Suboptimal treatment outcomes contribute to the high disease burden of mood, anxiety or psychotic disorders. Clinical prediction models could optimise treatment allocation, which may result in better outcomes. Whereas ample research on prediction models is performed, model performance in other clinical contexts (i.e. external validation) is rarely examined. This gap hampers generalisability and as such implementation in clinical practice.

Systematically appraise studies on externally validated clinical prediction models for estimated treatment outcomes for mood, anxiety and psychotic disorders by (1) reviewing methodological quality and applicability of studies and (2) investigating how model properties relate to differences in model performance.

The review and meta-analysis protocol was prospectively registered with PROSPERO (registration number CRD42022307987). A search was conducted on 8 November 2021 in the databases PubMED, PsycINFO and EMBASE. Random-effects meta-analysis and meta-regression were conducted to examine between-study heterogeneity in discriminative performance and its relevant influencing factors.

Twenty-eight studies were included. The majority of studies (n = 16) validated models for mood disorders. Clinical predictors (e.g. symptom severity) were most frequently included (n = 25). Low methodological and applicability concerns were found for two studies. The overall discrimination performance of the meta-analysis was fair with wide prediction intervals (0.72 [0.46; 0.89]). The between-study heterogeneity was not explained by number or type of predictors but by disorder diagnosis.

Few models seem ready for further implementation in clinical practice to aid treatment allocation. Besides the need for more external validation studies, we recommend close examination of the clinical setting before model implementation.

Western Australia's response to the COVID-19 pandemic was swift and effective in implementing public health protections and preventing the spread of the virus for the first 2 years. However, healthcare staff continued to be at increased risk of mental health concerns.

To investigate the longitudinal patterns of post-traumatic stress symptoms (PTSS), depression and anxiety among healthcare workers in Western Australia, and the risk and protective factors associated with changes in status during the first wave.

Participants comprised 183 healthcare staff working at tertiary hospitals and major clinics across Perth, for whom longitudinal data were available. Questionnaire data were collected before Western Australia's first major COVID-19 community wave in early 2022 and following the first wave in late 2022. Online surveys comprised validated measures assessing psychological symptoms, risk and protective factors, and original measures of workplace factors.

Overall rates of PTSS, depression and anxiety remained stable across the two assessment points. However, latent growth models revealed that those with lower PTSS, depression or anxiety symptoms at baseline reported a larger increase in symptoms over time, and those with higher symptoms at baseline had a smaller decline over time, indicating a ‘catch-up’ effect. Workplace stressors, sleep difficulties and trauma exposure were key risk factors for changes in psychological symptoms from baseline, and workplace and social supports played protective roles.

Improvements in systemic workplace factors are needed to support healthcare workers’ mental health during periods of acute stress, even in settings with high levels of emergency preparedness.

Antidepressants’ effects are established in randomised controlled trials (RCTs), but not in the real world.

To investigate real-world comparative effects of antidepressants for depression and compare them with RCTs.

We performed a cohort study based on the QResearch database. We included people with a newly recorded diagnosis of depression, exposed to licensed antidepressants in the UK. We assessed all-cause dropouts (acceptability), dropouts for adverse events (tolerability), occurrence of at least one adverse event (safety), and response and remission on the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ)-9 (effectiveness) at 2 and 12 months. Logistic regressions were used to compute adjusted-odds ratio (aOR) with 99% CIs, assessing the associations between exposure to each antidepressant against fluoxetine (comparator) and outcomes of interest. We compared estimates from the real world with RCTs using ratio-of-odds ratio (ROR) with 95% CI.

