reflections on a Controversial Decision Analysis
- 26 Applications of Decision Analysis to the Military Systems Acquisition Process
- 27 Balancing Environmental and Operational Objectives in Nuclear Refueling Strategies
- 28 Perspective on Decision Analysis Applications
- Index
- References
28 - Perspective on Decision Analysis Applications
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 June 2012
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Contributors
- Preface
- 1 Introduction
- PART I HISTORY AND FOUNDATIONS OF DECISION ANALYSIS
- PART II STRUCTURING DECISION PROBLEMS
- PART III PROBABILITIES AND BAYES NETS
- PART IV UTILITIES
- PART V RISK ANALYSIS
- PART VI DECISION ANALYSIS IN A BEHAVIORAL AND ORGANIZATIONAL CONTEXT
- PART VII APPLICATIONS OF DECISION ANALYSIS
- 24 The Adoption of Multiattribute Utility Theory for the Evaluation of Plutonium Disposition Options in the United States and Russia
- 25 Choosing a Tritium Supply Technology for Nuclear Weapons: Reflections on a Controversial Decision Analysis
- 26 Applications of Decision Analysis to the Military Systems Acquisition Process
- 27 Balancing Environmental and Operational Objectives in Nuclear Refueling Strategies
- 28 Perspective on Decision Analysis Applications
- Index
- References
Summary
ABSTRACT. This chapter identifies, and provides perspective on, trends and developments in decision-analysis applications, based primarily on an exhaustive survey of decision-analysis applications published in the period 1990–2001 in major English-language operations research and closely related journals. It serves as a guide to those interested in recent applications in specific areas or in applications that illustrate the use of particular methods. We compare the characteristics of the applications articles surveyed here with those of applications articles appearing in a similar set of journals between 1970 and 1989 and conclude that the overall rate of publication of decision-analysis applications has increased. In addition, we find that both the mix of application areas and the specific aspects of decision analysis that are emphasized in applications publications have shifted somewhat. We also identify and discuss noteworthy trends in, and developments affecting, published applications, including those in computer software and software-related tools, decision conferencing, stochastic trees, value-focused thinking, normative systems, organizational processes, and real options. We highlight several award-winning decision-analysis applications and discuss formation of a new practitioner-oriented professional group. Finally, we present some concerns and thoughts on future needs for advancing decision-analysis practice.
Introduction
This chapter provides our perspective on the state of decision-analysis applications, based primarily on a survey of applications articles published from 1990 to 2001 in major English-language operations research journals and other closely related journals.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Advances in Decision AnalysisFrom Foundations to Applications, pp. 582 - 610Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2007
References
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