Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-dfsvx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T15:22:07.744Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Partisanship, elite messages, and support for populism in power

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 August 2020

S. Erdem Aytaç*
Affiliation:
Department of International Relations, Koç University, Rumelifeneri Yolu, Sarıyer 34450, Istanbul, Turkey
Ali Çarkoğlu
Affiliation:
Department of International Relations, Koç University, Rumelifeneri Yolu, Sarıyer 34450, Istanbul, Turkey
Ezgi Elçi
Affiliation:
Migration Research Center at Koç University (MiReKoç), Rumelifeneri Yolu, Sarıyer 34450, Istanbul, Turkey
*

Abstract

Discontent is seen as a critical driver for the appeal of populism, yet studies have typically focused on cases of populism in opposition. We argue that scholars’ emphasis on populism in opposition led them to overlook the roles of elite messages and partisanship in the adoption of populist attitudes. Drawing on theories of elite-driven public opinion, we contend that populist attitudes do not need to be rooted in discontent. In cases of populism in power, those who are more satisfied politically and economically, and partisans of the ruling party should display higher levels of populist attitudes. We provide observational and experimental survey evidence in this direction from Turkey, where a populist party has long been in power. We also find that the dominant characteristic of support for populism in power is an emphasis on popular sovereignty at the expense of institutions of horizontal accountability.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of European Consortium for Political Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Akkerman, A., Zaslove, A. and Spruyt, B. (2017), ‘We the people or We the peoples? A comparison of support for the populist radical right and populist radical left in the Netherlands’, Swiss Political Science Review 23(4): 377403.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Akkerman, A., Mudde, C. and Zaslove, A. (2013), ‘How populist are the people? Measuring populist attitudes in voters’, Comparative Political Studies 47(9): 13241353.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, C.J. and Guillory, C.A. (1997), ‘Political institutions and satisfaction with democracy: a cross-national analysis of consensus and majoritarian systems’, American Political Science Review 91(1): 6681.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Aytaç, S.E. (2014), ‘Distributive politics in a multiparty system: the conditional cash transfer system in Turkey’, Comparative Political Studies 47(9): 12111237.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Aytaç, S.E. and Çarkoğlu, A. (2015), Turkish Election Study 2015 Dataset.Google Scholar
Aytaç, S.E. and Elçi, E. (2019), ‘Populism in Turkey’, in Stockemer, Daniel (ed.), Populism Around the World, Cham: Springer.Google Scholar
Aytaç, S.E. and Öniş, Z. (2014), ‘Varieties of populism in a changing global context: the divergent paths of Erdoğan and Kirchnerismo’, Comparative Politics 47(1): 4159.Google Scholar
Barr, R.R. (2009), ‘Populists, outsiders, and anti-establishment politics’, Party Politics 15(1): 2948.Google Scholar
Bermeo, N. (2016), ‘On democratic backsliding’, Journal of Democracy 27(1): 519.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bowler, S., Denemark, D., Donovan, T. and McDonnell, D. (2017), ‘Rightwing populist party supporters: dissatisfied but not direct democrats’, European Journal of Political Research 56(1): 7091.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brader, T., and Tucker, J.A. (2012), ‘Following the party’s lead: party cues, policy opinion, and the power of partisanship in three multiparty systems’, Comparative Politics 44(4): 403420.Google Scholar
Broockman, D.E., and Butler, D.M. (2017), ‘The causal effects of elite position-taking on voter attitudes: field experiments with elite communication’, American Journal of Political Science 61(1): 208221.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cammett, M., Luca, D. and Sergenti, E. (2019), ‘‘Inclusive’ distribution as electoral strategy. The politics of Turkish central government spending under AK Party rule.” Unpublished manuscript.Google Scholar
Campbell, A., Converse, P., Miller, W. and Stokes, D. (1960), The American Voter, Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Carlin, R.E. and Singer, M.M. (2011), ‘Support for polyarchy in the Americas’, Comparative Political Studies 44(11): 15001526.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Castanho Silva, B. (2019), ‘He’s not one of them! Antiestablishment supporters of populist governments in Bolivia and Ecuador.’ Journal of Politics 81(3): 10851089.Google Scholar
Castanho Silva, B., Andreadis, I., Anduiza, E., Blanusa, N., Corti, Y.M., Delfino, G., Rico, G., Ruth, S.P., Spruyt, B., Steenbergen, M. and Littvay, L. (2018), ‘Public opinion surveys: a new scale’, in Hawkins, K.A., Carlin, R., Littvay, L., and Rovira Kaltwasser, C. (ed.), The Ideational Approach To Populism: Theory, Method And Analysis. London: Routledge.Google Scholar