A total of 673 177 depressed people were studied: females 57.1%, mean age 42.8 (s.d. 17.7) years, mean baseline PHQ-9 17.1 (s.d. 5.0) (moderately severe depression). At 2 months, antidepressant acceptability was 61.4%, tolerability 94.4%, safety 54.5%, PHQ-9 decreased to 12.3 (s.d. 6.5). At 12 months, acceptability was 12.3%, tolerability 87.5%, safety 28.8%, PHQ-9 12.9 (s.d. 6.8). In the short and long term, tricyclics, mirtazapine and trazodone were worse than fluoxetine for most outcomes; citalopram had better acceptability than fluoxetine (aOR 0.95; 99% CI 0.92, 0.97), sertraline had lower tolerability (aOR 1.12; 99% CI 1.06, 1.18), and both citalopram and sertraline had lower safety (aOR 1.17 and 1.25, respectively). In the long term, citalopram had better acceptability (aOR 0.78; 99% CI 0.76, 0.81) and effectiveness (aOR 1.12 for both response and remission), but worse tolerability (aOR 1.09; 99% CI 1.06, 1.13) and safety (aOR 1.12; 99% CI 1.08, 1.16). Observational and randomised data were similar for citalopram and sertraline, while there was some difference for drugs less prescribed in the real world.

Antidepressants showed low acceptability, moderate-to-high tolerability and safety, and small-to-moderate effectiveness in the real world. Real-world and RCT estimates showed similar findings only when the analyses were carried out using large datasets; otherwise, the results diverged.

Childhood trauma is a major risk factor for chronic depression. It has been suggested that adults with chronic depression who have experienced childhood trauma may require long-term treatment owing to a breakdown of basic trust and related difficulties in developing a productive therapeutic relationship.

As empirical studies have been preliminary and scarce, we studied the effects of psychoanalytic therapy (PAT) versus cognitive–behavioural therapy (CBT) for chronic depression in adults with a history of childhood trauma. In this subgroup, we expected a greater symptom reduction in PAT compared with CBT.

In a large trial of long-term psychotherapies for chronic depression (LAC-Study; Clinical Trial Register ISRCTN91956346), 210 adults received open-ended CBT or PAT in an out-patient setting and were examined yearly over 5 years on the Beck Depression Inventory – II (BDI-II). Based on a linear mixed model approach, we tested participant-reported childhood trauma based on the Childhood Trauma Questionnaire (CTQ) as a predictor and moderator of treatment outcome. CTQ subscales were examined exploratively.

Depressive symptoms decreased over time (b = −4.55, s.e. = 0.90, 95% CI −6.32 to −2.81, T = −5.08; P < 0.001). A significant three-way interaction between childhood trauma, time and therapy group (b = −0.05, s.e. = 0.02, 95% CI −0.09 to −0.01, T = −2.42; P = 0.016) indicated that participants with childhood trauma profited especially well from PATs.

Our results indicate differential benefits from PAT compared with CBT among adults with chronic depression and a history of childhood trauma. The results have important implications for differential indication and policy.

It remains unknown whether severe mental disorders contribute to fatally harmful effects of physical illness.

To investigate the risk of all-cause death and loss of life-years following the onset of a wide range of physical health conditions in people with severe mental disorders compared with matched counterparts who had only these physical health conditions, and to assess whether these associations can be fully explained by this patient group having more clinically recorded physical illness.

Using Czech national in-patient register data, we identified individuals with 28 physical health conditions recorded between 1999 and 2017, separately for each condition. In these people, we identified individuals who had severe mental disorders recorded before the physical health condition and exactly matched them with up to five counterparts who had no recorded prior severe mental disorders. We estimated the risk of all-cause death and lost life-years following each of the physical health conditions in people with pre-existing severe mental disorders compared with matched counterparts without severe mental disorders.

People with severe mental disorders had an elevated risk of all-cause death following the onset of 7 out of 9 broadly defined and 14 out of 19 specific physical health conditions. People with severe mental disorders lost additional life-years following the onset of 8 out 9 broadly defined and 13 out of 19 specific physical health conditions. The vast majority of results remained robust after considering the potentially confounding role of somatic multimorbidity and other clinical and sociodemographic factors.