Castanho Silva, B., Jungkunz, S., Helbling, M. and Littvay, L. (2020), ‘An empirical comparison of seven populist attitudes scales’, Political Research Quarterly. 73(2): 409424.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Çarkoğlu, A. (2009), ‘Women’s choices of head cover in Turkey: an empirical assessment’, Comparative Studies of South Asia, Africa and the Middle East 29(3): 450467.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Çarkoğlu, A. (2010), ‘Public attitudes towards the turban ban in Turkey.’ Utrecht Law Review 6(2): 145157.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Çarkoğlu, A. and Aytaç, S.E. (2015), ‘Who gets targeted for vote-buying? Evidence from an augmented list experiment in Turkey’, European Political Science Review 7(4): 547566.Google Scholar
Dinçşahin, Ş. (2012), ‘A symptomatic analysis of the Justice and Development Party’s populism in Turkey, 2007–2010’, Government and Opposition 47(4): 618640.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Druckman, J. and Lupia, A. (2000), ‘Preference formation’, Annual Review of Political Science 3: 124.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elchardus, M. and Spruyt, B. (2016), ‘Populism, persistent republicanism, and declinism: an empirical analysis of populism as a thin ideology’, Government and Opposition 51(1): 111133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Evans, G. and Andersen, R. (2006), ‘The political conditioning of economic perceptions’, Journal of Politics 68(1): 194207.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gidron, N. and Hall, P.A. (2017), ‘The politics of social status: economic and cultural roots of the populist right’, British Journal of Sociology 68(S1): 5784.Google ScholarPubMed
Givens, T.E. (2005), Voting Radical Right In Western Europe, New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Golder, M. (2016), ‘Far right parties in Europe.Annual Review of Political Science 19: 477497.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Göle, N. (1997). ‘Secularism and Islamism in Turkey: the making of elites and counter-elites’, Middle East Journal 51(1): 4658.Google Scholar
Guiso, L., Herrera, H., Morelli, M. and Sonno, T. (2017), “Populism: Demand and Supply.” CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP11871. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2924731.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hawkins, K.A., Riding, S. and Mudde, C. (2012), ‘Measuring populist attitudes.’ Working paper, The Committee on Concepts and Methods. Google Scholar
Hawkins, K.A., Carlin, R.E., Littvay, L., and Rovira Kaltwasser, C. (eds.) (2018), The Ideational Approach To Populism: Theory, Method & Analysis, London: Routledge.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hochschild, A.R. (2016), Strangers In Their Own Land: Anger And Mourning On The American Right, New York and London: The New Press.Google Scholar
Ignazi, P. (2003), Extreme Right Parties In Western Europe, Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kalaycıoğlu, E. (1994), ‘Elections and party preferences in Turkey: changes and continuities in the 1990s’, Comparative Political Studies 27(3): 402424.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kriesi, H., Grande, E., Lachat, R., Dolezal, M., Bornschier, S., and Frey, T. (2008). West European Politics In The Age Of Globalization, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lenz, G.S. (2009), ‘Learning and opinion change, not priming: reconsidering the priming hypothesis”, American Journal of Political Science 53(4): 821837.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lenz, G.S. (2012), Follow The Leader? Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Levitsky, S. and Loxton, J. (2013), ‘Populism and competitive authoritarianism in the Andes’, Democratization 20(1): 107136.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitsky, S. and Way, L.A. (2010), Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes After The Cold War, New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lubbers, M., Gijsberts, M. and Scheepers, P. (2002), ‘Extreme right wing voting in Western Europe‘, European Journal of Political Research 41(3): 345378.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mardin, Ş. (1973), ‘Center periphery relations: a key to Turkish politics?Daedalus 102(1): 169190.Google Scholar
Marschall, M., Aydogan, A., and Bulut, A. (2016), ‘Does housing create votes? Explaining the electoral success of the AKP in Turkey’, Electoral Studies 42: 201212.Google Scholar