A wide range of physical illnesses are more likely to result in all-cause death in people with pre-existing severe mental disorders. This premature mortality cannot be fully explained by having more clinically recorded physical illness, suggesting that physical disorders are more likely to be fatally harmful in this patient group.

Physician-assisted suicide (PAS) is typically associated with serious physical illnesses that are prevalent in palliative care. However, individuals with mental illnesses may also experience such severity that life becomes intolerable. In February 2020, the previous German law prohibiting PAS was repealed. Patients with severe mental illnesses are increasingly likely to approach physicians with requests for PAS.

To explore the ethical and moral perspectives of medical students and physicians when making individual decisions regarding PAS.

An anonymised digital survey was conducted among medical students and physicians in Germany. Participants were presented with a case vignette of a chronically depressed patient requesting PAS. Participants decided on PAS provision and assessed theoretical arguments. We employed generalised ordinal regression and qualitative analysis for data interpretation.

A total of N = 1478 participants completed the survey. Of these, n = 470 (32%) stated that they would refuse the request, whereas n = 582 (39%) would probably refuse, n = 375 (25%) would probably agree and n = 57 (4%) would definitely agree. Patient-centred arguments such as the right to self-determination increased the likelihood of consent. Concerns that PAS for chronically depressed patients might erode trust in the medical profession resulted in a decreased willingness to provide PAS.

Participants displayed relatively low willingness to consider PAS in the case of a chronically depressed patient. This study highlights the substantial influence of theoretical medical-ethical arguments and the broader public discourse, underscoring the necessity of an ethical discussion on PAS for mental illnesses.

The serotonin 4 receptor (5-HT4R) is a promising target for the treatment of depression. Highly selective 5-HT4R agonists, such as prucalopride, have antidepressant-like and procognitive effects in preclinical models, but their clinical effects are not yet established.

To determine whether prucalopride (a 5-HT4R agonist and licensed treatment for constipation) is associated with reduced incidence of depression in individuals with no past history of mental illness, compared with anti-constipation agents with no effect on the central nervous system.

Using anonymised routinely collected data from a large-scale USA electronic health records network, we conducted an emulated target trial comparing depression incidence over 1 year in individuals without prior diagnoses of major mental illness, who initiated treatment with prucalopride versus two alternative anti-constipation agents that act by different mechanisms (linaclotide and lubiprostone). Cohorts were matched for 121 covariates capturing sociodemographic factors, and historical and/or concurrent comorbidities and medications. The primary outcome was a first diagnosis of major depressive disorder (ICD-10 code F32) within 1 year of the index date. Robustness of the results to changes in model and population specification was tested. Secondary outcomes included a first diagnosis of six other neuropsychiatric disorders.

Treatment with prucalopride was associated with significantly lower incidence of depression in the following year compared with linaclotide (hazard ratio 0.87, 95% CI 0.76–0.99; P = 0.038; n = 8572 in each matched cohort) and lubiprostone (hazard ratio 0.79, 95% CI 0.69–0.91; P < 0.001; n = 8281). Significantly lower risks of all mood disorders and psychosis were also observed. Results were similar across robustness analyses.

These findings support preclinical data and suggest a role for 5-HT4R agonists as novel agents in the prevention of major depression. These findings should stimulate randomised controlled trials to confirm if these agents can serve as a novel class of antidepressant within a clinical setting.

Depressive disorders in adolescents affect all aspects of life and impose a very large burden of disease. Sleep is frequently affected by depression and is crucial for facing challenges during development. One of the postulated reasons for depression-induced sleep disruption is dysregulation of the physiological stress system.

To investigate the links of adolescent depressive disorders with subjective sleep quality, objective sleep quality, and the course of cortisol and alpha-amylase after awakening.

We compared subjective sleep quality (via daily questionnaires) and objective sleep quality (via actigraphy measurement) of 35 adolescents with depressive disorders and 29 healthy controls over 7 consecutive days. In addition, saliva samples were collected on 3 days to examine cortisol and alpha-amylase patterns after awakening.

No significant differences in cortisol or alpha-amylase awakening responses were observed between participants with depressive disorders and healthy controls. We found severe reductions in subjective sleep quality in the depression group (Z = −5.19, P < 0.001, d = 1.80) and a prolonged actigraphy-measured sleep onset latency (Z = −2.42, P = 0.015, d = 0.64) compared with controls. Reductions in subjective sleep quality were partially correlated with objective sleep measures (sleep onset latency: r = −0.270, P = 0.004, sleep efficiency: r = 0.215, P = 0.017).

Sleep onset latency seems to aggravate depressive symptoms and to have an important role in perception of sleep quality. Adolescents with depressive disorders should be supported regarding the establishment of good sleep hygiene and avoiding activities that may impede falling asleep.

Urbanisation is taking place worldwide and rates of mental illness are rising. There has been increasing interest in ‘nature’ and how it may benefit mental health and well-being.

To understand how the literature defines nature; what the characteristics of the nature intervention are; what mental health and well-being outcomes are being measured; and what the evidence shows, in regard to how nature affects the mental health and well-being of children and adolescents.

A meta-review was conducted, searching three databases for relevant primary and secondary studies, using key search terms including ‘nature’ and ‘mental health’ and ‘mental well-being’. Inclusion criteria included published English-language studies on the child and adolescent population. Authors identified the highest quality evidence from studies meeting the inclusion criteria. Data were extracted and analysed using descriptive content analysis.

Sixteen systematic reviews, two scoping reviews and five good quality cohort studies were included. ‘Nature’ was conceptualised along a continuum (the ‘nature research framework’) into three categories: a human-designed environment with natural elements; a human-designed natural environment; and a natural environment. The nature ‘intervention’ falls into three areas (the ‘nature intervention framework’): access, exposure and engagement with nature, with quantity and quality of nature relevant to all areas. Mental health and well-being outcomes fit along a continuum, with ‘disorder’ at one end and ‘well-being’ at the other. Nature appears to have a beneficial effect, but we cannot be certain of this.

Nature appears to have a beneficial effect on mental health and well-being of children and adolescents. Evidence is lacking on clinical populations, ethnically diverse populations and populations in low- and middle-income countries. Our results should be interpreted considering the limitations of the included studies and confidence in findings.

The relationship between opioid use and the incidence of psychiatric disorders remains unidentified.

This study examined the association between the incidence of psychiatric disorders and opioid use.

Data for this population-based cohort study were obtained from the National Health Insurance Service of South Korea. The study included all adult patients who received opioids in 2016. The control group comprised individuals who did not receive opioids in 2016, and were selected using a 1:1 stratified random sampling procedure. Patients with a history of psychiatric disorders diagnosed in 2016 were excluded. The primary end-point was the diagnosis of psychiatric disorders, evaluated from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2021. Psychiatric disorders included schizophrenia, mood disorders, anxiety and others.

The analysis included 3 505 982 participants. Opioids were prescribed to 1 455 829 (41.5%) of these participants in 2016. Specifically, 1 187 453 (33.9%) individuals received opioids for 1–89 days, whereas 268 376 (7.7%) received opioids for ≥90 days. In the multivariable Cox regression model, those who received opioids had a 13% higher incidence of psychiatric disorder than those who did not (hazard ratio 1.13; 95% CI 1.13–1.14). Furthermore, both those prescribed opioids for 1–89 days and for ≥90 days had 13% (hazard ratio 1.13, 95% CI 1.12–1.14) and 17% (hazard ratio 1.17, 95% CI 1.16–1.18) higher incidences of psychiatric disorders, respectively, compared with those who did not receive opioids.

This study revealed that increased psychiatric disorders were associated with opioid medication use. The association was significant among both short- and long-term opioid use.