Mudde, C. (2004), ‘The Populist Zeitgeist’, Government and Opposition 39(4): 541563.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mudde, C. (2007), Populist Radical Right Parties In Europe, New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mudde, C. and Rovira Kaltwasser, C. (2017), Populism: A Very Short Introduction, New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mudde, C. and Rovira Kaltwasser, C. (2018), ‘Studying populism in comparative perspective: reflections on the contemporary and future research agenda’, Comparative Political Studies 51(13): 16671693.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mutz, D.C. (2011), Population-Based Survey Experiments, Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Nicholson, S.P. (2012), ‘Polarizing Cues’, American Journal of Political Science 56(1): 5266.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Norris, P. (2005), Radical Right: Voters And Parties In The Electoral Market, New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Norris, P. and Inglehart, R. (2019), Cultural Backlash: Trump, Brexit, And Authoritarian Populism, New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Page, B.I., Shapiro, R.Y. and Dempsey, G.R. (1987), ‘What Moves Public Opinion?American Political Science Review 81(1): 2344.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pappas, T.S. (2014), ‘Populist Democracies: post-Authoritarian Greece and Post-Communist Hungary.’ Government and Opposition 49(1): 123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pappas, T.S. (2016), ‘The specter haunting Europe: distinguishing Liberal Democracy’s Challengers’, Journal of Democracy 27(4): 2236.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pappas, T.S. (2019), ‘Populists in Power’, Journal of Democracy 30(2): 7084.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rico, G. and Anduiza, E. (2019), ‘Economic correlates of populist attitudes: an analysis of nine European countries in the aftermath of the great recession’, Acta Politica 54: 371397.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rico, G., Guinjoan, M. and Anduiza, E. (2017), ‘The emotional underpinnings of populism: how anger and fear affect populist attitudes’, Swiss Political Science Review 23(4): 444461.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rodrik, D. (2018), ‘Populism and the economics of globalization’, Journal of International Business Policy 1: 1233.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rooduijn, M., Burgoon, B., van Elsas, E.J. and van de Werfhorst, H.G. (2017), ‘Radical distinction: support for radical left and radical right parties in Europe’, European Union Politics 18(4): 536559.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Rooduijn, M., van der Brug, W. and de Lange, S.L. (2016), ‘Expressing or fuelling discontent? The relationship between populist voting and political discontent’, Electoral Studies 43: 3240.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Samuels, D. and Zucco, C. Jr (2014), “The power of partisanship in Brazil: evidence from survey experiments”, American Journal of Political Science 58(1): 212225.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schulz, A., Muller, P., Schemer, C., Wirz, D.S., Wettstein, M. and Wirth, W. (2018), ‘Measuring populist attitudes on three dimensions’, International Journal of Public Opinion Research 30(2): 316326.Google Scholar
Singer, M. (2018), ‘Delegating away democracy: how good representation and policy successes can undermine democratic legitimacy‘, Comparative Political Studies 51(13): 17541788.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Somer, M. (2017), ‘Conquering versus democratizing the state: political Islamists and fourth wave democratization in Turkey and Tunisia’, Democratization 24(6): 10251043.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Spruyt, B., Keppens, G. and Van Droogenbroeck, F. (2016), ‘Who supports populism and what attracts people to it?’, Political Research Quarterly 69(2): 335346.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Steenvoorden, E. and Harteveld, E. (2018), ‘The appeal of nostalgia: the influence of societal pessimism on support for populist radical right parties’, West European Politics 41(1): 2852.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Van Hauwaert, S.M. and Van Kessel, S. (2018), ‘Beyond protest and discontent: A cross-national analysis of the effect of populist attitudes and issue positions on populist party support”, European Journal of Political Research 57(1): 6892.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yılmaz, Z. (2017), ‘The AKP and the Spirit of the ‘New’ Turkey: imagined Victim, Reactionary Mood, and Resentful Sovereign’, Turkish Studies 18(3): 482513.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wuttke, A., Schimpf, C. and Schoen, H. (2020), ‘When the whole is greater than the sum of its parts: on the conceptualization and measurement of populist attitudes and other multidimensional constructs’, American Political Science Review. 114(2): 356–374.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yıldırım, K. (2020), ‘Clientelism and dominant incumbent parties: party competition in an urban Turkish neighbourhood’, Democratization 27(1): 8199.Google Scholar
Zaller, J.R. (1992), The Nature And Origins Of Mass Opinion, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Aytaç et al. supplementary material

Aytaç et al. supplementary material

Download Aytaç et al. supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 181.3 KB