In England in 2021, an estimated 274 000 people were homeless on a given night. It has long been recognised that physical and mental health of people who are homeless is poorer than for people who are housed. There are few peer-reviewed studies to inform health and social care for depression or anxiety among homeless adults in this setting.

To measure the symptoms of depression and anxiety among adults who are homeless and who have difficulty accessing healthcare, and to describe distribution of symptoms across sociodemographic, social vulnerability and health-related characteristics.

We completed structured questionnaires with 311 adults who were homeless and who had difficulty accessing healthcare in London, UK, between August and December 2021. We measured anxiety and depression symptoms using the 4-item Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-4) score. We compared median PHQ-4 scores across strata of the sociodemographic, social vulnerability and health-related characteristics, and tested for associations using the Kruskal–Wallis test.

The median PHQ-4 score was 8 out of 12, and 40.2% had scores suggesting high clinical need. Although PHQ-4 scores were consistently high across a range of socioeconomic, social vulnerability and health-related characteristics, they were positively associated with: young age; food insecurity; recent and historic abuse; joint, bone or muscle problems; and frequency of marijuana use. The most common (60%) barrier to accessing healthcare related to transportation.

Adults who are homeless and have difficulty accessing healthcare have high levels of depression and anxiety symptoms. Our findings support consideration of population-level, multisectoral intervention.

Depression is a significant mental health concern affecting the overall well-being of adolescents and young adults. Recently, the prevalence of depression has increased among young people. Nonetheless, there is little research delving into the longitudinal epidemiology of adolescent depression over time.

To investigate the longitudinal epidemiology of depression among adolescents and young adults aged 10–24 years.

Our research focused on young people (aged 10–24 years) with depression, using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019. We explored the age-standardised prevalence, incidence and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of depression in different groups, including various regions, ages, genders and sociodemographic indices, from 1990 to 2019.

The prevalence, incidence and DALYs of depression in young people increased globally between 1990 and 2019. Regionally, higher-income regions like High-Income North America and Australasia recorded rising age-standardised prevalence and incidence rates, whereas low- or middle-income regions mostly saw reductions. Nationally, countries such as Greenland, the USA and Palestine reported the highest age-standardised prevalence and incidence rates in 2019, whereas Qatar witnessed the largest growth over time. The burden disproportionately affected females across age groups and world regions. The most prominent age effect on incidence and prevalence rates was in those aged 20–24 years. The depression burden showed an unfavourable trend in younger cohorts born after 1980, with females reporting a higher cohort risk than males.

Between 1990 and 2019, the general pattern of depression among adolescents varied according to age, gender, time period and generational cohort, across regions and nations.

Depression, anxiety and insomnia often co-occur. However, there is a lack of research regarding how they cluster and how this is related to medication used to treat them.

To describe the frequencies and associations between depression, anxiety and insomnia, and treatment for these conditions in primary care.

A retrospective cohort study using UK electronic primary care records. We included individuals aged between 18 and 99 years old with one or more records suggesting they had a diagnosis, symptom or drug treatment for anxiety, depression or insomnia between 2015 and 2017. We report the conditional probabilities of having different combinations of diagnoses, symptoms and treatments recorded.

There were 1 325 960 records indicative of depression, anxiety or insomnia, for 739 834 individuals. Depression was the most common condition (n = 106 117 records), and SSRIs were the most commonly prescribed medication (n = 347 751 records). Overall, individuals with a record of anxiety were most likely to have co-occurring symptoms and diagnoses of other mental health conditions. For example, of the individuals with a record of generalised anxiety disorder (GAD), 24% also had a diagnosis of depression. In contrast, only 0.6% of those who had a diagnosis of depression had a diagnosis or symptom of GAD. Prescribing of more than one psychotropic medication within the same year was common. For example, of those who were prescribed an SNRI (serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor), 40% were also prescribed an SSRI (selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor).

The conditional probabilities of co-occurring anxiety, depression and insomnia symptoms, diagnoses and treatments are high.